1st Edition
Drought: Research and Science-Policy Interfacing
Droughts occur in arid and semi-arid areas of the world, but also in humid areas, and can develop over short periods (flash drought) or longer periods (seasons/decades). Even though progress has been made, it remains difficult to adequately characterize, monitor, forecast and manage droughts, due to their multi-faceted nature.
Usually, drought does not directly cause fatalities, but a wide range of socio-economic and environmental effects may occur, and, depending on the region, water-and food-related diseases and casualties can be triggered. Europe has regularly been hit hard by drought (e.g. recently Russia), and large portions of USA, Mexico, Brazil, China, India, Central Asia, South Africa, the Great Horn of Africa, or Australia, have been affected by drought. So globally, drought affects more regions, and more people, than other natural hazards.
Additionally, climate change projections for many areas indicate that droughts are likely to become more frequent and more severe due to the increased variability of precipitation and temperature, tied in some cases to decreased average precipitation and increased average temperature. Hence, there is an urgent need to improve drought preparedness through measures that reduce vulnerability to drought and the risks they pose, in particular considering the uncertain future.
Drought. Research and Science Policy Interfacing includes contributions to the International Conference on DROUGHT: Research and Science-Policy Interfacing (Valencia, Spain, 10-13 March 2015), the final event of the EU FP7 research project DROUGHT-R&SPI (Fostering European Drought Research and Science-Policy Interfacing). The book aims to foster development of drought policies and plans to reduce risk and vulnerability, and to enhance preparedness and resilience.
The book addresses the following topics : (1) past, present and future of droughts (natural hazards, identification and characterization, impacts); (2) indicators, monitoring and forecasting (including early warning systems), risk and vulnerability assessment and reduction at different scales, and (3) preparedness and mitigation options (risk and vulnerability perception, water management and governance under drought conditions, design and implementation of drought policies and plans from the local to the regional, national and international levels, research Interfaces with drought policies).
Drought. Research and Science Policy Interfacing will be of interest to researchers and professionals in those fields related to drought, such as climatology, meteorology, hydrology, agronomy, ecology, water economy, and water management, as well as to policy makers involved in drought preparedness and mitigation strategies at local, regional, national and international levels.
Foreword
Preface
Organization
Introduction
Fostering drought research and science-policy interfacing: Achievements of the DROUGHT-R&SPI project
H.A.J. Van Lanen, L.M. Tallaksen, D. Assimacopoulos, K. Stahl, W. Wolters, J. Andreu, S.I. Seneviratne, L. De Stefano, I. Seidl, F.C. Rego, A. Massarutto & E. Garnier
Past, present and future of droughts
Drought as a natural hazard
Characteristics and drivers of drought in Europe—a summary of the DROUGHT-R&SPI project
L.M. Tallaksen, J.H. Stagge, K. Stahl, L. Gudmundsson, R. Orth, S.I. Seneviratne, A.F. Van Loon & H.A.J. Van Lanen
European historic droughts beyond the modern instrumental records 16th–20th centuries
E. Garnier
A comprehensive drought climatology for Europe (1950–2013)
L. Gudmundsson & S.I. Seneviratne
Assessment of past and future drought impacts
Impact of drought on the inhabitants of the Cuvelai watershed: A qualitative exploration
R. Lütkemeier & S. Liehr
Rainy season pattern and impacts on agriculture and water resources in Northeastern Brazil
M.S. Sakamoto, A.G. Ferreira, A.C. Costa & E.S. Olivas
Modelling of last hypothesis of climate change impacts on water resources in Sierra de las Cabras aquifer (Southern Spain)
P. Jiménez-Fernández & P. Jiménez-Gavilán
Drought effects on rainfed agriculture using standardized indices: A case study in SE Spain
S. Contreras & J.E. Hunink
Ex-post evaluation of the socio-economic impacts of drought in some areas in Europe
D. Musolino, A. Massarutto & A. de Carli
Analysis of Guadalquivir droughts 2004–2012 based on SEEA-W tables
M.M. Borrego-Marín, J.M. Perales, A. Posadillo, C. Gutiérrez-Martín & J. Berbel
Multi-scalar drought and its impact on crop yield in the Republic of Moldova
V. Potopová, C. Boroneant & B. Boincean
Climate change and the increase of wildfire risk in the Upper Jucar River Basin, Spain
M.A. Pérez-Martín, F. Vinces, P. del-Amo & A. Batán
Integration of climate time series and MODIS data as an analysis tool for forest drought detection
C. Domingo, X. Pons, J. Cristóbal, M. Ninyerola & B. Wardlow
Comparing low moisture availability and relative crop yields on the pan-European scale using the FAO water production function
K.J.B. Oude Lenferink, A.F. Van Loon, M.H.J. Van Huijgevoort & H.A.J. Van Lanen
Impact of meteorological drought on crop yield on pan-European scale, 1979–2009
L. Gunst, F.C. Rego, S. Dias, C. Bifulco, J.H. Stagge, M. Rocha & H.A.J. Van Lanen
Temperature extremes, moisture deficiency and their impacts on dryland agriculture in Gujarat, India
N. Bandyopadhyay, C. Bhuiyan & A.K. Saha
Analysis of drought episode in Borno State of North-Eastern Nigeria
F.C. Okorie, C.E. Ezedike & A.O. Nnaji
Drought identification and characterization
Using standardized precipitation and runoff indices for the identification of extraordinary drought events in Chile
B. Fernández & J. Gironás
Application of the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) in Hawke’s Bay, New Zealand
L. Sadeghi & A.Y. Shamseldin
On the use of modelled soil moisture for drought assessment over Europe
C. Cammalleri, F. Micale & J. Vogt
Improving operational drought definitions—taking them to basin scale
M. Oertel, F.J. Meza & J. Gironás
Evaluation of drought occurrence in springs yields of the Nízke Tatry Mts.
