Reliability, Risk, and Safety, Three Volume Set : Theory and Applications book cover
1st Edition

Reliability, Risk, and Safety, Three Volume Set
Theory and Applications

ISBN 9780415555098
Published August 25, 2009 by CRC Press
922 Pages

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Book Description

Containing papers presented at the 18th European Safety and Reliability Conference (Esrel 2009) in Prague, Czech Republic, September 2009, Reliability, Risk and Safety – Theory and Applications will be of interest for academics and professionals working in a wide range of industrial and governmental sectors, including Aeronautics and Aerospace, Automotive Engineering, Civil Engineering, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Energy Production and Distribution, Environmental Engineering, Information Technology and Telecommunications, Critical Infrastructures, Insurance and Finance, Manufacturing, Marine Industry, Mechanical Engineering, Natural Hazards, Nuclear Engineering, Offshore Oil and Gas, Security and Protection, Transportation, Policy Making.

Table of Contents

I – Thematic areas

Accident and incident investigation
Incident cause levels: An integrated approach to the incident investigation 
M. Ferjencik

Learning from accidents (incidents) – Theoretical perspectives on investigation reports as educational tools 
G.S. Braut & O. Njå

Suggested proactive indicators to be used in oil and gas industry based on a survey of accidents in the industry 
S.O. Johnsen

The innovative tools for prevention of accidents in a post-socialist country 
M. Järvis, K. Reinhold & P. Tint

Bayesian methods

A numerical procedure for handling mixed Bayesian networks 
P.R. Firmino & E.L. Droguett

Contributions to Bayesian Network model design for operational risk in the financial industry 
L.B. Andersen & D. Häger

Data-informed calibration of experts in Bayesian framework 
C.H. Shirazi & A. Mosleh

Empirical Bayes testing with random censoring 
T. Liang & W.T. Huang

Uncertainty in reliability estimation: When do you know everything you know? 
M.J.H.A. Houben, P.J.M. Sonnemans & M.J. Newby

Decision support systems and software tools for safety and reliability
A decision support system to evaluate gas pipeline risk in multiple dimensions 
Y.G. Lopes, A.T. de Almeida, M.H. Alencar, L.A.F.W. Filho & G.B.A. Siqueira

A knowledge-based approach for functional safety management 
T. Barnert, K.T. Kosmowski & M. Śliwiński

Aggregation of randomized model ensemble outcomes for reconstructing nuclear signals from faulty sensors 
P. Baraldi, E. Zio, G. Gola, D. Roverso & M. Hoffmann

An assessment of gaps and technical risks in sophisticated technology implementation efforts in complex operations: A case from an integrated production monitoring environment 
J. Raza & J.P. Liyanage

Analysis and optimization of repairable networks with merging flows 
M.T. Todinov

Automating the synthesis of AltaRica Data-Flow models from SysML 
P. David, V. Idasiak & F. Kratz

Database and simulator supported accident management strategies for the postulated core damage scenarios 
S.Y. Park, K.R. Kim, K.I. Ahn & Y. Choi

Demand optimization model in aeronautical infrastructure to maintain the safety integrity level 
J.K. Naufal Jr. & J.B. Camargo Jr.

Simulation model for availability assessment of airspace control systems 
W.N. Pizzo & P.S. Cugnasca

Supportive software for the multi-criteria decision making 
J. Gurecký, P. Moldřík, J. Dvorský & R. Šebesta

TRACE: A generic tool for dependable requirements engineering 
H.P.-J. Thunem

Dynamic reliability
An approach to calculate multi-system failure coincidence probabilities 
U.K. Rakowsky

LARES – A novel approach for describing system reconfigurability in dependability models of fault-tolerant systems 
M. Walter, A. Gouberman, M. Riedl, J. Schuster & M. Siegle

Modelling and simulation of real dynamic system 
P. Škňouřilová & J. Gala

PAMOS and PAROS: Parallel Addition of Multiple or Redundant Operands in a Single word 
K. Echtle, B. Fechner & J. Keller

Fault identification and diagnostics
A short study on rebooting safe computers and the impact on safety 
E.N. Rosenberg, H. Schäbe & I.B. Shubinsky

An application of squared prediction errors of time domain averaging across all scales on gearbox fault detection based on vibration signals 
R.J.P. Ferreira, W. Wang, M.J. Zuo & A.T. Almeida

Application of a dynamic fault diagnostic method using Bayesian belief networks on a fuel rig systém 
M. Lampis & J.D. Andrews

Estimation of monitoring indicators using regression methods application to turbofan start sequence 
A. Ausloos, J.R. Masse, E. Grall-Maës, P. Beauseroy & A. Grall
Fault detection on textiles by adapted biorthogonal wavelets 
V. Finěk & D. Černá

System health monitoring through Bayesian networks 
O. Borgia & F. De Carlo

Wear prognosis based on identified damage accumulation models 
K.-U. Dettmann & D. Söffker

Human factors

A Bayesian network model for dependence assessment in human reliability analysis 
P. Baraldi, M. Conti, M. Librizzi, E. Zio, L. Podofillini & V.N. Dang

A data-informed model of performance shaping factors and their interdependencies for use in human reliability analysis 
K.M. Groth & A. Mosleh

A fuzzy Bayesian belief net approach to HRA in onshore oil well operations 
P.A.A. Garcia & C.M.C. Jacinto

