Risk Analysis Based on Data and Crisis Response Beyond Knowledge: Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Risk Analysis and Crisis Response (RACR 2019), October 15-19, 2019, Athens, Greece, 1st Edition (e-Book) book cover

Risk Analysis Based on Data and Crisis Response Beyond Knowledge

Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Risk Analysis and Crisis Response (RACR 2019), October 15-19, 2019, Athens, Greece, 1st Edition

Edited by Chongfu Huang, Zoe S. Nivolianitou

CRC Press

694 pages

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Description

This book collects the papers presented at the 7th International Conference on Risk Analysis and Crisis Response (RACR-2019) held in Athens, Greece, on October 15-19, 2019. The overall theme of the seventh international conference on risk analysis and crisis response is Risk Analysis Based on Data and Crisis Response Beyond Knowledge, highlighting science and technology to improve risk analysis capabilities and to optimize crisis response strategy.

This book contains primarily research articles of risk issues. Underlying topics include natural hazards and major (chemical) accidents prevention, disaster risk reduction and society resilience, information and communication technologies safety and cybersecurity, modern trends in crisis management, energy and resources security, critical infrastructure, nanotechnology safety and others. All topics include aspects of multidisciplinarity and complexity of safety in education and research. The book should be valuable to professors, engineers, officials, businessmen and graduate students in risk analysis and risk management.

Table of Contents

The validity of geospatial information diffusion

C. Huang & Y. Huang

Black swans and dragons

B. Ale, D. Hartford & D. Slater

Risk analysis and preliminary countermeasures of earthquake disasters in Yunnan region

S. Qiao, A. Liu, X. Chen, Z. Li, C. Li & T. Li

Source-attributed QALYs lost, induced by PM2.5-bound PAHs in Beijing, based on a PMF model

H. Cao, S. Chao, J. Liu, Y. Chen & X. Liu

Risk governance challenges in the Greek search and rescue region

A. Liaropoulos, K. Sapountzaki & Z. Nivolianitou

Mutual information-based approach for vine copula selection for hydrological dependence modeling

L. Ni, D. Wang & J. Wu

Influence factors analysis of tornado-destroyed houses in Funing, Jiangsu, China

J. Gao, P. Qiao, G. Zhai & D. Cheng

Evaluation of ecological civilization construction level of prefecture-level cities in Guizhou based on grey relational projection method

X. Feng & M. Zhang

Research on China’s meteorological disaster risk management system mechanism and associated countermeasures

K. Xing, D. Chen & S. Guo

Quantitative analysis and risk assessment of terrorist attacks

M. Hong, R. Zhang, J. Ge, M. Li & L. Zhao

Spatial and temporal patterns, change and risk analysis of meteorological disasters in East China

J. Shi, L. Cui, Z. Shen, H. Yang & J. Tan

A new economic loss assessment system for urban severe rainfall and flooding disasters

X. Wu, Y. Kuai, G. Wei & J. Guo

Assessing the joint dependence of air-water temperature and discharge-water temperature in the middle reach of Yangtze River using POME-copula

Y. Tao, Y. Wang & D. Wang

Equity measurement of spatial layout for emergency shelters with consideration of the needs of vulnerable populations

Q. Li, J. Guo, X. Tan & J. Chen

Assessment for current-carrying capacity of the power grid over South Hebei Province and its risk management

H. Li, K. Xing & Y. Jing

The analysis of data-based characteristics and risk on stable weather during the heating season in south-central Hebei Province

Y. Jing, H. Li, K. Xing & J. Zhang

Difficulties and countermeasures of risk-based urban public safety assessments for highimpact weather

K. Xing, D. Chen & S. Guo

Study on ecological risk of mountain disasters in Nanling nature reserve

Q. Gong, L. Yang, Y. Li & J. Zhang

Temporal and spatial dynamic characteristics analysis of Inner Mongolia grassland fire

Duwala, Yushan, G. Liu, H. Zhang, H. Liu & Wunitu

Impact factor selection and nonlinear assessment model for extreme disaster losses caused by typhoons