D. Vrablíková & M. Fendeková
Chronology of drought termination for long records in the Thames catchment
S. Parry, C. Prudhomme, R. Wilby & P. Wood
Variability and patterns of drought characteristics based on SPEI in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain between 1981 and 2010
Q.F. Wang, J.J. Wu, G.P. Geng, H.K. Zhou & X.Y. Mo
Identification and frequency analysis of drought events in the Blanice river catchment (Czech Republic)
V. David & T. Davidova
Climate change and drought in the South of Carpathian basin and transboundary implications
B. Meyer, G. Mezősi, V. Blanka & Zs. Ladanyi
Climate change impact on water resources and droughts of AR5 scenarios in the Jucar River, Spain
M.A. Pérez-Martín, A. Batán, P. del-Amo & S. Moll
Drought indicators, monitoring and forecasting
Indicators and monitoring
Drought in South-Eastern Europe: Monitoring and management
G. Gregorič & A. Sušnik
The U.S. Drought Monitor: Evolution and recent achievements
M.D. Svoboda
Drought monitoring in a transboundary river basin in North America
J.A. Breña-Naranjo, A. De Jesús & A. Pedrozo-Acuña
Assessment and comparison of drought monitoring using hydrological and meteorological indices—Case study: The ZayandehRud water reservoir, Iran
Sh. Paimozd, S. Khajeh & M. Moghaddasi
The drought indicator system in the Júcar River Basin Authority
T. Ortega Gómez, T. Estrela Monreal & M.A. Pérez-Martín
A simple method to estimate irrigation date for soil moisture modeling and agricultural drought monitoring in irrigated regions
H.K. Zhou, J.J. Wu, Q.F. Wang, X.Y. Mo, T.J. Lei, G.P. Geng & X.H. Li
A preliminary assessment of meteorological and hydrological drought indicators for application to catchments across the UK
L.J. Barker, J. Hannaford, C. Svensson & M. Tanguy
An approach to monitoring drought events and food security conditions
F. Perez, I. Angeluccetti, W. Cámaro & A. Demarchi
Evaluation of ensemble SPI forecasts for Ceará, Northeastern Brazil
E.A. Canamary, D.S. Reis Jr. & E.S. Martins
Water scarcity cost as a drought indicator through hydroeconomic modelling—application to the Jucar River Basin
A. Lopez-Nicolas, M. Pulido-Velazquez & Á. Sales-Esteban
Early warning systems
Improved rainfall-runoff modelling tools for low-flow forecasting: Application to French catchments
C. Perrin, M.-H. Ramos, V. Andréassian, P. Nicolle, L. Crochemore & R. Pushpalatha
Possibilities on drought forecasting in Croatia
L. Kalin, K. Cindrić, D. Mihajlović & B. Matjačić
IMPETUS: Improving predictions of drought for user decision-making
C. Prudhomme, L. Shaffrey, T. Woollings, C. Jackson, H. Fowler & B. Anderson
Developing a framework for drought forecasting and warning: Results of the DEWFORA project
M. Werner, S. Vermooten, A. Iglesias, R. Maia, J. Vogt & G. Naumann
Enhancing drought Monitoring and Early Warning by linking indicators to impacts
J. Hannaford, M. Acreman, K. Stahl, S. Bachmair, M.D. Svoboda, C. Knutson, N.D. Crossman, I.C. Overton & M.J. Colloff
El Niño/La Niña events as a tool for regional drought monitoring in Southern South America
J.A. Rivera & O.C. Penalba
Seasonal hydrologic forecasting under drought conditions in the Upper Jucar River Basin, Spain
M.A. Pérez-Martín, M.A. Escudero, P. del-Amo & S. Moll
Seasonal forecasts of hydrological drought in the Limpopo basin: Getting the most out of a bouquet of methods
M. Seibert & P. Trambauer
Climate seasonal forecast and derived indexes for droughts in Ceará, Brazil
J.M.R. Pereira, F.C. Vasconcelos Jr., E.S. Martins, D.S. Reis Jr. & A.W.T. Noronha
Use of seasonal climate predictions in the water sector—preliminary results from the EUPORIAS project
L. Pouget, T. Roldán, M. Gómez, À. Cabello, E. Rodriguez Camino, B. Navascués, J. Voces, P. Comas, F. Pastor, M.C. García Gómez, J.J. Gil, D. Gil & R. Galván
Drought risk and vulnerability assessment
An impact perspective on pan-European drought sensitivity
K. Stahl, I. Kohn, L. De Stefano, L.M. Tallaksen, F.C. Rego, S.I. Seneviratne, J. Andreu & H.A.J. van Lanen
