1st Edition

Foreign Exchange Rates A Research Overview of the Latest Prediction Techniques

By Arif Orçun Söylemez Copyright 2021
82 Pages 11 B/W Illustrations
by Routledge

82 Pages 11 B/W Illustrations
by Routledge

82 Pages 11 B/W Illustrations
by Routledge

Predicting foreign exchange rates has presented a long-standing challenge for economists. However, the recent advances in computational techniques, statistical methods, newer datasets on emerging market currencies, etc., offer some hope. While we are still unable to beat a driftless random walk model, there has been serious progress in the field. This book provides an in-depth assessment of the... Read more

1. A brief introduction of the global foreign exchange market

2. Prominent structural models for exchange rate determination

3. Nonlinearity of the exchange rates

4. Causes of nonlinearity of the exchange rates

5. Machine learning

6. Comparing the predictive powers of models

7. Should we focus on sign estimations rather than point estimations?

8. Final remarks

Biography

Arif Orçun Söylemez is Associate Professor at the Economics Department of Marmara University, Istanbul, Turkey.