This is a new analysis of the key issues facing Chinese policy makers in their approach towards Taiwan. This is one of the most tense and potentially explosive relationships in world politics.
This book explains succinctly the impetus, the methods and the consequences if China is to use force, a prospect that has become greater following the return of President Chen Shui-bian to power in Taiwan for a second term in 2004.
If China Attacks Taiwan shows how in reality there can be no real winner in such an eventuality and how the consequences would be dire not just for Taiwan and China, but East Asia as a whole. Whether China will use force depends ultimately on how its policy making apparatus assess potential US intervention, whether its armed forces can subdue Taiwan and counter US military involvement, as well as on its assessment of the likely consequences. Given the extremely high probability of American involvement this volume appeals to not only scholars and students working on China, its foreign policy and the security and prosperity of East Asia, but also to policy makers and journalists interested in China’s rise and its defense policy, Taiwan’s security and development, regional stability as well as US policy toward China and the East Asia region generally. This text is also essential for understanding China’s efforts to achieve a ‘peaceful rise’, which requires it to transform itself into a global power not by the actual use of force but by diplomacy backed up by rapidly expanding military power.
This book is an excellent resource for all students and scholars of military and security studies, Asian (China/Taiwan) studies and international relations
Preface & Acknowledgements Notes on the Contributors 1. Drivers behind the use of force Part I. Policy Framework 2. Political and military factors determining China’s use of force Chapter 3. The US policy of dual deterrence Part II. China’s Capacity to Use Force 4. Short-range ballistic missile capabilities 5. Unconventional warfare options Chapter 6. Controlling the airspace over the Taiwan Strait 7. Command of the sea Chapter 8. Amphibious capabilities 9. Industrial, technological, economic and infrastructure capacity, Tai-ming Cheung Part III. The Cost of a War to China 10. Diplomatic consequences 11. Economic and political costs
Few regions of the world are fraught with as many security questions as Asia. Within this region it is possible to study great power rivalries, irredentist conflicts, nuclear and ballistic missile proliferation, secessionist movements, ethnoreligious conflicts and inter-state wars. This series publishes the best possible scholarship on the security issues affecting the region, and includes detailed empirical studies, theoretically oriented case studies and policy-relevant analyses as well as more general works.