Leif RODERICK Rosenberger Author of Evaluating Organization Development
FEATURED AUTHOR

Leif RODERICK Rosenberger

Chief Economist
ACERTAS

Dr. Leif Rosenberger retired from US government in March 2016 after a 35-year career as a practitioner, scholar and educator. He was a Full Professor of Economics at the US Army War College, where he also held the General Douglas MacArthur Academic Chair of Research in the Strategic Studies Institute. In addition, he was the Chief Economist at PACOM and CENTCOM and an analyst at CIA and DIA.

Biography

Dr. Leif Rosenberger retired from US government in March 2016 after a 35-year career as a practitioner, scholar and educator. He was a Full Professor of Economics at the US Army War College, where he also held the General Douglas MacArthur Academic Chair of Research in the Strategic Studies Institute. He was also was the Chief Economist at the US Pacific Command (PACOM) and the US Central Command CENTCOM) and an analyst at CIA and DIA. In February 2018, he was promoted to Chief Economist at ACERTAS, a think tank in LA that performs risk assessments. He is also Head of the Global Division at Global Economic Institute; Editor and Contributor to Roubini Global Economics and a Director at Think Renewables Group and Think-Biz Africa in Toronto. He holds a BA with honors from Harvard, a masters from Boston University and a PhD from Claremont Graduate University.

Areas of Research / Professional Expertise

    International Relations, US Foreign Policy, International Political Economy, Mideast Civil Wars, connecting economics to security

Personal Interests

    Research and writing, teaching, coaching hockey and lacrosse

Websites

Books

Featured Title
 Featured Title - Economic Statecraft and US Foreign Policy (Rosenberger) - 1st Edition book cover

Articles

Roubini Gloabal Economics

Kuwait's Frustrating Socio-Economic Transformation


Published: Nov 29, 2019 by Roubini Gloabal Economics
Authors: Leif Rosenberger
Subjects: Economics, Finance, Business & Industry, Middle East Studies, Area Studies

Why Kuwait's public and lawmakers don't buy into economic reforms yet

Roubini Global Economics

How Syria's Gross Mismanagement of Water is a Critical Factor Leading to Civil War


Published: Sep 17, 2019 by Roubini Global Economics
Authors: Leif Rosenberger
Subjects: Economics, Finance, Business & Industry, Middle East Studies, Area Studies

Drought, food insecurity, migration, social unrest and Assad's indifference fuel crisis

Roubini Global Economics

Oman's Make or Break Economic Transition


Published: Aug 30, 2019 by Roubini Global Economics
Authors: Leif Rosenberger
Subjects: Political Science, Middle East Studies, Area Studies

Oman's turbulent journey on oil and non-oil tracks in a cash crunch

Roubini Global Economics

No Quick Fix for Ghana's Economic Challenges


Published: Jul 27, 2019 by Roubini Global Economics
Authors: Leif Rosenberger
Subjects: Political Science, Economics, Finance, Business & Industry, Middle East Studies, Area Studies

At 1st glance, Ghana appears to be on a roll, but appearances are deceiving. Ghana faces daunting economic challenges.

Roubini Global Economics

Afghan Conflict: Cause, Economic Impact and Reconciliation


Published: May 22, 2019 by Roubini Global Economics
Authors: Leif Rosenberger
Subjects: Political Science, Economics, Finance, Business & Industry, Middle East Studies, Area Studies

The root cause of the Afghan conflict was economic failure. Reconciliation requires economic transformation.

Roubini Global Economics

Trump's Economic Coercion Backfires in Iraq


Published: May 13, 2019 by Roubini Global Economics
Authors: Leif Rosenberger
Subjects: Political Science, Economics, Finance, Business & Industry, Middle East Studies, Area Studies

Trump's counterproductive pressure on Baghdad to stop Iraq's natural gas imports from Iran antagonizes Baghdad. Shia Iraq pivots toward Iran.

Roubini Global Economics

Inside Morocco's Economic Transformation


Published: Apr 15, 2019 by Roubini Global Economics
Authors: Leif Rosenberger
Subjects: Political Science, Economics, Finance, Business & Industry, Middle East Studies, Area Studies

Mohammed VI celebrates two decades as King of Morocco in 2019. He has good reasons to be proud of the economy.