A proposal for aviation maintenance safety monitoring process 
H.S. Rashid, G.R. Braithwaite & C.S. Place

A review of decision tree models for assessing Human Reliability Analysis dependence 
L. Podofillini, V.N. Dang, P. Baraldi, M. Conti & E. Zio

Accident reporting deficiencies related to human and organizational factors in  engine room fires on board ships 
J.-U. Schröder, M. Baldauf & K.T. Ghirxi

An overview of experience gained in long term applications of HRA in PSA projects for WWER reactors 269
J. Holy & J. Kubicek

Critical features of emergency procedures: Empirical insights form simulations of nuclear power plant operation 
S. Massaiu

Experiences with human factors in Norwegian petroleum control centre design and suggestions to handle an increasingly complex future 
A.L. Aas, S.O. Johnsen & T. Skramstad

How to deal with commission and omission errors in HRA  
P. Le Bot & H. Pesme

Human factors in the layer of protection analysis with emphasis on alarm system management 
P. Kacprzak & K.T. Kosmowski

Human reliability analysis for reducing risk in an LPG treatment and storage plant 
M. Konstandinidou, Z. Nivolianitou, E. Plot, F. Camus, A. Monferini,  Ch. Leva, T. Kontogiannis & P. Kafka

Characteristics of the maintenance human errors involved in unplanned reactor trips 
J. Kim, J. Park & W. Jung

Investigating situational characteristics in the contextual human information processing model for warning citizens 
S. Sillem, J.W.F. Wiersma & B.J.M. Ale

Modeling nuclear power plant operator knowledge and procedural adherence in the ADS-IDAC simulation model 
K. Coyne & A. Mosleh

Small steps towards big accidents 
O.A. Engen & O.E. Olsen

Use of ATHEANA to review emergency operating procedures at nuclear power plants 
T. Ruiz-Sánchez & P.F. Nelson

Integrated risk management and risk-informed decision-making

Adapted principles of risk-informed decision-making for new nuclear power plants 
M. Čepin

Addressing uncertainties in risk-informed decision-making of changes to NPP Technical Specifications 
S. Martorell, M. Villamizar, J.F. Villanueva, V. Serradell & A.I. Sánchez

Asset integrity management paradigm for carbon dioxide underground sequestration 
C. Vivalda

Comparison of risk criteria in safety-critical industries 
J.-E. Holmberg, M. Knochenhauer, A. Persson & X. He

Establishing risk-based maintenance strategies for electricity distribution companies 
D.E. Nordgård & K. Samdal

Impact of event duration on operational risk in financial institutions: A control based approach 
D. Häger & L.B. Andersen

Incorporating risk analysis and multi-criteria decision making in electricity distribution system asset management 
M.D. Catrinu & D.E. Nordgård

Integrating risk management into strategic planning in SMEs  
E. Kupi, J. Keränen, M. Mikkola & T. Uusitalo

Multi-reservoir production optimization under uncertainty 
A.B. Huseby & N.F. Haavardsson

Priorities assignment for actions in a transport system based on a multicriteria decision model 
M.H. Alencar, C.A.V. Cavalcante, A.T. de Almeida & C.E.S. Neto

Review and discussion of basic concepts and principles in integrated risk management 
B. Ale, T. Aven & R. Jongejan

Risk assessment methods applied to electricity distribution system asset management 
D.E. Nordgård, K. Sand & I. Wangensteen

Scientific foundations of risk in complex and dynamic environments 
T.O. Grøtan, F. Størseth & E. Albrechtsen

Social vulnerability to natural and technological hazards: The relevance of scale 
J.M. Mendes, A.O. Tavares, S. Freiria & L. Cunha

The impact of risk a version on optimal economic decisions 
B. Kuijper & M.J. Kallen

Theoretical aspects of using diversity for decreasing of nuclear power plant operation risk 
J. Holy

Maintenance modelling and optimisation
A bivariate optimum maintenance policy for a system under revealed and unrevealed failures 
F.G. Badía & M.D. Berrade

A comparison between different uncertainty propagation methods in multivariate analysis 
R. Mullor, S. Martorell, A. Sánchez & N. Martinez-Alzamora

A maintenance policy for passive components submitted to stress corrosion cracking 
I.T. Castro, A. Barros & A. Grall

A model of imperfect preventive maintenance efficiency based on the concepts of elasticity and effective age 
J. Clavareau & P.-E. Labeau

A new maintenance management model expressed in UML 
M.A.L. Campos, J.F.G. Fernández, V.G. Díaz & A.C. Márquez

A novel approach to model the degradation of components in electrical production plants 
P. Baraldi, M. Compare, G. Rossetti, E. Zio & A. Despujols

A risk management approach to a maintenance decision for an ageing system 
T.E. Nøkland, R. Flage & T. Aven

A two-phase inspection policy for a single component preparedness system with a mixed time to failure distribution 
C. Cavalcante, P. Scarf, A. de Almeida & A.T.C. de Silva

Assessment of economical lifetime of heavy-duty machines. Case study 
A. Jodejko-Pietruczuk, M. Młyńczak & M. Zając

Condition-based maintenance of engineering systems with periodic inspection 
J.A.M. van der Weide & M.D. Pandey

Dynamic maintenance optimization method for commercial heavy vehicles 
K. Bouvard, S. Artus, C. Bérenguer & V. Cocquempot

