Relations between mainland China and Taiwan have improved markedly in recent years, giving rise to the key question, How far can the current rapprochement go? This book focuses on how mainland China-Taiwan relations are likely to develop in future. It considers economic relations, including the many recent trade agreements, the political sphere, where there has been little progress, the impact of increasing personal, social contacts, and the role of international actors, especially the United States. The book concludes by arguing that the present "circulatory dialogue" is likely to continue, without a transformative breakthrough.
Introduction Weixing Hu Part 1: Does the Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement have spillover effects in political relations? 1. The Spillover Effect of the Economic Cooperation Framework Agreementand Its Implications for Cross-Strait Relations David Wei Feng Huang 2. Economic Interests in Taiwan’s Cross-Strait Policy and Linkages to National Identity: Has the Economic Cooperation Framework AgreementOpened the Way to a Political Solution? Syaru Shirley Lin 3. The Nature of the Economic Cooperation Framework Agreementand Its Implications for Peaceful Development of Cross Strait Relations: Perspectives from the Mainland Li Peng Part 2: Why the political stalemate is so hard to break? 4. Beijing's Evolving Policy and Strategic Thinking on Taiwan Gang Lin 5. Cross-Strait Confidence Building Measures: Prospects and Implications Francis Yi-hua Kan 6. Diplomatic Truce in cross-Strait relations: Limits and Prospects Gerald Chan 7. Politics in command of the Mainland's Military Policy toward Taiwan You Ji Part 3: Social Dimension of Cross-Strait Relations 8. Interest, Identity, and People's Preference on Taiwan's Independence Issue Lu-huei Chen 9. Bidding for Taiwanese Hearts: Evaluating the Achievement of China’s Economic Statecraft against Taiwan Shu Keng 10. Social Dimensions of Changing Cross-Strait relations: the Case of Taishang Chun-Yi Lee Part 4: Whither cross-Strait Relations? 11. The United States and the Changing Cross-Strait Relations Jianwei Wang 12. Peaceful Unification vs. Divided Rule: Assessing Political Relations across the Taiwan Strait Zhang Baohui 13. Prospects of Cross-Strait Relations: Toward an Involutionary Process? Weixing Hu