1st Edition

Human-in-the-Loop Probabilistic Modeling of an Aerospace Mission Outcome

By Ephraim Suhir Copyright 2018
    237 Pages
    by CRC Press

    237 Pages 30 B/W Illustrations
    by CRC Press

    Improvements in safety in the air and in space can be achieved through better ergonomics, better work environments, and other efforts of traditional avionic psychology that directly affect human behaviors and performance. Not limited to just the aerospace field, this book discusses adaptive probabilistic predictive modeling in human-in-the-loop situations and gets you familiar with a new, powerful, flexible, and effective approach to making outcomes from missions successful and safe.

    • Covers the concepts, which are adaptable across other disciplines, and methodology for evaluating the likelihood of a successful outcome of an extraordinary situation

    • Considers human performance and equipment/instrumentation reliability, as well as other possible sources of uncertainty

    • Presents probabilistic assessment of an aerospace mission outcome

    • Provides the most effective, physically meaningful, and cost-effective planning of an aerospace mission

    • Offers how to organize and provide the most effective training of personnel

    1. Introduction: Probabilistic Modeling Approach in Aerospace Engineering 2. Fundamentals of Applied Probability 3. Helicopter-Landing-Ship and the Role of the Human Factor 4. Fundamentals of Probabilistic Aerospace Electronics Reliability Engineering 5. Probabilistic Assessment of an Aerospace Mission Outcome 6. The "Miracle-on-the-Hudson" Event: Quantitative Aftermath 7. "Two Men in a Cockpit": Likelihood of a Casualty If One of the Pilots Gets Incapacitated 8. Probabilistic Modeling of the Concept of Anticipation in Aviation 9. Double-Exponential Probability Distribution Function for the Human Nonfailure


    Dr. E. Suhir is on the faculty of the Portland State University, Portland, OR, USA, and Vienna Institute of Technology, Vienna, Austria. He is Life Fellow of the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), the American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME), the Society of Optical Engineers (SPIE), and the International Microelectronics Packaging Society (IMAPS); Fellow the Institute of Physics, UK; and the Society of Plastics Engineers (SPE). Ephraim holds 22 US patents and has authored and co-authored above 400 technical publications (papers, book chapters, books, and peer-reviewed conference proceedings), presented numerous keynote and invited talks worldwide, and received many professional awards. Also by Ephraim Suhir

    Structural Analysis in Microelectronic and Fiber Optic Systems: Basic Principles of Engineering Elasticity and Fundamentals of Structural Analysis, Van Nostrand Reinhold, New York, 1991

    Applied Probability for Engineers and Scientists, McGraw Hill, New York, 1997.

    Dynamic Response of Microelectronic Systems to Shocks and Vibrations, John Wiley, New York, 2011 (co-edited with D. Steinberg, and T. Yi)

    Reliability of Photonic Materials and Structures, MRS Symposia Proceedings, vol. 531, 1998 (co-edited with M. Fukuda and C. R. Kurkjian) .

    Micro- and Opto-Electronic Materials and Structures: Physics, Mechanics, Design, Packaging, Reliability, 2 volumes, Springer, 2008 (co-edited with CP Wong and YC Lee)