Roubini Global Economics

Why American Foreign Policy Keeps Failing in Yemen


Published: Jul 18, 2018 by Roubini Global Economics
Authors: Leif Rosenberger
Subjects: Political Science, Economics, Finance, Business & Industry, Middle East Studies, Area Studies

During Arab Spring, Yemen appeared to be a rare success story. Those days are long gone. What went wrong?

Roubini Global Economics

America Squanders Strategic Opportunity for Shared Prosperity instead of War in Syria


Published: Jul 18, 2018 by Roubini Global Economics
Authors: Leif Rosenberger
Subjects: Economics, Finance, Business & Industry, Middle East Studies, Area Studies

Instead of war in Syria, Henry Kissinger once said. "Opportunities cannot be hoarded; once past they are usually irretrievable."

Roubini Global Economics

Israel: Try Shared Prosperity with the Palestinians in Gaza


Published: Apr 09, 2018 by Roubini Global Economics
Authors: Leif Rosenberger
Subjects: Economics, Finance, Business & Industry, Middle East Studies, Area Studies

Not surprisingly, the callous Netanyahu government shows no remorse for its military slaughtering peaceful Palestinian protesters.

Roubini Global Economics

Reconciling the Supply and Demand for Food


Published: Feb 28, 2018 by Roubini Global Economics
Authors: Leif Rosenberger
Subjects: Economics, Finance, Business & Industry, Middle East Studies, Environment and Agriculture , Environment and Sustainability

Optimists and pessimists would remain worlds apart at the Third International Conference on Global Food Security in December 2017.

Roubini Global Economics

Time to Fill the Socio-Economic Gap in Iraq


Published: Dec 11, 2017 by Roubini Global Economics
Authors: Leif Rosenberger
Subjects: Economics, Finance, Business & Industry, Middle East Studies, Military & Security Studies, Area Studies

As the Iraqi military largely rolls back insurgents from the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) in August of 2017, investors are bullish about Iraq's economic prospects. Is it time to celebrate? Not so fast.

Roubini Global Economics

Why Turkey's Economic Recovery is not Sustainable


Published: Dec 06, 2017 by Roubini Global Economics
Authors: Leif Rosenberger
Subjects: Economics, Finance, Business & Industry, Middle East Studies, Area Studies

There are good reasons why Turkey's economic catch up with advanced economies has slowed since 2008.

Roubini Global Economics

Why Lebanon's New Government Needs a New Economic Model


Published: Aug 15, 2017 by Roubini Global Economics
Authors: Leif Rosenberger
Subjects: Economics, Finance, Business & Industry, Middle East Studies, Area Studies

After a two and a half year political impasse, Lebanon now has a new government. And after 12 years without a budget Lebanon now has a budget. But a desperately overborrowed Lebanon is still vulnerable and needs a new economic model to avoid a potential financial crisis and political instability.

Roubini Global Economics

Can Uganda Step Up to New Economic Challenges?


Published: Jul 25, 2017 by Roubini Global Economics
Authors: Leif Rosenberger
Subjects: Economics, Finance, Business & Industry, Middle East Studies, Area Studies

Back in the 1970s, Uganda under Idi Amin was one of the worst run economies in the world. Thankfully, Museveni's government orchestrated a successful economic turnaround and is now an economic role model for Africa. How did he do it?

Roubini Global Economics

The Rise and Fall of America's New Silk Road Strategy


Published: May 12, 2017 by Roubini Global Economics
Authors: Leif Rosenberger

After the State Department turned down the opportunity to design and implement a New Silk Road, General David Petraeus and his Task Force at CENTCOM stepped up and designed the strategy and got 35 US government agencies onboard. Hillary Clinton gave a speech in India embracing the idea. But President Obama was a skeptic and sent Petraeus to Afghanistan and sent General Mattis to CENTCOM. Mattis zeroed out funding for it. And then China turned the tables on the US with its Belt and Road.

