Future Climate Change  book cover
1st Edition

Future Climate Change

ISBN 9780415569811
Published December 15, 2011 by Routledge
2064 Pages

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Book Description

In recent years, future climate change has increasingly been recognized as one of the most important issues of the twenty-first century, challenging the very structure of our global society. No longer just an abstruse scientific concern, it prompts difficult choices for both individuals and governments. Moreover, it is of the first importance to those working in disciplines such as climatology, engineering, economics, sociology, geopolitics, local politics, law, and global health.

Emanating from across the social and natural sciences, as well as in the humanities, serious scholarship on future climate change flourishes now as it has never done before, and this new title in the Routledge series, Critical Concepts in the Environment, meets the need for an authoritative reference work to make sense of a vast literature – and the continuing explosion in research output. Edited by leading scholars in the field, this new Routledge Major Work is a four-volume collection of foundational and cutting-edge contributions.

The first volume (Science) in the collection deals with the development of the science of global warming and climate change, starting with Tyndall (1861), through to the IPCC synthesis (2007), and ending with the very latest research. Volume two (Impact Assessments), meanwhile, assembles the best thinking on how the potential physical, biological, social-political, and economic impacts of climate change are assessed. This volume also includes material on potential surprises that science is starting to investigate, such as the rapid melting of the Greenland and Western Antarctic ice sheets, die back of the Amazon rainforest, release of gas hydrates, and other tipping points. The third volume (Politics and Solutions) gathers the most influential research on climate-change solutions; it encompasses global and local politics, engineering, renewable energy, and geoengineering. The final volume in the collection (Framing the Debate) brings together key scholarship to question and explore how the climate-change debate has been framed and reframed as a scientific, economic, security, health, development, geopolitical, ethical, and cultural issue.

With comprehensive introductions to each volume, newly written by the editors, which place the collected material in its historical and intellectual context, Future Climate Change is an essential collection destined to be welcomed as a vital research resource by all scholars and students of the subject.

Table of Contents

Volume I: Science


1. John Tyndall, ‘On the Absorption and Radiation of Heat by Gases and Vapours, and on the Physical Connection of Radiation, Absorption, and Conduction’, Philosophical Magazine, 1861, 4, 22, 169–94, 273–85.

2. Svante Arrhenius, ‘On the Influence of Carbonic Acid in the Air upon the Temperature of the Ground’, Philosophical Magazine and Journal of Science, 1896, 5, 41, 237–76.

3. J. R. Fleming, ‘John Tyndall, Svante Arrhenius, and Early Research on Carbon Dioxide and Climate’, Historical Perspectives on Climate Change (Oxford University Press, 1998), pp. 65–82.

4. G. S. Callendar, ‘Can Carbon Dioxide Influence Climate?’, Weather, 1949, 4, 310–14.

5. J. R. Fleming, ‘Global Warming and Anthropogenic CO2’, The Callendar Effect: The Life and Work of Guy Stewart Callendar (1898–1964) (American Meteorological Society, 2007), pp. 65–87.

6. G. N. Plass, ‘The Carbon Dioxide Theory of Climate Change’, Tellus, 1956, 8, 2, 140–54.

7. C. Keeling, ‘The Concentration and Isotopic Abundances of Carbon Dioxide in the Atmosphere’, Tellus, 1960, 12, 200–3.

8. R. Revelle and H. E. Suess, ‘Carbon Dioxide Exchange Between the Atmosphere and Ocean and the Question of an Increase of Atmospheric CO2 During the Past Decades’, Tellus, 1957, 12, 18–27.

9. Bert Bolin and Erik Eriksson, ‘Changes in the Carbon Dioxide Content of the Atmosphere and Sea due to Fossil Fuel Combustion’, in Bert Bolin (ed.), The Atmosphere and the Sea in Motion: Scientific Contributions to the Rossby Memorial Volume (Rockefeller Institute Press, 1958), pp. 130–42.

10. Syukuro Manabe and Richard T. Wetherald, ‘Thermal Equilibrium of the Atmosphere with a Given Distribution of Relative Humidity’, Journal of Atmospheric Science, 1967, 24, 241–59.

11. Charles D. Keeling, ‘Is Carbon Dioxide from Fossil Fuel Changing Man’s Environment?’, Proceedings of the American Philosophical Society, 1970, 114, 1, 10–17.

