1st Edition

Bertrand’s Paradox and the Principle of Indifference

By Nicholas Shackel Copyright 2024
390 Pages 27 B/W Illustrations
by Routledge

390 Pages 27 B/W Illustrations
by Routledge

390 Pages 27 B/W Illustrations
by Routledge

Events between which we have no epistemic reason to discriminate have equal epistemic probabilities. Bertrand’s chord paradox, however, appears to show this to be false, and thereby poses a general threat to probabilities for continuum sized state spaces. Articulating the nature of such spaces involves some deep mathematics and that is perhaps why the recent literature on Bertrand’s Paradox has... Read more

1. The Principle of Indifference

2. The Principle of Indifference for Sets

3. Bertrand’s Paradoxes

4. The Threat to the Principle and Four Kinds of Solution

5. The Distinction Strategy

6. The Well‑posing Strategy

7. The Irrelevance Strategy

8. The Maximum Entropy Principle

9. The Universal Average

10. Meta‑indifference

11. Permissivism

12. Uniqueness a Criterion of Identity

13. Symmetry: The Forlorn Hope

14. Unearthing the Root

15. Bertrand’s Temptations

16. Rational Strength

Biography

Nicholas Shackel is Professor of Philosophy, Cardiff University and Distinguished Research Fellow at the Oxford Uehiro Centre for Practical Ethics, Oxford University. His research is mainly on paradoxes and rationality. He has published numerous articles in books and leading journals including Journal of Philosophy, Mind, and Philosophy and Phenomenological Research.

“This is a very useful resource for graduate students and researchers interested in one of the most challenging puzzles in the theory of probability.”

Hykel Hosni, University of Milan, Italy

“This is essential reading for anyone seriously interested in Bertrand’s chord paradox or the broader epistemic issue of the status of the principle of indifference (and the maximum entropy principle.”

Darrell P. Rowbottom, Lingnan University, Hong Kong