Roubini Global Economics

Why President Trump Should Pursue Shared Prosperity in the World


Published: Apr 01, 2017 by Roubini Global Economics
Authors: Leif Rosenberger
Subjects: Economics, Finance, Business & Industry, History

President Trump is not sure what he wants when it comes to America’s global economic strategy. On the one hand, he has been heavily involved with international trade and finance as a businessman and he hired lots of Goldman Sachs international financiers for his administration. On the other hand, he rallies his populist base by telling them he wants protectionism in order to “make America great again.”

Roubini Global Economics

Iran Struggles to Sustain its Economic Recovery


Published: Mar 22, 2017 by Roubini Global Economics
Authors: Leif Rosenberger
Subjects: Economics, Finance, Business & Industry, Middle East Studies, Area Studies

President Trump is ill-advised. Iran’s support for instability is not inevitable. Iran can choose re-entry into the global economy. Moreover, the US is not a helpless bystander. The US can work with the US private sector and shape Iran’s decision to benefit from a web of economic interdependence as a responsible stakeholder.

Global Economic Institute

Egypt's New IMF Agreement in Historical Perspective


Published: Dec 29, 2016 by Global Economic Institute
Authors: Leif Rosenberger
Subjects: Economics, Finance, Business & Industry, Middle East Studies

The problems which Sisi faced are not new. For 10 years, Egypt has historically struggled to synchronize the three legs of the shared prosperity – strong growth, an inclusive society and financial stability. For a while, Sisi could rely on foreign aid to fill financial gaps. But the challenge for Egypt for the past 10 years has been to synchronize all three legs of shared prosperity. However, this synchronization requires the kind of economic transformation that is far from easy.

Roubini Global Economics

Economic Transition in Afghanistan: How to Soften a Hard Landing


Published: Nov 02, 2011 by Roubini Global Economics
Authors: Leif Rosenberger
Subjects: Economics, Finance, Business & Industry, Middle East Studies, Area Studies

The clock is ticking. Between now and 2014, upwards of 150,000 foreign troops and 30,000 contractors will start leaving Afghanistan. That will create a shortfall in aggregate demand. When war economy dries up, what is the US planning to do to fill the gap or at least soften the blow?

Roubini Global Economics

How Smart Economic Strategy Could Strengthen the Afghan Counterinsurgency


Published: Feb 06, 2011 by Roubini Global Economics
Authors: Leif Rosenberger
Subjects: Economics, Finance, Business & Industry, Middle East Studies, Military & Security Studies

There is no purely military solution in Afghanistan. Only through a truly comprehensive, whole-of-government approach, can the U.S. and its coalition partners succeed in Afghanistan. A critical but often underappreciated aspect of a whole-of-government approach for Afghanistan is the development of its economy. Economic development can significantly reduce the tendency toward violence and foster reconciliation.

Roubini Global Economics

Trade War with China would be Costly and Unnecessary


Published: Apr 14, 2010 by Roubini Global Economics
Authors: Leif Rosenberger
Subjects: Economics, Finance, Business & Industry

Changes in Asia’s supply chain are a main driver of our trade deficit with China. With globalization and the dispersion of production, China is now doing final assembly of goods that the United States previously imported from companies based in Japan, South Korea and Taiwan. As the final leg of the supply chain shifted to China, U.S. imports from China rose as the United States imported less from the rest of Asia.

Roubini Gloabal Economics

Early Warning System for Financial Crises is Needed


Published: Feb 19, 2010 by Roubini Gloabal Economics
Authors: Leif Rosenberger
Subjects: Economics, Finance, Business & Industry, Business, Management and Accounting

If a tropical storm begins to gather hurricane-level strength off the coast of Florida, FEMA warns us. If a ballistic missile is launched somewhere in the Middle East, shared early-warning systems immediately alert affected nations while that missile is still airborne. If a global economic crisis is lurking around a corner . . . nothing happens.

Videos

Try Shared Prosperity to Reduce the Demand for Violence

Published: Dec 11, 2018

Dr Leif Rosenberger's Full Retirement Ceremony Video 2016-03-28

Published: Mar 28, 2016

Dr Leif Rosenberger's Full Retirement Ceremony Video 2016-03-28