Employing Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) for improving processes within maintenance 
0. Meland

Imperfect condition-based maintenance on a finite time span for a gradually deteriorating system 
A. Ponchet, M. Fouladirad & A. Grall

Increasing availability through maintainability growth using partial Multi Criteria Decision Making (pMCDM) 
J. Sobral & L.A. Ferreira

Integrating reliability centered maintenance and spare parts stock control 
W. van Jaarsveld & R. Dekker

Interest of a global optimization tool for reliability models adjustment and systems optimization 
A. Cabarbaye, J. Faure, R. Laulheret & A. Cabarbaye

Maintenance management and optimization of FPSOs 
E. Okstad, J. Vatn & R. Bye

Modelling condition monitoring and dynamic grouping of maintenance actions with extended coloured stochastic petri nets 
S. Nebel, A. Dieter & B. Bertsche

Models of availability maximization applied to “k-out-of-n” structures for power systems 
1. Felea, S. Dziţac, F. Popenţiu & I. Dziţac

On line condition-based maintenance for time dependent deteriorating systems 
M. Fouladirad & A. Grall

Semi-Markov decision processes for determining multiobjective optimal condition-based replacement policies 
M.C. Moura, I.D. Lins, P.R. Firmino, E.L. Droguett & C.M. Jacinto

Superposition of renewal processes for modelling imperfect maintenance 
M.J. Kallen, R.P. Nicolai & S.S. Farahani

The effective iterative algorithm to solve a maintenance optimization problem of a highly reliable system 
R. Briš

Uncertainty factors in deterioration modelling of process equipment  
T. Monsås & J. Vatn

Monte Carlo methods in system safety and reliability
A framework for the Monte Carlo simulation of degradation and failure processes in the assessment of maintenance programs performance 
V. Zille, A. Despujols, P. Baraldi, G. Rossetti & E. Zio

Advanced discrete simulation methods applied to repairable multistate systems 
A.B. Huseby & B. Natvig

Comparative cost and utility analysis of monolith and fractionated spacecraft using failure and replacement Markov models 
G.F. Dubos & J.H. Saleh

Component importance measures to identify contributions to system failure for aircraft which dispatch with known faults 
D.R. Prescott & J.D. Andrews

Some optimal life testing for exponential distribution 
W.-T. Huang, H.-H. Huang & K.-C. Yang

Subset Simulation and Line Sampling for advanced Monte Carlo reliability analysis 
E. Zio & N. Pedroni

Occupational safety
Applying the Safe Place, Safe Person, Safe Systems framework: Case study findings across multiple industry sectors 
A.-M. Makin & C. Winder

Matching RATE analysis for SMEs with European Agencies data 
C. Pantanali & C. Bianco

Occupational risk management for contact with moving parts of machines 
I.A. Papazoglou, O.N. Aneziris, M. Konstandinidou, M. Mud, M. Damen, J. Kuiper, H. Baksteen, L.J. Bellamy, J.G. Post & J. Oh

Occupational risk management for electricity hazard 
O.N. Aneziris, I.A. Papazoglou, M. Konstandinidou, M. Damen, J. Kuiper, L.J. Bellamy, M. Mud, H. Baksteen & J. Oh

Radars and health risk assessment 
F. Bozek, J. Navratil, A. Bumbova, J. Kellner, A. Langerova & L. Kubicek

The effect of organizational size and structure on the management of OHS risk: A review of two case studies in the chemical manufacturing industry 
A.-M. Makin & C. Winder

The impact of the occupational safety control programs on the overall safety level in an industrial cluster 
P.A. Bragatto, P. Agnello, M.G. Gnoni, G. Lettera & F.A. Sciancalepore

Organizational learning A Survey of Organization Studies Relevant to Safety and Dependability 
A.P.-J. Thunem

Assessment of HSE aspects by employees’ participation in organizational development processes: “What you ask is what you get” 
M. Hermundsgård & L. Hansson

Cultural differences in design perceptions of consumer products: A Kansei engineering approach 
K. Pearce, J. Harvey & R. Jamieson

Decision processes and improved HSE. Training as a contribution to organizational learning and development 
T.M. Stene, M. Hermundsgård & B.-E. Madsen

Improving assignment and qualification of safety manager at construction sites
K.S. Son, W. Mo Gal & J. Nam Choi

Professional culture, work practice and reliable operations in shipping 
G.M. Lamvik, A.M. Wahl & M. Pettersen Buvik

Risks and engineering design across cultures 
J. Harvey, K.F. Pearce & R. Jamieson


Reliability and safety data collection and analysis

Accelerated test used as a tool for manufacturing correctness check 
D. Valis, Z. Vintr & M. Koucky

An extended Bayesian updating approach to support product selection based on performance testing – A drilling jar case 
J.T. Selvik & T. Aven

Analysing multiple damage causes of complex products using DCD algorithm and WCF approach 
S. Bracke & S. Haller

Analysis of accelerated life testing under competing failure modes with initial failures 
Y. Tan, C. Zhang, X. Chen &Y. Wang

Contributions to the modelling of previsional reliability of hydroelectric plants 
I. Felea & D. Meianu

Crash pulse analysis using wavelets 
D. Černá & V. Finěk

Data farming quality, improving the WSN safety 
J.C.A. Cansado, J.R. Almeida Jr., S. Viana & J. Pavon

