Human-in-the-Loop Probabilistic Modeling of an Aerospace Mission Outcome
Improvements in safety in the air and in space can be achieved through better ergonomics, better work environments, and other efforts of traditional avionic psychology that directly affect human behaviors and performance. Not limited to just the aerospace field, this book discusses adaptive probabilistic predictive modeling in human-in-the-loop situations and gets you familiar with a new, powerful, flexible, and effective approach to making outcomes from missions successful and safe.
- Covers the concepts, which are adaptable across other disciplines, and methodology for evaluating the likelihood of a successful outcome of an extraordinary situation
- Considers human performance and equipment/instrumentation reliability, as well as other possible sources of uncertainty
- Presents probabilistic assessment of an aerospace mission outcome
- Provides the most effective, physically meaningful, and cost-effective planning of an aerospace mission
- Offers how to organize and provide the most effective training of personnel
1. Introduction: Probabilistic Modeling Approach in Aerospace Engineering 2. Fundamentals of Applied Probability 3. Helicopter-Landing-Ship and the Role of the Human Factor 4. Fundamentals of Probabilistic Aerospace Electronics Reliability Engineering 5. Probabilistic Assessment of an Aerospace Mission Outcome 6. The "Miracle-on-the-Hudson" Event: Quantitative Aftermath 7. "Two Men in a Cockpit": Likelihood of a Casualty If One of the Pilots Gets Incapacitated 8. Probabilistic Modeling of the Concept of Anticipation in Aviation 9. Double-Exponential Probability Distribution Function for the Human Nonfailure