1st Edition
Health and Climate Change Modelling the impacts of global warming and ozone depletion
By Pim Martens
Copyright 1998
204 Pages
by
Routledge
204 Pages
by
Routledge
204 Pages
by
Routledge
Also available as eBook on:
'Understanding how complex ecological and climatic change can influence human health is the new challenge before us. The book confronts these multidimensional risk assessments head-on and will catalyse the important interdisciplinary and integrated approach that is the new paradigm now required for environmental and public health research.'
Dr JONATHAN PATZ
Johns Hopkins School of Hygiene and... Read more
List of Acronyms and Abbreviations
List of Figures
List of Tables
List of Boxes
Foreword by Tony McMichael
Preface
1. Introduction
The Issue
Scope and Objectives
Outline
2. An Eco-Epidemiological Modelling Approach
Introduction
Limitations of Conventional Epidemiology
Eco-Epidemiological Modelling
Discussion
3. Climate Change and Vector-Borne Diseases
Introduction
The Vectors and Their Diseases
Epidemic Potential
Climate Effects
Malaria Prevalence
Climate Scenarios
Changes in Potential Risk Areas
Changes in Malaria Prevalence
Local Estimates: Model Validation
Model Limitations and Uncertainties
Discussion and Conclusions
4. Modelling Malaria as a Complex Adaptive System
Introduction
The Genetic Algorithm
Modelling Adaptation by Genetic Algorithms
Modelling Experiments
Discussion and Conclusions
5. Climate Change, Thermal Stress and Morality Changes
Introduction
Health Impact Assessment
Thermal Stress in a Number of Cities
Cardiovascular Mortality and Sensitivity to Adaptation
Discussion and Conclusions
6. The Impact of Ozone Depletion on Skin Cancer Incidence
Introduction
Modelling the Cause-Effect Chain
Ozone Depletion and Skin Cancer Risk in the Netherlands and Australia
Uncertainties
Discussion and Conclusions
7. Discussion and Conclusions
Introduction
Major Findings
Future Research lines
Epilogue
References
Index
Biography
Martens, Pim