Data mining for identification and prediction of safety and reliability characteristics of complex industrial systems and processes 
K. Kolowrocki & J. Soszynska

χ2 test of goodness of fit for normal and lognormal distribution with applications 
N. Popoviciu & F. Baicu

Homogeneity and scale testing for small samples with censored and missing data 
M. Stehlík

Identification of significant effects of altering the testing process with regard to reliability growth management 
D. Vesenmaier & P. Jäger

Importance of regarding the field failure behaviour of automotive components 
A. Braasch, D. Althaus, J.-J. Baek & A. Meyna

Satellite and satellite subsystems reliability: Statistical data analysis and modeling 
J.-F. Castet & J.H. Saleh

The superposition principle to develop the concept of accelerated degradation testing 
S.H. Mohammadian, D. Aït-Kadi & F. Routhier

Used cars data processing and TÜV reliability statistics modification 
J. Zajicek

Risk and evidence based policy making
Evaluation of acute toxicity limits for purposes of risk analysis in the Czech Republic 
B. Baudisova, P. Danihelka & D. Micek

Issues related to localization of an LNG facility 
J. Vatn

Landfills and risk identification 
A. Bumbova & F. Bozek

Risk and hazard analysis
A comparative study on the application of simulation techniques for shipboard fire safety analysis 
B. Dutta & A. Kar

A new fire compartment system in tunnel – The case of the Gran Sasso National Laboratory 
A. Basti, D. Franciotti, G. Bucciarelli & G. Panella

A risk-based cost-benefit analysis of LPG tank vehicles passive fire protection 
N. Paltrinieri, S. Bonvicini, V. Cozzani & G. Landucci

An integrated approach for risk management based on systems availability 
V.C. Damaso, R.M. Okamoto & P.A.M. Cabral

Assessment of major accidents triggered by lightning 
E. Renni, G. Antonioni, V. Cozzani, E. Krausmann & A.M. Cruz

 Comparison of different models for risk analysis to estimate the manpower in the case of roughly defined project’s tasks 
S.M. Eberhardt & M.M. Behr

Comparison of two cost-benefit type of analyses to support a safety related decision under large uncertainties: A case of use of wireless technology in schools 
R. Steen & T. Aven

Differential importance measure of Markov models using perturbation analysis 
P. Do Van, A. Barros & C. Bérenguer

Evacuation analysis: Comparison between NFPA 130 and a micro-simulation model 
A. Raffetti, B. Faragona, F. Vaccaro & L. Pedemonte

Evaluation of safety measures in road tunnels based on cost-effectiveness analysis 
W. Røed, E.B. Abrahamsen, A.K. Midtgaard, K. Haver & H.S. Wiencke

FMECA of a turntable:A fuzzy assessment 
F. Costantino, M. De Minicis, G. Di Gravio & M. Tronci

Formal vulnerability assessment: A methodology for assessing and mitigating strategic vulnerabilities in maritime supply chains 
Ø. Berle & B.E. Asbjørnslett

Improving safety in delayed coking units using HAZOP and LOPA methodologies 
G.P. Monteiro, F.C.C. Barros, E.R. Marins & M.T. Halasz

Key performance indicators for the inherent safety assessment of hydrogen production and distribution system 
G. Landucci, A. Tugnoli &V. Cozzani

Measures for reducing the probability of ruptures of high pressure natural gas pipelines 
G.M.H. Laheij & A.A.C. van Vliet

Modelling of energy supply disturbances in network systems 
J. Augutis, R. Krikštolaitis, K. Šidlauskas, L. Martišauskas & V. Matuziene˙

Multicriteria risk analysis application in a distribution gas pipeline system in Sergipe 
T.V. Garcez, A.T. de Almeida-Filho, A.T. de Almeida & M.H. Alencar

Multiple dimension risk evaluation framework 
A.T. de Almeida-Filho & A.T. de Almeida

Network maintenance contribution in quality terms on distribution network services providers 
J.F.G. Fernández, M.L. Campos, V.G. Díaz & A.C. Márquez

On the limitations of the maximum expected utility principle as a basis for rational risk decisions 
M.T. Todinov

Parameterization of consequences of explosions 
T. Aschmoneit, C. Richter, G. Gürke, B. Brombacher, J. Ziehm & I. Häring

Possibilities to evaluate technical measures in a Quantitative Risk Assessment method for land use planning 
P.A.M. Uijt de Haag, S. Mahesh, E.S. Kooi, L. Gooijer & M.A.M. Heijne

Probit functions: Derivation, evaluation and useinrisk analysis 
R.J. Hansler, P.M.J. Bos, P.A.M. Uijt de Haag, J.H.E. Arts, P.J.M.G. Frijns, W.H. Könemann, H. Muijser & M. Ruijten

Quantitative risk analysis for underground oil transmission pipelines 
A.A.C. van Vliet, G.M.H. Laheij & R.J. Hansler

Resilient organizations and resilient praxis – A review of current status related to safety 
S.O. Johnsen

Responsibility modelling for risk analysis 
R. Lock, T. Storer, I. Sommerville & G. Baxter

Rethinking sociological perspectives on risk for the possibility to analyse and manage security risks 
K. Pettersen, O.A. Engen & T. Aven

Risk analysis procedures for explosives manufacturing 
A.N. Haddad & E.B.F. Galante

Risk assessments for high integrity pressure protection system by using layer of protection analysis 
K.P. Chang, K.I. Nam, S.H. Jung & D.H. Lee

