Globalisation and the Future of Terrorism : Patterns and Predictions book cover
1st Edition

Globalisation and the Future of Terrorism
Patterns and Predictions

ISBN 9780415402965
Published August 30, 2006 by Routledge
278 Pages

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Book Description

Drawing upon new research and methods outside the traditional focus, and by taking both a theoretical approach and a new practical predictive perspective, Brynjar Lia delivers a fresh and fascinating contribution to terrorism studies.

Globalisation and the Future of Terrorism shows us that while predicting terrorism is a highly speculative business, there are ways of identifying certain long-term causes, driving forces and their links with society. Terrorists are usually integral players in local and sometimes global politics. Hence, when the local, regional and international contexts change, so does terrorism.

Thoroughly reviewing the body of literature on the causes of terrorism, this study also combines predictive and futuristic analyses on globalisation, supported by a range of key case studies. It spans from the transformation of international relations, the globalization of the market economy, demographic factors, ideological shifts and technological changes. The result is a set of key conclusions about the future patterns of terrorism, which are not simply best guesses, but also backed up by solid research.

This book will be of great interest to all students and scholars of terrorism, globalization, politics and international relations.

Table of Contents

1. Introduction  2. Causes of Terrorism  3. International Relations in the Future  4. The Global Market Economy  5. The Demographic Factor  6. Ideological Shifts  7. Our Technological Future  8. Conclusion

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Dr Brynjar Lia is a senior researcher at the Norwegian Defence Research Establishment. He is widely regarded as one of Norway’s foremost experts on international terrorism. He is the author of several books, and has published more than 20 research reports and articles.


The future is notoriously difficult to predict, especially when it comes to terrorism which thrives on the unexpected. Brynjar Lia's Globalisation and the Future of Terrorism is probably the best guide available – an impressive tour d'horizon, methodologically sound, well-argued and convincing in its conclusion that, unfortunately, high levels of terrorism are going to be with us for a very long time. 

Alex P. Schmid, UN Terrorism Prevention Branch, Vienna

Globalisation has had a profound impact on contemporary terrorist thinking and behaviour. A pre-eminent specialist on the security environment, Brynjar Lia has authored the definitive text on the subject. As terrorist and insurgent groups worldwide harness the forces of globalization, Lia skilfully dissects its enduring impact on security. It must be read by the specialist and the generalist. 

Rohan Gunaratna, Institute of Defence and Strategic Studies, Singapore and US Military Academy, West Point and author, "Inside Al Qaeda, Global Network of Terror" (Columbia University Press)

Dr Brynjar Lia is uniquely qualified to authoritatively speak on terrorism issues.  This book provides an extremely useful analytical toolbox as to how globalisation and broader structural causes produce and drive terrorism across the globe in differing contexts. The new global security environment demands new thinking about terrorism. This book provides that critical roadmap towards understanding terrorism strategically as an asymmetric challenge for future generations.

Dr Magnus Ranstorp, St Andrews University