1st Edition

Hindsight Bias A Special Issue of Memory

Edited By Ulrich Hoffrage, Rüdiger Pohl Copyright 2004
176 Pages
by Psychology Press

With hindsight, we tend to exaggerate what we had known with foresight. This phenomenon can be observed in a memory design in which previous judgements have to be recalled after outcome information has been made available, or in a hypothetical design in which participants receive outcome information but are asked to ignore it when subsequently judging what they would have said without this... Read more
U. Hoffrage, R.F. Pohl, Introduction. R.F. Pohl, M. Eisenhauer, O. Hardt, SARA - A Cognitive Process Model to Simulate the Anchoring Effect and Hindsight Bias. R. Hertwig, C. Fanselow, U. Hoffrage, Hindsight Bias: How Knowledge and Heuristics Affect Our Reconstruction of the Past. O. Hardt, R.F. Pohl, Hindsight Bias as a Function of Anchor Distance and Anchor Plausibility. S. Schwarz, D. Stahlberg, Strength of the Hindsight Bias as a Consequence of Meta-cognitions. L. Werth, F. Strack, An Inferential Approach to the Knew-it-all-along Phenomenon. M.V. Pezzo, Surprise, Defence, or Making Sense: What Removes the Hindsight Bias? M.M. Mark, R. Reiter, K.M. Eyssell, L.L. Cohen, S. Mellor, "I Couldn't Have Seen it Coming": The Impact of Negative Self-relevant Outcomes on Retrospections about Foreseeability. B. Renner, Hindsight Bias after Receiving Self-relevant Health-risk Information: A Motivational Perspective. H. Blank, V. Fischer, E. Erdfelder, Hindsight Bias in Political Elections. J. Musch, Personality Differences in Hindsight Bias.

Biography

Ulrich Hoffrage, Rüdiger Pohl

'This collection of articles represents a great contribution towards the literature on hindsight bias and towards our understanding of the origin of this phenomenon, while opening many interesting new paths for research.' - Gaelle Villejoubert, Applied Cognitive Psychology