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Broadening its scope to nonstatisticians, Bayesian Methods for Data Analysis, Third Edition provides an accessible introduction to the foundations and applications of Bayesian analysis. Along with a complete reorganization of the material, this edition concentrates more on hierarchical Bayesian modeling as implemented via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods and related data analytic techniques.
New to the Third Edition
Ideal for Anyone Performing Statistical Analyses
Focusing on applications from biostatistics, epidemiology, and medicine, this text builds on the popularity of its predecessors by making it suitable for even more practitioners and students.
Introduction
Motivating Vignettes
Defining the Approaches
The Bayes-Frequentist Controversy
Some Basic Bayesian Models
The Bayes approach
Introduction
Prior Distributions
Bayesian Inference
Hierarchical Modeling
Model Assessment
Nonparametric Methods
Bayesian computation
Introduction
Asymptotic Methods
Noniterative Monte Carlo Methods
Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods
Model criticism and selection
Bayesian Modeling
Bayesian Robustness
Model Assessment
Bayes Factors via Marginal Density Estimation
Bayes Factors via Sampling over the Model Space
Other Model Selection Methods
The empirical Bayes approach
Introduction
Parametric EB Point Estimation
Nonparametric EB Point Estimation
Interval Estimation
Bayesian Processing and Performance
Frequentist Performance
Empirical Bayes Performance
Bayesian design
Principles of Design
Bayesian Clinical Trial Design
Applications in Drug and Medical Device Trials
Special methods and models
Estimating Histograms and Ranks
Order Restricted Inference
Longitudinal Data Models
Continuous and Categorical Time Series
Survival Analysis and Frailty Models
Sequential Analysis
Spatial and Spatio-Temporal Models
Case studies
Analysis of Longitudinal AIDS Data
Robust Analysis of Clinical Trials
Modeling of Infectious Diseases
Appendices
Distributional Catalog
Decision Theory
Answers to Selected Exercises
References
Author Index
Subject Index
Index
Exercises appear at the end of each chapter.
… would appeal to a practising statistician in the pharmaceutical industry. … [Examples] are clearly worked through from start to finish with hints on presentation of results. … I would recommend this book to somebody who is learning Bayesian methods and it would also be useful for those with more experience. … It should sit alongside other good Bayesian book in anybody’s collection.
—Alun Bedding, Pharmaceutical Statistics, 2010… this book will provide considerable value-added to one’s library of Bayesian books. … In the third edition, the authors directly integrate WinBUGS and R routines into their presentation of Bayesian methods and provide some new material along the way, in particular, an excellent discussion of Bayesian design. … an excellent addition to the growing body of books on Bayesian analysis and is a must read for serious students of Bayesian statistics.
—Psychometrika, Vol. 75, No. 2, June 2010… the third edition has more of a Bayesian flavor with comprehensive coverage of computational Bayesian statistics, including new additions of BUGS and R code throughout the book and reorganization or expansion of several chapters. … I am glad to see that the software code and examples have also been made available on the website http://www.biostat.umn.edu/~brad/dataCL3.html so that users can truly enjoy easy access and convenience in reproducing the computations in the book. In summary, I think this is a very worthy edition and I highly recommend it as a textbook, and for people who deal with biostatistics problems regularly as a good introduction into the literature. Libraries which have the second edition are encouraged to buy this edition as well.
—Journal of Applied Statistics, Vol. 37, No. 4, April 2010… the book contains some useful advice for practitioners. All the essential topics are covered … Throughout the text one can find good practical advice on various implementation issues, and there is a whole chapter dedicated to case-studies. The chapter on Bayesian design provides very good coverage of some clinical trial design ideas that are receiving a considerable amount of interest in the pharmaceutical industry currently. This book, by two very experienced and knowledgeable Bayesians, is a valuable contribution to the growing literature on the practical application of Bayesian methods. …
—Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, Vol. 172, October 2009… A strength of this book is the numerous detailed examples that accompany the material in the text. … This is a nice text and would be appropriate as a reference or teaching aid for a graduate-level course in applied Bayesian statistics. The emphasis on biomedical applications makes it a valuable resource for research in biostatistics. …
—Statistics in Medicine, 2009I like this book a lot. It’s not the book that I would’ve written, and that’s a good thing. Buying Carlin and Louis along with our book will give you two perspectives on applied Bayesian statistics as it is practiced in the 21st century. … I do think their book is a great complement to ours, with a slightly different perspective, strong coverage of the theoretical issues of point and interval estimation, and a bunch of compelling biomedical examples.
—Andrew Gelman, Columbia University, Amazon.com, 2008with this reorganization of chapters in the third edition, I believe that the authors have made their material more accessible to an applied audience, and I would now seriously consider this book for my class.
—James H. Albert, Bowling Green State University, Journal of the American Statistical Association, June 2009, Vol. 104, No. 486Praise for the Previous Editions
… particularly recommend the book to practicing biometricians who want to explore the potential for using Bayesian methods in their own work.
—Biometrics, Vol. 57, No. 3, September 2001
… an important and timely addition to applied statistics … the writing is excellent, and the authors are able to present an amazing amount of material cogently in [a] smaller book … the reader reaps the benefits of being in the hands of a true master …
—Journal of American Statistical Association
The writing is excellent and the worked examples are also excellent for understanding the methods. In summary, I recommend [it] for advanced graduate students and all research workers.
—Olaf Berke, Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, January 2001
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