Risk based design of coastal flood defences - A Vietnam case 
C.M. Van, P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder & J.K. Vrijling

Risk influence modeling of recent developments in helicopter safety on the Norwegian continental shelf 
T. Kråkenes, S. Håbrekke & I.A. Herrera

Risk informed oversight in air transport using CATS 
B.J.M. Ale, L.J. Bellamy, J. Cooper, D. Ababei, D. Kurowicka, O. Morales & J. Spouge

Risk management – Selection of adequate tools 
P. Fuchs

Safety risk requirements for combat pistol and its ammunition 
R. Jankovych & J. Majtanik

Self-rescue and safety measures in quantitative risk analysis, modelling and case studies for  accidental toxic releases 
I.J.M. Trijssenaar-Buhre & R.P. Sterkenburg

The branching model of successive events 
G. Dohnal

The development of a method and a tool for dynamic task representation as part of a virtual reality application 
M.C. Leva, F. Mattei, A. Kay, S. Cromie, M. De Ambroggi & T. Kontogiannis

The impact of climate change on the need for a probabilistic assessment of harsh weather conditions in Germany 
G. Thuma, E. Hartwig-Thurat & M. Krauß

The potential of risk assessment based on statistical approach 
A. Giorgetti & M. Delogu

Vulnerability of mid-high rise commercial-residential buildings in the Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model 
G.L. Pita, J.-P. Pinelli, K. Gurley, J. Weekes, C.S. Subramanian & S. Hamid

Risk control in complex environments
Building safety by resilient organization – A case specific approach 
F. Størseth, R.K. Tinmannsvik & K. Øien

Lifecycle physical hazards of polymer foam board 
T. Nakarai, A. Miyake, Y. Oka, A. Kimura, S. Managaki,  Y. Yokoyama, H. Hondo, S. Masunaga & T. Kobayashi

On the use of expert judgment elicitation for autonomous underwater vehicle risk prediction and management 
M.P. Brito & G. Griffiths

Risks of polyaromatic hydrocarbons in military training areas 
J. Kellner, J. Navratil, F. Bozek, A. Bumbova & J. Dvorak

Risk perception and communication
Driver boredom and preferred driving speed 
S. Heslop, J. Harvey, N. Thorpe & C. Mulley

Risk perception, extreme events and institutional trust: A local survey in Portugal 
A.O. Tavares, J.M. Mendes, E. Basto & L. Cunha

The prevention of the professional poisoning caused by lead – Case study 
L. Sikorova, P. Danihelka & D. Micek

What you should remember when reading psychometric studies of risk perception 
C. Kermisch & P.-E. Labeau

Safety culture
Evidence-based development of safety culture at the estonian enterprises 
M. Järvis & P. Tint

The industrial relations of safety – Differences in tripartite collaboration in Norwegian industries 
L. Øyum, K. Skarholt, J.E. Ravn & T. Nilssen

Trust and safety culture: The importance of trust relations in Integrated Operations (IO) in the Norwegian oil industry 
K. Skarholt & H. Torvatn

Safety management systems
A multi-objective approach for risk-management to implement an integrated management system: Quality, security, environment 
A. Badreddine, T.B. Romdhane & N.B. Amor

A study of railway ERTMS safety with Colored Petri Nets 
P. Barger, W. Schön & M. Bouali

Exploring safety critical decision-making 
F. Størseth, R. Rosness & G. Guttormsen

Software reliability
Contribution to highly reliable items’ reliability assessment 
D. Valis, Z. Vintr & M. Koucky

Failure analysis of software for displaying safety-relevant information 
B. Hulin & T. Schulze

Identifying the most important component dependencies in compound software: An experimental study 
M. Kristiansen, R. Winther & J.E. Simensen

On the influence of software vulnerabilities on software reliability: The case of open source component based software 
G. Albeanu, H. Madsen & A. Averian

Principles of the AOP 52 draft on software safety for the ammunition domain 
M. Larisch, U. Siebold & I. Häring

Software critical for safety in reliability models 
J. Sedlák

The use of metrics to assess software component dependencies 
M. Kristiansen, R. Winther, M. van der Meulen & M.A. Revilla

Structural reliability and design codes
A RSM method for probabilistic nonlinear analysis of reinforced concrete bubbler tower structure integrity 
J. Králik

Artificial neural network in probabilistic assessment of strength of thin imperfect plates 
Z. Sadovský & C. Guedes Soares

Assessment of deteriorating reinforced concrete road bridges 
M. Holicky, J. Markova & M. Sykora

Control system design with dependability criterion using structural analysis 
B. Conrard, V. Cocquempot & M. Bayart

Deterministic and probabilistic analysis of nonsymmetrical wind effects to symmetrical high rise buildings 
J. Králik & J. Králik, jr.