12. W. S. Broecker, ‘Climatic Change: Are We on the Brink of a Pronounced Climatic Warming’, Science, 1975, 189, 460–4

13. W. S. Broecker, ‘Unpleasant Surprises in the Greenhouse?’, Nature, 1987, 328, 123–6.

14. P. D. Jones, T. M. L. Wigley, and P. B. Wright, ‘Global Temperature Variations Between 1861 and 1984’, Nature, 1986, 322, 6078, 430–4.

15. M. Mann, R. Bradley, and M. Hughes, ‘Global-Scale Temperature Patterns and Climate Forcing Over the Past Six Centuries’, Nature, 1998, 392, 779–87.

Climate Science

16. Michael E. Mann et al., ‘Proxy-Based Reconstructions of Hemispheric and Global Surface Temperature Variations Over the Past Two Millennia’, PNAS, 2008, 105, 36, 13252–7.

17. R. A. Betts, P. M. Cox, and F. I. Woodward, ‘Simulated Responses of Potential Vegetation to Doubled-CO2 Climate Change and Feedbacks on Near-Surface Temperature’, Global Ecology and Biogeography, 2000, 9, 171–80.

18. J. Oerlemanns, ‘Extracting a Climate Signal from 169 Glacier Records’, Science, 2005, 308, 675–7.

19. Mark Maslin, ‘Brief History’, Global Warming: A Very Short Introduction, 2nd edn. (Oxford University Press, 2008), pp. 41–59.

20. D. A. Rothrock, Y. Yu, and G. A. Maykut, ‘Thinning of the Arctic Sea-Ice Cover’, Geophysical Research Letters, 1999, 26, 23, 3469–72.

21. IPCC, ‘Summary for Policy Makers’, Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, ed. Solomon et al. (Cambridge University Press, 2007), pp. 1–18.

22. J. Hansen et al., ‘Climate Change and Trace Gases’, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 2007, 365, 1925–54.

23. D. G. Vaughan, ‘West Antarctic Ice Sheet Collapse: The Fall and Rise of a Paradigm’, Climatic Change, 2008, 91, 1–2, 65–79.

24. M. R. Allen et al., ‘Warming Caused by Cumulative Carbon Emissions Towards the Trillionth Tonne’, Nature, 2009, 458, 1163–66.

25. S. Schneider, ‘The Worst Case Scenario’, Nature, 2009, 458, 1104–5.

26. R. Hillerbrand and M. Ghil, ‘Anthropogenic Climate Change: Scientific Uncertainties and Moral Dilemmas’, Physica D, 2008, 237, 2132–8.

27. R. Hamblyn and M. J. Callanan, ‘Of Exactitude in Science’, Data Soliloquies (Slade Press, 2009), pp. 23–43.

Volume II: Impact Assessments

28. IPCC, ‘Summary for Policymakers’, Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, eds. M. L. Parry et al. (Cambridge University Press, 2007), pp. 7–22.

29. N. Stern, The Economics of Climate Change: The Stern Review (Cambridge University Press, 2007), pp. 104–37, 161–90.

30. R. Pielke Jr., T. Wigley, and C. Green, ‘Dangerous Assumptions’, Nature, 2008, 452, 531–2.

31. M. Parry et al., ‘Squaring Up to Reality’, Nature Reports Climate Change, 2008, 2, 3.

Regional Specific Impacts

32. B. McGuire, ‘Potential for a Hazardous Geospheric Response to Projected Future Climate Changes’, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 2010, 368, 2317–45.

33. S. H. Schneider et al., ‘Assessing Key Vulnerabilities and the Risk from Climate Change’, Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, eds. M. L. Parry et al. (Cambridge University Press, 2007), pp. 779–810.

34. P. M. Cox, R. A. Betts, and C. D. Jones, ‘Acceleration of Global Warming Due to Carbon-Cycle Feedbacks in a Coupled Climate Model’, Nature, 2000, 408, 184–7.

35. D. J. Wingham et al., ‘Mass Balance of the Antarctic Ice Sheet’, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 2006, 364, 1627–35.

36. K. Emanuel, R. Sundararajan, and J. Williams, ‘Hurricanes and Global Warming: Results from Downscaling IPCC AR4 Simulations’, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2008, 89, 347–67.

