This edited volume addresses the issue of threat inflation in American foreign policy and domestic politics. The Bush administration's aggressive campaign to build public support for an invasion of Iraq reheated fears about the president's ability to manipulate the public, and many charged the administration with 'threat inflation', duping the news media and misleading the public into supporting the war under false pretences.
Presenting the latest research, these essays seek to answer the question of why threat inflation occurs and when it will be successful. Simply defined, it is the effort by elites to create concern for a threat that goes beyond the scope and urgency that disinterested analysis would justify. More broadly, the process concerns how elites view threats, the political uses of threat inflation, the politics of threat framing among competing elites, and how the public interprets and perceives threats via the news media.
The war with Iraq gets special attention in this volume, along with the 'War on Terror'. Although many believe that the Bush administration successfully inflated the Iraq threat, there is not a neat consensus about why this was successful. Through both theoretical contributions and case studies, this book showcases the four major explanations of threat inflation -- realism, domestic politics, psychology, and constructivism -- and makes them confront one another directly. The result is a richer appreciation of this important dynamic in US politics and foreign policy, present and future.
This book will be of much interests to students of US foreign and national security policy, international security, strategic studies and IR in general.
Trevor Thrall is Assistant Professor of Political Science and directs the Master of Public Policy program at the University of Michigan - Dearborn. Jane Kellett Cramer is an Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Oregon.
Foreword: Threat Inflation and International Politics Stephen Van Evera. Acknowledgements 1. Introduction: Understanding Threat Inflation Jane K. Cramer and A. Trevor Thrall 2. Understanding Beliefs and Threat Inflation Robert Jervis 3. Imperial Myths and Threat Inflation Jack Snyder 4. Estimating Threats: The Impact and Interaction of Identity and Power David Rousseau and Rocio Garcia-Retamero 5. Hawkish Biases Daniel Kahneman and Jonathan Renshon 6. Threat Inflation and the Failure of the Marketplace of Ideas: Selling the Iraq War Chaim Kaufmann 7. The Sound of Silence: Rhetorical Coercion, Democratic Acquiescence, and the Iraq War Ronald R. Krebs and Jennifer Lobasz 8. Militarized Patriotism and the Success of Threat Inflation Jane K. Cramer 9. The War Over Iraq: Selling War to the American Public Jon Western 10. Framing Iraq: Threat Inflation in the Marketplace of Values A. Trevor Thrall 11. Inflating Terrorism John E. Mueller 12. Perception and Power in Counter-terrorism: Assessing the American Response to Al Qaeda before September 11 Benjamin H. Friedman