Table of Contents

Preface Joao Caraca. Foreword Nebojsa Nakicenovic 1. Introduction: A New Approach to Globalization George Modelski, Tessaleno Devezas and William R. Thompson Part 1: Evolutionary Models 2. Globalization as Evolutionary Process George Modelski 3. The Portuguese as System Builders: Technological Innovation in Early Globalization Tessalino Devezas and George Modelski 4. Modeling Long-term Processes of Political Globalization William R. Thompson 5. Is Globalization Self-Organizing? Joachim Karl Rennstich 6. Theories of Long-Term Change and the Future of World Political Institutions Fulvio Attina Part 2: Models of Long-Term Change 7. Compact Mathematical Models of World System Development, and How they can Help us to Clarify our Understanding of Globalization Processes Andrey Korotayev 8. Modeling Periodic Waves of Integration in the Afroeurasian World System Peter Turchin 9. Discovering Oscillatory Dynamics of City-Size Distributions in World Historical Systems Douglas R. White, Natasa Kejzar and Laurent Tambayong 10. Nature, Disease and Globalization: An Evolutionary Perspective Dennis Pirages 11. Globalization in History and the History of Globalization: The Application of a Globalization Model to Historical Research Catia Antunes Part 3: Global Change and the Information Age 12. Three Globalizing Phases of the World System and Modernity Shumpei Kumon and Yasuhide Yamanouchi 13. Accelerating Socio-Technological Evolution: From Ephemeralization and Stigmergy to the Global Brain Francis Heylighen 14. Growth of the Internet, Long Waves and Global Change Tessaleno C. Devezas, Harold A. Linstone and Humberto J.S. Santos 15. The Value to Globalizing Informatics Research of an Evolutionary View: One Anthropologist’s Perspective David Hakken Part 4: Forecasting and Simulating Globalization 16. Forecasting Globalization: The Use of International Futures (Ifs) Barry Hughes 17. Forecasting Globalization Using World Models Rafael Reuveny 18. Evolution, Modernization and Globalization: Computer-Based Analysis of Social Complexity Jurgen Kluver and Christina Kluver Part 5: Assessment 19. Assessment: What Has Been Learnt? George Modelski, Tessaleno Devezas and William R. Thompson