Eurocode road traffic load models for weight restricted bridges 
D. Proske & S. Loos

Fluid bearing reliability evaluation using a numerical design of experiments 
A. Charki, R. Laronde, D. Bigaud & F. Guérin

Investigation of parameter influences in wind induced structural reaction analysis due to structural model dimensions changes 
E. Bombasaro

Models of thermal actions for bridges 
J. Marková

Probabilistic approaches in the safety analysis of road piers of annular cross-section 
A. Kudzys & R. Kliukas

Probabilistic assessment of crack width for existing bridges 
J. Marková & M. Holický

Probabilistic safety redesign of existing structures 
P. Bulota & A. Kudzys

Probabilistic solution and reliability assessment of the hard rock disintegration process 
K. Frydrýšek & P. Marek

Structural safety analysis from design to manufacture 
C. Elegbede

Updating the safety level of concrete elements after conformity control 
R. Caspeele & L. Taerwe

Using the Direct Determined Fully Probabilistic Method (DDFPM) for determination of failure 
A.P. Janas, M. Krejsa & V. Krejsa


System reliability analysis
A comparison of safety analysis techniques: Analytical calculations versus Monte Carlo simulations 
J.R. Müller, T. Ständer & E. Schnieder

A faster numerical procedure for solving non-homogeneous semi-Markov processes 
M.C. Moura & E.L. Droguett

A k-out-of-n system with components following Weibull distributions: An algorithmic approach 
M.C. Olvera-Porcel, R. Pérez-Ocón & M.C. Segovia

A location-specific CCF model for supporting the system design process
A. Zitrou & T. Bedford 

An extensible software platform for reliability and risk modeling and analysis 
D. Zhu & M. Dehghani

A practical approach for determination of reliability-oriented system topology in mechatronic systems 
M. Junglas, A. Kazeminia, R. Eick & D. Söffker

A practical Markovian model of the availability and reliability of a mass transport service with non-exponential repair times 
A. Colini, P. Erto, M. Giorgio & A. Testa

A proposed methodology for decision support on ageing systems 
S.L. Isaksen

A solvable common-cause failure model for coherent systems 
C. Tanguy

Comparison of the failure behaviour of the same function in different systems 
D. Althaus, A. Braasch, M. Schlummer & A. Meyna

Design of complex safety-related systemsin accordance with IEC 61508 
F. Brissaud, D. Charpentier, A. Barros & C. Bérenguer

Determining reliability parameters for a tree-structured commodity transfer system with non-independent components 
J. Malinowski

Discrete simulation of reliability and availability systems 
A. Chovanec & Z. Zwiasova

Identification of betweenness-central groups of components in a complex network infrastructure by genetic algorithms 
E. Zio & L.R. Golea

Importance analysis of multi-state system by tools of differential logical calculus 
E. Zaitseva

Is the “kout of n” system really the best? 
J. Kamenicky

Markov reward model for performance deficiency calculation of refrigeration system 
I. Frenkel, L. Khvatskin & A. Lisnianski

Mechatronic system reliability evaluation using petri networks and PHI2 method 
A. Charki, A. Demri, F. Guérin & D. Bigaud

Mission completion probability of cycle rate system 
J. Famfulík, J. Míková & R. Krzyžanek

Multiobjective optimization of fault-tolerant aircraft systems considering system degradation 
C. Raksch & F. Thielecke

On the impact of deferred repair on the expected number of system failures – A stochastic model 
M. Bretschneider

Optimization of system component reliability characteristics at early design stage with economically reasonable uncertainty level 
A. Kazeminia, M. Junglas & Dirk Söffker

Reliability analysis of multi-state ageing series-consecutive “m out of k: F” systems 
S. Guze

Reliability analysis of the electronic protection systems with mixed-three branches reliability structure 
A. Rosiński

Reliability and risk analysis of a ground ship-rope transporter in variable operation conditions 
A. Blokus-Roszkowska & K. Kołowrocki

Reliability assessment of network-based safety-related systems 
Y. Langeron, A. Barros, A. Grall & C. Bérenguer

Reliability quantification of equipment without operational experience 
H. Kortner, S.L. Isaksen & H. Brandt

Reliability, risk and availability evaluation of port oil pipeline transportation systém 
J. Soszynska

Research on fuel cells reliability in order to use in accumulation systems of electric energy 
R. Šebesta, Z. Hradílek & P. Moldřík

Safety and reliability optimization of complex industrial systems and processes 
K. Kolowrocki & J. Soszynska

Safety system reliability calculation – When are advanced formulas and calculation techniques necessary? 
L.F. Oliveira & S. Eisinger
Strategies for handling common cause failures in complex safety instrumented systems –
An example to illustrate different methods 
T. Lilleheier

SysML modelling of safety critical multi-technological systems 
U. Siebold, M. Larisch & I. Häring

The Bayesian reliability growth models based on a new dirichlet prior distribution 
J. Tao, Z. Ming & X. Chen

Updating failure rates and test intervals in the operational phase: A practical implementation of IEC 61511 and IEC 61508 
S. Hauge, M.A. Lundteigen & M. Rausand

Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis
A Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence approach to model uncertainty analysis 
P. Baraldi & E. Zio

An Effective Algorithm for variance-based Sensitivity Indices (EASI) 
E. Plischke

Composite indicators for security of energy supply in europe using ordered weighted averaging 
C.M. Rocco S., S. Tarantola, A.C. Badea & R. Bolado

Estimating uncertainties in maximum entropy distribution parameters from small-sample observations 
T. Most

Exploring uncertainty in quantitative risk assessment used for decision support in electricity distribution system asset management 
D.E. Nordgård

Handling epistemic uncertainties in fault tree analysis by probabilistic and possibilistic approaches 
R. Flage, P. Baraldi, F. Ameruso, E. Zio & T. Aven