Drought vulnerability assessment for different hydrological conditions based on Standardized Runoff Index and Flow Duration Curve in Lithuania
E. Stonevičius & G. Stankūnavičius
Exploring situations of vulnerability to drought from a sectorial perspective: A starting point for regional assessments
I. González Tánago, M. Ballesteros, J. Urquijo & L. De Stefano
The dynamics of vulnerability to drought from an impact perspective
V. Blauhut, K. Stahl & I. Kohn
Drought vulnerability assessment and potential adaptation options in the Aegean islands
P.M. Stathatou & E. Kampragou
Vulnerability to drought: Mapping underlying factors across Europe
M. Ballesteros, I. González Tánago, J. Urquijo & L. De Stefano
Drought preparedness and mitigation options
Drought risk and vulnerability perception
Drought and agricultural insurance in Spain
J.C. Cuevas García
Hydrological reliability assessment of water management solution of reservoir storage capacity in conditions of uncertainty
D. Marton, M. Starý, P. Menšík & S. Paseka
Water management and governance under drought conditions
From drought planning to drought management: Administrative and follow-up tasks
J. Ferrer Polo & N. Mondéjar Martín
Securing drinking water supply during extreme drought— learnings from South Australia
J. Frizenschaf, L. Mosley, R. Daly & S. Kotz
Regional governance assessment for drought adaptation in North-West Europe: Case study results from the analysis with a Governance Assessment Tool in the DROP-project
J. Troeltzsch, U. Stein, R. Vidaurre, H. Bressers, G. Özerol, C. Furusho & I. La Jeunesse
Conjunctive use of surface and ground waters during drought and climate change assumptions—Duero River Basin, Spain
M.A. Hernandez & A. Solera
Improving resilience to drought of the Apulian water resources system—a hydroeconomic model
C. Arena, M. Cannarozzo, A. Fortunato, I. Scolaro & M.R. Mazzola
Definition of optimal drought-oriented reservoir management policies combining stochastic programming and fuzzy logic
H. Macian-Sorribes & M. Pulido-Velazquez
The debate on sustainable water management: Evidence from drought in the Jucar Basin
J. Albiac, A. Dinar, M. Taher Kahil & E. Esteban
Applying the WARGI DSS to optimise water supply systems under drought conditions: Analysis of the South-Sardinia water system
G.M. Sechi & R. Zucca
Decision support system for drought management in a transboundary context
B. Richaud, O.Z. Jessen & K. Cross
Managing of the agriculture water consumption to meet the environmental flows of the Lake Urmia during the droughts
M. Moghaddasi, S. Morid, M. Delavar & F. Arabpour
Development and implementation of drought policies and plans from the local to the regional, national and international levels
Towards policy recommendations for future drought risk reduction
E. Kampragou, D. Assimacopoulos, L. De Stefano, J. Andreu, D. Musolino, W. Wolters, H.A.J. van Lanen, F.C. Rego & I. Seidl
The Australian experience in managing through protracted drought
J.D. Connor & J.M. Kirby
Implementing the national drought policy in Mexico: Challenges and strategies for a sound water resources management
F.I. Arreguin Cortés, M. López Pérez & F. Rosales Ángeles
Integrated water resources management strategy to mitigate drought impacts in Mexico
C.E. Torrecillas Núñez, A.C. Ravelo, A.Y. Shamseldin & T. Miguel
Drought and water scarcity in Iran: How to cope with and prepare for it?
M.M. Saravi, R. Shahbazi & A. Malekian
Water markets in Spain: A tool for drought mitigation
S. Palomo-Hierro, J.A. Gómez-Limón & L. Riesgo
Program of preventive and mitigation drought measures in the Rio Balsas Basin Council, Mexico
D. Ortega-Gaucin & I. Velasco
Research and science interfaces with drought policies
European experience with science-policy interfacing to cope with drought
W. Wolters, J. Andreu, D. Assimacopoulos, F. Puma, S. Dias, I. Seidl & H.A.J. van Lanen
Author index
Biography
Joaquin Andreu, Abel Solera, Javier Paredes-Arquiola, David Haro-Monteagudo, Henny van Lanen
