This report is FAO's latest assessment of the long-term outlook for the world's food supplies, nutrition and agriculture. It presents the projections and the main messages. The projections cover supply and demand for the major agricultural commodities and sectors, including fisheries and forestry. This analysis forms the basis for a more detailed examination of other factors, such as nutrition and undernourishment, and the implications for international trade. The report also investigates the implications of future supply and demand for the natural resource base and discusses how technology can contribute to more sustainable development. One of the report's main findings is that, if no corrective action is taken, the target set by the World Food Summit in 1996 (that of halving the number of undernourished people by 2015) is not going to be met. Nothing short of a massive effort at improving the overall development performance will free the developing world of its most pressing food insecurity problems. The progress made towards this target depends on many factors, not least of which are political will and the mobilization of additional resources. Past experience underlines the crucial role of agriculture in the development process, particularly where the majority of the population still depends on this sector for employment and income.
'An awesome resource.' Future Survey 'A remarkable achievement' Quarterly journal of International Agriculture 'A valuable source of information on the future of agriculture, gives a balanced coverage of several current issues.' Experimental Agriculture 'This volume represents a major statement of mainstream professional thinking and analysis about global and regional food related issues' Land Use Policy 'It merits a place on the shelves of all comprehensive agricultural economics reference libraries.' Journal of Agricultural Economics 'The current study is even richer than its predecessors.' The World Economy 'This publication represents the FAO at its best' Biological Agriculture and Horticulture 2004 '[It] will be valuable for many years to anyone involved in agriculture in the widest possible sense' Biological Agriculture and Horticulture 2004 'This is an exceptional volume and as comprehensice as one would expect from teh FAO.' Scientific and Medical Network Review, Spring 2004.
Foreword by the Director-General of FAO * Explanatory Notes * Contributors to the Book * Introduction and Overview * Prospects for Food and Nutrition * Prospects for Aggregate Agriculture * and Major Commodity Groups * Crop Production and Natural Resource Use * Livestock Production * Forestry * Fisheries * Agriculture in Poverty Alleviation and Economic Development * Agricultural Trade, Trade Policies and the Global Food System * Globalization in Food and Agriculture * Selected Issues in Agricultural Technology * Agriculture and the Environment: Changing Pressures, Solutions and Trade-Offs * Climate Change and Agriculture: Physical and Human Dimensions * Appendixes * References * Acronyms