Lessons learnt from studies on sensitivity analysis techniques in the EU project PAMINA: A benchmark study 
K.-J. Röhlig, E. Plischke, R. Bolado Lavín, D.-A. Becker, P.-A. Ekström & S. Hotzel

Lessons learnt from studies on sensitivity analysis techniques in the EU project PAMINA: Sensitivity analysis applied to different HLW PA models 
R. Bolado, A. Badea, D.A. Becker, S. Spießl, K. Fischer-Appelt, J.L. Cormenzana, M.A. Cuñado, T.J. Schröder, J. Hart, J. Grupa, E. Rosca-Bocancea, R. Ávila, G. Pepin, F. Plas, K.-J. Röhlig & E.Plischke

Reliable design verification of nuclear turbosets using sensitivity analysis on exceedance probabilities 
I. Zentner, S. Tarantola & E. de Rocquigny

Some useful features of the Bayesian setting while dealing with uncertainties in industrial practice 
A. Pasanisi, E. de Rocquigny, N. Bousquet & E. Parent

Uncertainty assessments in a semi-quantitative risk analysis, with application to health care 
K. Eidesen & T. Aven

II – Industrial and service sectors Aeronautics and aerospace

Cognitive model of team cooperation in en-route air traffic control 
K. Furuta,Y. Soraji, T. Kanno, H. Aoyama, S. Inoue, D. Karikawa & M. Takahashi

Methods applied to identify causes of air events 
J. Żurek, Z. Smalko & M. Zieja

Team cognitive process analysis of air traffic controllers as distributed cognition 
S. Inoue, H. Aoyama, Y. Soraji, T. Kanno, K. Furuta & K. Nakata

Biotechnology and food industry
Aggregation of alarms to guarantee quality of pasteurized honey 
E. Doménech, I. Escriche & S. Martorell

Combining predictive modelling and event tree analysis technique for a better food safety management 
E. Doménech, I. Escriche & S. Martorell

How institutional contexts affect conditions for risk expertise 
H. Merkelsen

Critical infrastructures
“System of systems” approach for interdependent critical infrastructures 
I. Eusgeld & S. Dietz

A multiple-objective approach for the vulnerability assessment of infrastructure networks 
M. Claudio, S. Rocco, J.E. Ramirez-Marquez, E. Daniel & A. Salazar

A structured approach to modeling interdependencies in risk analysis of critical infrastructures 
I.B. Utne, P. Hokstad & J. Vatn

Critical infrastructure safety management 
D. Prochazkova

Indicators of component criticality for failure cascade process in network systems 
E. Zio & G. Sansavini

Modelling interdependencies amongst technical systems 
J.R. Santos-Reyes

Risk analysis of underground infrastructures in urban areas: Time-dependent interoperability analysis 
E. Cagno, M. De Ambroggi, O. Grande & P. Trucco

Security analysis of network access control implementations 
F. Cetin, T. Dagonnier & P. Oechslin

Electrical and electronic engineering
Multi-objective genetic algorithm optimization of electrical power transmission networks 
F. Cadini, E. Zio & C.A. Petrescu

Reliability of electronic devices: Failure mechanisms and testing 
J. Šikula, V. Sedláková, M. Tacano & T. Zedníček

Energy production and distribution
Increasing the reliability of outdoor MV network by means of remote-controlled elements 
J. Gurecký & P. Moldřík

Practical application of MCA8 software for improving reliability of energy supply 
R. Šebesta, P. Moldřík & J. Gurecký

Reliability analysis of electric distribution grid by Monte Carlo method 
A.T. Sikora, S. Rusek, V. Král & R. Goňo

Health and medicine
A hybrid technique to model dynamic aspects of risk in healthcare settings 
R. Kazemi, M. Dierks & A. Mosleh

Design of an incident report analysis system for healthcare 
Y. Asada, K. Furuta & T. Kanno

Modified logistic regression as a tool for discrimination 
M. Rabasová, R. Briš & P. Kuráňová

Information technology and telecommunications
Application of linear logic to backward reachability analysis of Colored Petri Nets 
M. Bouali, J. Rocheteau & P. Barger

Guttman scaling in the FMEA of IT security objectives in enterprises 
R. Mock, E. Kollmann, C. Ballhaus & H. Straumann

Modeling resource availability and optimal fee for priority classes in a website 
V.P. Koutras & A.N. Platis

Reliability analysis of next generation mobile networks 
M. Guida, M. Longo & F. Postiglione

Rollback and roll-forward of architecturally fixed and non-fixed states 
B. Fechner

Safety analysis of the on-board front-end transceiver of the Balise Transmission Module 
J. del Portillo, I. Adin, A. Villaro, U. Alvarado & J. Mendizabal

UML-based Fault Injection for Software Model Testing (FISMT) 
J. Mendizabal-Samper, A. Salterain, S. Urcelayeta, J.M. Blanco & A. Galarza

Using virtualisation and simulation – The way to ensuring more reliable and effective teaching and testing process IT technology 
I.J. Jozwiak & A. Szleszynski

RAMS modeling for maintenance audits 
D. Galar, L. Berges & J. Royo
The quality of graphical data display  
J. Nedbalek

Tools for monitoring and evaluating of warranty costs development 
Z. Vintr & M. Vintr

Warranty cost models state-of-art: A practical review to the framework of warranty cost management 
V.G. Díaz, M.L. Campos, J.F.G. Fernández & A.C. Márquez

