BiographyProfessor at the Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India, Ashima Goyal, is widely published in institutional and open economy macroeconomics, international finance and governance and has provided consultancy to ADB, DEA, GDN, UNDP, RBI, UN ESCAP and WB. She is the author of a book on Developing Economy Macroeconomics (Allied, New Delhi, 1999), and editor of Macroeconomics and Markets in India: Good luck or good policy? (Routledge- UK, 2012), Handbook of the Indian Economy in the 21st Century: Understanding the Inherent Dynamism (OUP- India, 2014), and a History of Monetary Policy in India since Independence (Springer-India 2014). She also edits the Routledge journal Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies. She is active in the Indian policy debate, contributes op-ed columns, and has served on several government committees, boards of educational and of financial institutions. She was a member of the Central Bank’s Technical Advisory Committee and is Chairperson at MSEI stock exchange. She was a visiting fellow at the Economic Growth Centre, Yale University, USA, and a Fulbright Senior Research Fellow at Claremont Graduate University, USA. Her research has received national and international awards.
Areas of Research / Professional Expertise
Open economy macroeconomics, international finance, financial markets and regulation, institutions and development
Reading literature, writing poetry, watching films and plays, listening to classical vocal music, doing trekking, taekwondo, yoga and swimming
Published: Nov 21, 2016 by Economic Modelling
Authors: Ashima Goyal and Sanchit Arora
Subjects: Economics, Finance, Business & Industry
We estimate unobserved Indian time-varying natural interest rate (NIR), potential output, and trend growth using the Kalman filter. Semi-structural New Keynesian estimates of aggregate demand and supply with adaptive expectations provide inputs in the process. Sensitivity analysis confirms the Indian aggregate demand to be elastic and aggregate supply flat but subject to frequent shocks.