37. R. Wood et al., ‘Towards a Risk Assessment for Shutdown of the Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation’, in H. J. Schellnhuber (ed.), Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change (Cambridge University Press, 2006), pp. 49–54.

38. M. Wang and J. E. Overland, ‘A Sea Ice Free Summer Arctic Within 30 years?’, Geophysical Research Letters, 2009, 36, L07502.


39. C. D. Thomas et al., ‘Extinction Risk from Climate Change’, Nature, 2004, 427, 6970, 145–8.

40. D. B. Botkin et al., ‘Forecasting the Effects of Global Warming on Biodiversity’, BioScience, 2007, 57, 3, 227–36.

41. M. Maslin et al., ‘New Views on an Old Forest: Assessing the Longevity, Resilience and Future of the Amazon Rainforest’, Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers, 2005, NS30, 477–99.

Health Impacts

42. A. Costello et al., ‘UCL–Lancet Commission: Managing the Health Effects of Climate Change’, The Lancet, 2009, 373, 1693–733.

43. J. Stephenson, K. Newman, and S. Mayhew, ‘Population Dynamics and Climate Change: What are the Links?’, Journal of Public Health, 2010, 32, 2, 150–6.

Tipping Points and Surprises

44. T. M. Lenton et al., ‘Tipping Elements in the Earth’s Climate System’, PNAS, 2008, 105, 1786–93.

45. J. Hansen et al., ‘Target Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim?’, Open Atmospheric Science Journal, 2008, 2, 217–31.

46. M. A. Maslin et al., ‘Gas Hydrates: Past and Future Geohazard?’, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 2010, 368, 2369–93.

47. Moss et al., ‘The Next Generation of Scenarios for Climate Change Research and Assessment’, Nature, 2010, 463, 747–56.

Volume III: Politics and Solutions


Kyoto Politics

48. D. M. Liverman, ‘Conventions of Climate Change’, Journal of Historical Geography, 2009, 35, 2, 279–95.

49. M. Grubb, ‘Negotiating the Kyoto Protocol’, The Kyoto Protocol: A Guide and Assessment (Earthscan, 1999), pp. 61–114.

50. C. D. Stone, ‘Common and Differentiated Responsibilities in International Law’, American Journal of International Law, 3004, 98, 2, 276–301.

Post-Kyoto Politics

51. P. Christoff, ‘Post Kyoto? Post Bush? Towards an Effective "Climate Coalition of the Willing"’, International Affairs, 2006, 82, 5, 831–60.

52. G. Prins and S. Rayner, ‘Time to Ditch Kyoto’, Nature, 2007, 449, 973–5.

53. D. Helm, ‘Climate Change Policy: Why has so Little Been Achieved?’, Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2008, 24, 2, 211–38.

Global Solutions

54. S. Pacala and R. Socolow, ‘Stabilization Wedges: Solving the Climate Problem for the Next 50 years with Current Technologies’, Science, 2004, 305, 968–72.

55. M. Meinshausen et al., ‘Greenhouse Gas Emissions Targets for Limiting Global Warming to 2°C’, Nature, 2009, 458, 1158–63.

56. S. Randalls, ‘History of 2 Degrees Climate Target’, WIRES Climate Change, 2010, 1, 4, 598–605.


57. A. Giddens, ‘A Return to Planning’, The Politics of Climate Change (Polity Press, 2009), pp. 91–128.

Energy and Transport Solutions

58. H. Chalmers and J. Gibbins, ‘Carbon Capture and Storage: The Ten Year Challenge’, Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers Part C, 2010, 224, C3, 505–18.

59. P. Menanteau, D. Finon, and Marie-Laure Lamy, ‘Prices Versus Quantities: Choosing Policies for the Development of Renewable Energy’, Energy Policy, 2003, 31, 799–812.

60. V. Dornburg et al., ‘Bioenergy Revisited: Key Factors in Global Potentials of Bioenergy’, Energy and Environmental Science, 2010, 3, 258–67.

61. A. Sentence, ‘Developing Transport Infrastructure for the Low Carbon Society’, Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2009, 25, 3, 391–410.

