1st Edition
Expert-generated Data Applications In International Affairs
By Gerald W. Hopple
Copyright 1981
320 Pages
by
Routledge
320 Pages
by
Routledge
306 Pages
by
Routledge
Also available as eBook on:
In the aftermath of the explosion of hard data sets in the 1960s for the study of international relations, there has been a movement back toward the use of various experts to quantify the more elusive aspects of the international situation. These aspects range from the beliefs and perceptions of decision makers to the array of stresses that confront nation-states both internally and externally.... Read more
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS, CONTRIBUTORS, 1 - EXPERT-GENERATED DATA: AN OVERVIEW, 2 - METHODOLOGICAL ISSUES AND PROBLEMS IN EMPLOYING EXPERT-GENERATED DATA, 3 - COMPUTER-BASED BAYESIAN FORECASTING METHODOLOGIES, 4 - APPLICATIONS OF BAYESIAN INFERENCE IN POLITICAL INTELLIGENCE, 5 - DECISION AIDS: ENGINEERING SCIENCE AND CLINICAL ART, 6 - OPEC: A FRAGILE UNITY, 7 - DIVISIONS WITHIN THE CUBAN LEADERSHIP: A SIMULATED POLL, 8 - JUDGMENTS OF COUNTRY SPECIALISTS ABOUT FOREIGN POLICY FORMATION: THE OPERATION OF INTERNAL DECISION PROCESSES, 9 - PROBABILITY FORECASTING IN INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS, 10 - EVENTS DATA AND THE INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS EXPERT: TOWARD A SYNTHESIS?
Biography
Gerald W. Hopple is senior research analyst, International Public Policy Research Corporation.
