Currencies, Capital Flows and Crises

A post Keynesian analysis of exchange rate determination

By John T. Harvey

© 2009 – Routledge

168 pages | 51 B/W Illus.

Purchasing Options:
Paperback: 9780415781206
pub: 2010-04-14
US Dollars$54.95
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Hardback: 9780415777636
pub: 2008-12-21
US Dollars$155.00
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e–Inspection Copy

About the Book

Breaking from conventional wisdom, this book provides an explanation of exchange rates based on the premise that it is financial capital flows and not international trade that represents the driving force behind currency movements. John T. Harvey combines analyses rooted in the scholarly traditions of John Maynard Keynes and Thorstein Veblen with that of modern psychology to produce a set of new theories to explain international monetary economics, including not only exchange rates but also world financial crises.

In the book, the traditional approach is reviewed and critiqued and the alternative is then built by studying the psychology of the market and balance of payments questions. The central model has at its core Keynes’ analysis of the macroeconomy and it assumes neither full employment nor balanced trade over the short or long run. Market participants’ mental model, which they use to forecast future exchange rate movements, is specified and integrated into the explanation. A separate but related discussion of currency crises shows that three distinct tension points emerge in booming economies, any one of which can break and signal the collapse. Each of the models is compared to post-Bretton Woods history and the reader is shown exactly how various shifts and adjustments on the graphs can explain the dollar’s ups and downs and the Mexican (1994) and Asian (1997) crises.

Table of Contents

1. Introduction, 2. Neoclassical Approaches to Exchange Rate Determination, 3. Psychology and Decision Making in the Foreign Exchange Market, 4. Leakages, Injections, Exchange Rates, and Trade (Im)Balances, 5. Post Keynesian Exchange Rate Modeling, 6. Real-World Applications, 7. Problems and Policy, 8. Conclusions

About the Author

John T. Harvey is Professor of Economics at Texas Christian University, USA.

About the Series

Routledge Advances in Heterodox Economics

Over the past two decades, the intellectual agendas of heterodox economists have taken a decidedly pluralist turn.  Leading thinkers have begun to move beyond the established paradigms of Austrian, feminist, Institutional-evolutionary, Marxian, Post Keynesian, radical, social, and Sraffian economics—opening up new lines of analysis, criticism, and dialogue among dissenting schools of thought.  This cross-fertilization of ideas is creating a new generation of scholarship in which novel combinations of heterodox ideas are being brought to bear on important contemporary and historical problems.

Routledge Advances in Heterodox Economics aims to promote this new scholarship by publishing innovative books in heterodox economic theory, policy, philosophy, intellectual history, institutional history, and pedagogy.  Syntheses or critical engagement of two or more heterodox traditions are especially encouraged.

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Subject Categories

BISAC Subject Codes/Headings:
BUS000000
BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / General
BUS027000
BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Finance