1st Edition

Explaining and Predicting Elections Issue Effects and Party Strategies in Twenty-Three Democracies

By Ian Budge, Dennis J. Farlie Copyright 1983
244 Pages
by Routledge

244 Pages
by Routledge

First published in 1983, Explaining and Predicting Elections is the first cross-national and comprehensive explanation of election results. It considers why one election differs from another and attempts to account for party gains and losses in the elections which have taken place in twenty-three democracies in the post-war period. Budge and Farlie base their study on a radically new view of... Read more

Introduction  1. Previous Work  2. Saliency Theory  3. Issues and Votes  4. Predicting Elections  5. Electoral Volatility  6. Party Appeals  7. General Theory   References  Appendix A: Postwar Votes in Twenty-Three Democracies  Appendix B: Issues and Scorings for Individual Postwar Elections in Twenty-Three Democracies  Appendix C: The Coding of Issues: Procedures and their Validity  Appendix D: Scoring Election Issues: Assumptions and Performance of Alternative schemes  

Biography

Ian Budge is a political scientist who has pioneered the use of quantitative methods to study party democracy across countries. Currently Emeritus Professor of the Department of Government, University of Essex, he has been Professor at the European University Institute, Florence, and visiting professor at various institutions in five other countries.

Dennis J. Farlie