Marine industry
Risk assessment in process of LNG terminal design 
M. Gucma

Quantitative analysis of maritime security assessment in ISPS 
Z.L.Yang & J. Wang

Natural hazards
EC Conformity of an Avalanche Release System 
B. Lanternier & J-M. Neuville

Learning from natural disasters: The case of Tabasco’s flooding 
J.R. Santos-Reyes & R. Alvarado-Corona

The potential use of individual and societal risk criteria within the Dutch flood safety policy (part 1): Basic principles 
R.B. Jongejan, S.N. Jonkman & B. Maaskant

The use of individual and societal risk criteria within the Dutch flood safety policy (part 2): Estimation of the individual and societal risk for the dike rings in the Netherlands 
B. Maaskant, S.N. Jonkman & R.B. Jongejan

Nuclear engineering
A comparative study of two quantification algorithms to find cable importance in a fire PRA model 
K.Y. Kim, S.H. Han & D.I. Kang

Augmenting the traditional defense-in-depth strategy with the concept of a diagnosable safety architecture 
E. Bakolas & J.H. Saleh

Fire PSA for a German BWR – Enhanced results and potential plant specific improvements 
H.P. Berg, W. Frey, M. Röwekamp & M. Türschmann

Model uncertainties in a PSA for a nuclear power plant 
M. Kloos & J. Peschke

Monte Carlo simulation for the estimation of external explosion event probability 
J. Hauschild & M. Andernacht

Multiobjective optimization of test policies for GRP-modeled aging systems 
V.C. Damaso, P.A.A. Garcia, M.C. Sant’Ana & P.F.F. e Melo

Nuclear power plant maintenance optimization 
A. Volkanovski, M. Cepin & B. Mavko

Reliability aspects of a stochastic non-stationary process 
L. Burgazzi

Offshore oil and gas
Analysis of risk indicators for major accidents on offshore installations
J.E. Vinnem

Assessment of reliability and residual lifetime of flexible risers subjected to time-varying corrosive environments 
B.J. Leira

Defined situations of hazard and accident related to integrated operations on the Norwegian continental shelf 
C.K. Tveiten, E. Albrechtsen & A.B. Skjerve

Disintegration and revival of tripartite collaboration on HSE in the Norwegian petroleum industry 
A. Moen, H.C. Blakstad, U. Forseth & R. Rosness

Fire loads for realistic risk assessment applications in petrochemical industry 
P. Praks, S. Medonos & R. Raman

How shared situational awareness influence organizational accident risk in the offshore oil industry 
T.O. Grøtan, K. Skarholt & E. Albrechtsen

Job satisfaction and extensive participation processes in organizational development –  A case study from the Norwegian petroleum industry 
T. Korsvold, L. Hansson & A.D. Lauvsnes

Life extension of machinery in the oil and gas industry 
P. Vaidya & M. Rausand

Power system regularity challenges connected to electrification of large scale offshore installations form land                                                                                                                                                 A.B. Svendsen, T. Digernes, Y. Aabø, J. Eman & C. Hernande

Risk influence factors related to evacuation from offshore installations 
J.E. Skogdalen & J.E. Vinnem

Risk regulation in the Norwegian petroleum industry: Robustness and changing methods of operation 
P.H. Lindøe & G.S. Braut

Security and protection
Pool homogenisation for empirical Bayes models 
G. Hardman, T. Bedford, J. Quigley & L. Walls

Terrorism risk as a change stimulus to the Norwegian society 
S.H. Jore & O. Njå

Surface transportation (road and train)
Application of safety principles for a guidance system in public transport 
H. Schäbe, H. Vis & R. Bouwman

Design of a testing bench for simulating tightened-up operating conditions of train’s passenger access 
F. Turgis, R. Copin, P. Loslever, L. Cauffriez & N. Caouder

Evaluation of pressure load on platform screen doors in a metro system 
A. Raffetti, B. Faragona, L. Caddeo & A. Chiappini

Exposure zones assessment of dangerous object transport 
T. Saska & J. Novák

Logistic system modeling using fault trees with time dependencies – Example of tram network 
J. Magott, T. Nowakowski, P. Skrobanek & S. Werbinska

Quantitative risk assessment for railway tunnels: An integrated method and tool to support the fulfillment of the most recent normative requirements 
G.F. D’Addio, A. Raffetti, L. Ginevri & S. Corona

RAM performance monitoring and MTBF demonstration on the SBB SA-NBS project 
B.B. Stamenkovič, X. Villers & P. Dersin

Reliability analysis of an ERTMS on-board balise transmission equipment 
J.F. Sevillano, J. Mendizabal, I. Sancho, J.R. Martín & J. Meléndez

Reliability and safety of railway signalling and interlocking devices 
T. Krenželok, R. Briš, P. Klátil & V. Stýskala

Simulation approaches to evaluate dependability of satellite-based positioning services in railway transportation applications 
J. Beugin, J. Marais & A. Filip

Waterborne transportation
Fire safety assessment of hazardous material transporting ship using fire simulation 
B. Park, J. Choi, H. Kang & D. Lee

Risk estimation of the sea-going ship casualty as the consequence of propulsion loss 
A. Brandowski, W. Frackowiak, H. Nguyen & A. Podsiadlo

The concept of navigational safety management on coastal areas 
L. Gucma

The use of safety management systems within the Norwegian tanker industry – Do they really improve safety? 
H.A. Oltedal

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