1st Edition

Pragmatics of Uncertainty

By Joseph B. Kadane Copyright 2017
    352 Pages
    by Chapman & Hall

    352 Pages 64 B/W Illustrations
    by Chapman & Hall

    352 Pages 64 B/W Illustrations
    by Chapman & Hall

    A fair question to ask of an advocate of subjective Bayesianism (which the author is) is "how would you model uncertainty?" In this book, the author writes about how he has done it using real problems from the past, and offers additional comments about the context in which he was working.

    Bayesian Paleoethnobotany
    Statistical Sampling in Tax Audits
    A Statistical Analysis of Adverse Impact of Employer Decisions
    Subjective Bayesian Analysis for Surveys with Missing Data
    Missing Data in the Forensic Context
    Bayesian Demography: Projecting the Iraqi Kurdish Population
    An Allegation of Examination Copying
    Vote Tampering in a District Justice Election in Beaver County, PA
    The Effect of Intensity of Effort to Reach Survey Respondents: A
    Toronto Smoking Survey
    Comparing Harm Done by Mobility and Class Absence: Missing Students
    and Missing Data
    Hierarchical Models for Employment Decisions
    Age- and Time-Varying Proportional Hazards Models for Employment
    Error Analysis for Small Angle Neutron Scattering Datasets Using
    Bayesian Inference
    Impacts of Beliefs about Tropical Cyclone Detection on Conclusions
    about Trends in Tropical Cyclone Number
    The Number of Killings in Southern Rural Norway



    Dr. Polhemus is Chief Technology Officer for Statpoint Technologies, Inc. and directs the development of STATGRAPHICS. He received his B.S.E. and Ph.D. degrees from the School of Engineering and Applied Science at Princeton University, under the tutelage of Dr. J. Stuart Hunter. Dr. Polhemus spent two years as an assistant professor in the Graduate School of Business Administration at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill and six years as an assistant professor in the Engineering School at Princeton University.Dr. Polhemus founded Statistical Graphics Corporation in 1980 to develop and promote the STATGRAPHICS software program. In 1983, he founded Strategy Plus, Inc., which developed EXECUSTAT for DOS. Dr. Polhemus founded NWP Associates, Inc., in 1993 to develop STATLETS, a set of Java applets which permit statistical data analysis over the Internet. In 1999 development of STATGRAPHICS was assumed by Statpoint Technologies, Inc.Dr. Polhemus lives in northern Virginia with his wife Caroline and is the proud father of four sons: Christopher, Gregory, Leland, and Michael.