1st Edition

Inferential Models Reasoning with Uncertainty

By Ryan Martin, Chuanhai Liu Copyright 2016
276 Pages
by Chapman & Hall

276 Pages 37 B/W Illustrations
by Chapman & Hall

276 Pages
by Chapman & Hall

A New Approach to Sound Statistical Reasoning Inferential Models: Reasoning with Uncertainty introduces the authors’ recently developed approach to inference: the inferential model (IM) framework. This logical framework for exact probabilistic inference does not require the user to input prior information. The authors show how an IM produces meaningful prior-free probabilistic inference at... Read more

Preliminaries. Prior-Free Probabilistic Inference. Two Fundamental Principles. Inferential Models. Predictive Random Sets. Conditional Inferential Models. Marginal Inferential Models. Normal Linear Models. Prediction of Future Observations. Simultaneous Inference on Multiple Assertions. Generalized Inferential Models. Future Research Topics. Bibliography. Index.

Biography

Ryan Martin is an associate professor in the Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Computer Science at the University of Illinois at Chicago.



Chuanhai Liu is a professor in the Department of Statistics at Purdue University.

"The book . . . delivers on its promise. It should be read by all statisticians with an interest in the foundations and development of the statistical methods for inference."
~Michael J. Lew, University of Melbourne

" . . . the book covers the motivations for the IM framework, the basic theory behind its calibration properties, a number of its applications and gives a new way of thinking compared to existing schools of thought on statistical inference"
~Apostolos Batsidis (Ioannina), Zentralblatt MATH