Market Solutions

62. D. MacKenzie, ‘Making things the Same: Gases, Emission Rights and the Politics of Carbon Markets’, Accounting, Organizations and Society, 2009, 34, 440–55.

63. K. H. Olsen, ‘The Clean Development Mechanism’s Contribution to Sustainable Development’, Climatic Change, 2007, 84, 59–73.

Sustainable Cities

64. H. Bulkeley and M. Betsill, ‘Rethinking Sustainable Cities: Multilevel Governance and the "Urban" Politics of Climate Change’, Environmental Politics, 2005, 14, 1, 42–63.


65. ‘Governance’ and ‘Conclusions’, Geoengineering the Climate: Science, Governance and Uncertainty (Royal Society, London, 2009), pp. ix–xii, 37–46, 57–62.

Volume IV: Framing the Debate

Why Framing?

66. E. L. Malone, ‘Finding Common Ground: The Features of the Arguments’, Debating Climate Change: Pathways through Argument to Agreement (Earthscan, 2009), pp, 65–82.

Development Framings

67. N. Adger, ‘Vulnerability’, Global Environmental Change, 2006, 16, 268–81.

Economic Framings

68. T. Barker, ‘The Economics of Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change: An Editorial Essay on the Stern Review’, Climatic Change, 2008, 89, 173–94.

69. J. Nelson, ‘Economists, Value Judgments, and Climate Change: A view from Feminist Economics’, Ecological Economics, 2008, 65, 441–7.

Ethics/Justice Framings

70. M. R. Kamminga, ‘The Ethics of Climate Politics: Four Modes of Moral Discourse’, Environmental Politics, 3008, 17, 4, 673–92.

71. S. Vanderheiden, ‘Climate Change and Intergenerational Justice’, Atmospheric Justice: A Political Theory of Climate Change (Oxford University Press, 2008), pp. 111–42.

Health Framings

72. J. A. Patz et al., ‘Climate Change and Global Health: Quantifying a Growing Ethical Crisis’, EcoHealth, 2007, 4, 397–405.

73. R. S. Kovats et al., ‘Climate Change and Human Health: Estimating Avoidable Deaths and Disease’, Risk Analysis, 2005, 25, 6, 1409–18.

Cultural and Behavioural Framings

74. A. Carvalho and J. Burgess, ‘Cultural Circuits of Climate Change in UK Broadsheet Newspapers, 1985–2003’, Risk Analysis, 2005, 25, 1457–69.

75. R. Slocum, ‘Polar Bears and Energy-Efficient Lightbulbs: Strategies to Bring Climate Change Home’, Environment and Planning D, 2004, 22, 413–38.

Security Framings

76. J. Barnett and W. N. Adger, ‘Climate Change, Human Security and Violent Conflict’, Political Geography, 2007, 26, 639–55.

77. O. Brown, A. Hammill, and R. McLeman, ‘Climate Change as the "New" Security Threat: Implications for Africa’, International Affairs, 2007, 83, 1141–54.

Science-Policy-Politics Framings

78. M. T. Boykoff, D. J. Frame, and S. Randalls, ‘Discursive Stability Meets Climate Instability’, Global Environmental Change, 2010, 20, 1, 53–64.

79. D. Demeritt, ‘The Construction of Global Warming and the Politics of Science’, Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 2001, 91, 2, 307–37.

Alternative Framings

80. E. Charkiewicz, ‘A Feminist Critique of the Climate Change Discourse: From Biopolitics to Necropolitics’, Critical Currents, 2009, 6, 18–25.

Artistic Framings

81. F. Dunaway, ‘Seeing Global Warming: Contemporary Art and the Fate of the Planet’, Environmental History, 2009, 14, 1, 9–31.

82. S. O’Neill and S. Nicholson-Cole, ‘"Fear Won’t Do It": Promoting Public Engagement with Climate Change through Visual and Iconic Representations’, Science Communication, 2009, 30, 3, 355–79.

Beyond Climate Change?

83. M. Hulme, ‘Cosmopolitan Climates: Hybridity, Foresight and Meaning, Theory’, Culture and Society, 2010, 27, 2–3, 267–76.

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"... this is an impressive collection of writings that will be utilized as a valuable multidisciplinary reference on climate change for at least a decade. Summing Up: Highly recommended" - J. Schoof, CHOICE, November 2012