1st Edition

Economics and Engineering of Unpredictable Events Modelling, Planning and Policies

    408 Pages 106 B/W Illustrations
    by Routledge

    408 Pages 106 B/W Illustrations
    by Routledge

    In recent decades, the intensification of unpredictable events including the Covid-19 outbreak, Brexit, trade warfare, religion-inspired terrorism and civil wars, and climate change has resulted in serious loss of human lives and property, a decrease in biodiversity and natural hazards (with long-term negative impacts on environment), and impeded social and economic development.

    Economics and Engineering of Unpredictable Events: Modelling, Planning and Policies provides an integrated view of the management of unpredictable events incorporating three major perspectives: economic management, environmental planning and engineering models. Contributors from economics, planning, regional science, and engineering address key questions including; How resilient are human societies and their habitats? What should societies do to shift from being vulnerable to being more resilient? And what role should planning and policies play to protect communities and the natural environment? The chapters cover academic debates, conceptual reflections, case studies, methods, and strategy development with particular reference to mitigation and adaptation in face of unpredictable events.

    This book is of particular interest to readers of economic policy, urban and regional planning and engineering.

    1 Introduction
    Caterina De Lucia, Dino Borri, Atif Kubursi, Abdul Khakee


    2 Economic emergencies: An Introduction
    Atif Kubursi, Caterina De Lucia

    3 Water flows and financial viability of electricity generation in Manitoba: Statistical modeling and prediction of droughts
    Atif Kubursi, Lonnie Magee, Dino Borri, Caterina De Lucia

    4 Assessment of the economic impact from extreme events: the case of Xylella fastidiosa in the olive growing of Salento (southern Italy)
    Ruggiero Sardaro, Luigi Roselli, Vincenzo Fucilli, Giacomo Maringelli, Bernardo De Gennaro

    5 The environmentally acceptable damage and the future of the EU’s rural development policy
    Cosmin Salasan, Ioana M. Balan

    6 Resilience to landslide hazard – a visual and numerical investigation of property price differentials
    Tom Kauko

    7 The need for latent variables for modelling decision-making in evacuation simulations
    Ruggiero Lovreglio, Dino Borri, Enrico Ronchi, Achille Fonzone, Luigi dell’Olio

    8 House prices and energy performance indicators in Italy: Critical aspects
    Maurizio d’Amato

    9 Response to the economic crisis: Profile and remittance behaviour of Latvian emigrants
    Elina Apsite-Berina, Zaiga Krisjane, Maris Berzins, Guido Sechi



    10 Planning dilemmas: An introduction
    Abdul Khakee

    11 Extreme events evaluation and vulnerability assessment in planning: The institutional design of climate change planning and policy
    Ernest R. Alexander

    12 New challenges, old dilemmas? Building climate change adaptive capacity through spatial planning and evaluation
    Alessandro Bonifazi, Paola Gazzola

    13 A relational approach to planning evaluation: Implementation of the European landscape convention and the final disposal of spent nuclear fuel in Sweden
    Sylvia Dovlén, Antoiniette Wärnbäck

    14 Innovation environments and risk management: Results from the KNOW4 European project
    Grazia Concilio, Scira Menoni, John Norton

    15 Performance and communicative evaluation of strategic metropolitan planning in Bari and Taranto
    Laura Grassini, Valeria Monno, Abdul Khakee

    16 Joys and sorrows of living in an uncertain world
    Giovanni Rabino, Maria Rosaria Stufano Melone



    17 Engineering modelling: An introduction
    Dino Borri

    18 Supporting collective decision making processes in case of water management: Reflections on the interaction space
    Irene Pluchinotta, Raffaele Giordano, Alexis Tsoukiàs

    19 Ontological analysis and extreme events classification
    Stefano Borgo, Nicola Guarino

    20 Green infrastructures: A challenge for urban climatic resilience
    Raffaele Pelorosso, Federica Gobattoni, Antonio Leone

    21 Impact of climate change on irrigation infrastructures: Use of localized loops as an adaptation strategy
    Abdelouahid Fouial, Roula Khadra, Nicola Lamaddalena

    22 Analysis of monitoring data recorded in the Mar Grande basin (southern Italy)
    Diana De Padova, Francesca De Serio, Maria Di Mauro, Michele Mossa

    23 Navigating in multi-level buildings: The effects of rotations on people’s perception of spaces. A framework for emergency situations
    Giulia Mastrodonato, Domenico Camarda, Dino Borri, Caterina De Lucia

    24 Evaluation and remediation of a contaminated aquatic environment: Torre Quetta case study
    Giuseppe Roberto Tomasicchio, Felice D’Alessandro, Vincenzo Campanaro, Teresa De Giosa, Elena Musci

    25 Social network and natural language in risk assessment: A conceptual model
    Pasquale Balena, Caterina De Lucia




    Caterina De Lucia is Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Foggia, Italy.

    Dino Borri is Professor Emeritus of Urban Planning at the Technical University of Bari, Italy.

    Atif Kubursi is Professor Emeritus of Economics at McMaster University Canada.

    Abdul Khakee is Professor Emeritus at Umeå University, Sweden.