1st Edition

If China Attacks Taiwan Military Strategy, Politics and Economics

Edited By Steve Tsang Copyright 2006
    234 Pages
    by Routledge

    236 Pages
    by Routledge

    This is a new analysis of the key issues facing Chinese policy makers in their approach towards Taiwan. This is one of the most tense and potentially explosive relationships in world politics.

    This book explains succinctly the impetus, the methods and the consequences if China is to use force, a prospect that has become greater following the return of President Chen Shui-bian to power in Taiwan for a second term in 2004.

    If China Attacks Taiwan shows how in reality there can be no real winner in such an eventuality and how the consequences would be dire not just for Taiwan and China, but East Asia as a whole. Whether China will use force depends ultimately on how its policy making apparatus assess potential US intervention, whether its armed forces can subdue Taiwan and counter US military involvement, as well as on its assessment of the likely consequences. Given the extremely high probability of American involvement this volume appeals to not only scholars and students working on China, its foreign policy and the security and prosperity of East Asia, but also to policy makers and journalists interested in China’s rise and its defense policy, Taiwan’s security and development, regional stability as well as US policy toward China and the East Asia region generally. This text is also essential for understanding China’s efforts to achieve a ‘peaceful rise’, which requires it to transform itself into a global power not by the actual use of force but by diplomacy backed up by rapidly expanding military power.

    This book is an excellent resource for all students and scholars of military and security studies, Asian (China/Taiwan) studies and international relations

    Preface & Acknowledgements

    Notes on the Contributors

    1 Drivers behind the use of force, Steve Tsang

    Part I: Policy Framework

    2 Political and military factors determining China’s use of force, Maochun Yu

    3 The US policy of dual deterrence, Richard Bush

    Part II: China’s Capacity to Use Force

    4 Short-range ballistic missile capabilities, Jonathan D. Pollack

    5 Unconventional warfare options, Richard D. Fisher

    6 Controlling the airspace over the Taiwan Strait, Kenneth Allen & Jeffrey Allen

    7 Command of the sea, Bernard D. Cole

    8 Amphibious capabilities, Bernard D. Cole & Valerie Niquet

    9 Industrial, technological, economic and infrastructure capacity, Tai-ming Cheung

    Part III: The Cost of a War to China

    10 Diplomatic consequences, Yong Deng

    11 Economic and political costs, Jing Huang


    Steve Tsang