Experts, despite their importance and value, can be double-edged swords. They can make valuable contributions from their deep base of knowledge, but those contributions may also contain their own biases and pet theories. Therefore, selecting experts, eliciting their opinions, and aggregating their opinions must be performed and handled carefully, w
Knowledge and Ignorance. Information-Based System Definition. Experts, Opinions, and Elicitation Methods. Expressing and Modeling Expert Opinions. Consensus and Aggregating Expert Opinions. Guidance on Expert-Opinion Elicitation. Applications of Expert-Opinion Elicitation.