1st Edition

Projecting Environmental Trends from Economic Forecasts

By Peter Meyer, Thomas Lyons, Tara Clapp Copyright 2017
    170 Pages
    by Routledge

    170 Pages
    by Routledge

    This title was first published in 2000:  Sustainable development offers visions of the future, but implementation of new sustainable policies seems slow. This text presents a forecasting method directed to overcome some barriers to the implementation of more sustainable economic policy. Using a case study, the authors describe how economic and environmental forecasts can be developed that are relevant to the immediate concerns of policy-makers and are more likely to lead to policy changes. A combination of forecasting methods are shown to evaluate a range of current alternatives in the future. Similar techniques have been used in developing countries, but here the techniques are applied to an already industrialized economy.

    List of figures and tables, Acknowledgments, 1. Forecasting for sustainability, 2. Process overview and rationale, 3. Scanning context and setting priorities, 4. Social research for forecasting: Nominal group techniques in scenario building, 5. Environmental impact modeling from scenario projections, 6. Comparing the effects of economic activity, technologies and practices on environmental impacts, 7. Forecasting for sustainability conclusions, findings and potential, Bibliography, Appendix One: Current trends in Kentucky, List of acronyms

    Biography

    Meyer, Peter; Lyons, Thomas; Clapp, Tara