Modelling Long-term Scenarios for Low Carbon Societies  book cover
1st Edition

Modelling Long-term Scenarios for Low Carbon Societies

ISBN 9781138002074
Published June 29, 2015 by Routledge
180 Pages

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Book Description

With the ever-increasing impacts of climate change, it is now clear that global society will have to restructure its energy systems in order to decrease carbon emissions. The scenarios under which this transition to low-carbon societies (LCS) could occur would have complex economic, technological, behavioural and policy implications. This volume, a supplement to the Climate Policy journal, considers these implications by examining different low-carbon scenarios for different countries, modelled at different scales and typologies. Two overview chapters, co-written by international experts, set the context of scenario development and quantification of LCS, and summarize the findings on the economic implications, societal responses, technological developments and required policy measures to enable LCS across a range of countries. Further chapters detail the modelling of various scenarios and outline the model methodology, detail the economic and technological consequences of transitions to LCS, and comment on the strengths and weaknesses of specific policies.

Table of Contents

Low-Carbon Society (LCS) Modelling * Policies and Practices for a Low-Carbon Society * Policy Implications from the Low-Carbon Society (LCS) Modelling Project * Achieving the G8 50% Target: Modelling Induced and Accelerated Technological Change Using the Macro-econometric Model E3MG * Global Emission Reductions Through a Sectoral Intensity Target Scheme * A Globa Perspective to Achieve a Low-Carbon Society (LCS): Scenario Analysis with the ETSAP-TIAM Model * Implications for the USA of Stabilization of Radiative Forcing at 3.4W/m2 * Permit Sellers, Permit Buyers: China and Canada's Roles in a Global Low-Carbon Society * Back-Casting Analysis for 70% Emission Reduction in Japan by 2050 * The Role of International Drivers on UK Scenarios of a Low-Carbon Society * Effects of Carbon Tax on Greenhouse Gas Mitigation in Thailand * Low-Carbon Society Scenarios for India

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Dr Neil Strachan is a Senior Research Fellow in the environment, politics and development (EPD) research group at Kings College, London. Dr Tim Foxon is a Research Councils UK Academic Fellow at the University of Leeds Sustainability Research Institute. Dr Junichi Fujino is a senior researcher in the Climate Policy Assessment Section, Centre for Global Environmental Research (CGER) at the National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Japan.