H. Liu, Q. Xu & J. Chen

Meteorological conditions analysis of road traffic accidents and risk management based on big data

M. Yang & K. Xing

The combined effect of heavy rain and topography on the division of rainstorm and flood disaster risk in Hebei Province

J. Zhang, L. Wu, R. Yang, K. Xing, X. Yang, J. Wei & G. Ma

A peer-to-peer lending credit risk prediction method: Application of balanced relative margin machine

B. Niu, J. Ren & X. Li

Optimal catastrophic risk sharing for government boundary: A case study from egg price insurance in Beijing

L. Xu, B. Wang & Q. Geng

Study on integrated loss assessment of earthquake-flood disaster in Yunnan Province based on dynamic spatial panel

S. Du, Y. Xue, X. Ji, X. Xie, C. Xue & H. Wang

Assessment of financial agglomeration level of prefecture-level cities in Guizhou based on Internet Big Data

X. Huan & M. Zhang

Analysis on temporal and spatial variation of drought in Northeast China based on SPEI and DSI

W. Wang, L. Sun & Z. Pei

A Python approach to collecting disaster data for the Internet of Intelligences

W. Tian & C. Huang

The impact of ground motion prediction equations on estimating insurance losses in the EQC at earthquake catastrophe model

Z. Xiong, Z. Dai & X. Li

Mass notification for public safety: Current status and technical challenges

C. Asiminidis, S. Kontogiannis, G. Kokkonis, N. Zinas & C. Papadopoulos

3-D simulation and visualization of diversion flood risk in small and medium-sized flood storage polder: A case study of Linan flood storage polder in Dongting Lake Area, China

D. Mao, C. Feng & R. Guo

Human health risk assessment via groundwater DNAPLs migration model

Y. Pan, X. Zeng, J. Wu & D. Wang

Gephi network analysis method for determining assessment indexes of extreme high temperature weather risk about electric power system — a case study of Beijing City

C. Shen, W. Zhu, L. Xu, X. Tang, J. Zheng & S. Yuan

Risk factors analysis for falls among the urban elderly in Beijing, China

Q. Zhang, W. Zhu & L. Guo

Global heat wave hazards, considering the humidity effects under greenhouse gas emission scenarios

N. Li, X. Chen & W. Gu

Nonstationary risk analysis of extreme rainfall events

P. Xu & D. Wang

Flood risk analysis based on the copula method

P. Xu & D. Wang

An approach to measure interaction in precipitation system under changing environment

W. Wang, D. Wang & Y. Wang

Streamflow forecasting using long short-term memory network

L. Ni, D. Wang & J. Wu

Hydrometric network design based on Copula and entropy

W. Wang, D. Wang & Y. Wang

A Copula approach for multi-dimensional ecological risk assessment of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in the surface sediments of Taihu Lake

W. Liu & D. Wang

Return period analysis for extreme rainfall in the western region of the Taihu Lake Basin

Y. Tao, Y. Wang, D. Wang & D. Sheng

Entropy based multi-criteria evaluation for rainfall monitoring networks under seasonal effect

H. Li, D. Wang & Y. Wang

Developing a transinformation based multi-criteria optimization framework for rainfall monitoring networks

H. Li, D. Wang & Y. Wang

A natural environment risk assessment for ship navigation on the 21st-century Maritime Silk Road

X. Li, R. Zhang, Y. Lu, J. Wang, M. Hong & L. Yang

Correlation study of safety and emergency management information systems based on social network analysis

Y. Zhou, X. Ji, A. Wu, F. Yu, Y. Han, L. Fang & Y. Zhang

Research on risk perception of tourism utilization of intangible cultural heritage—tourist perspectives

J. Wang, F. Wen & D. Fang

Farmers’ risk perception and its impact on climate change adaptation behavior

J. Jin, R. He, X. Wan, F. Kuang, J. Ning, Y. Wang & X. Hu

Risk assessment of the transform from old industrial plant area into the creative industrial parks

Q. Wu, M. Sun & L. Wang

How to define and manage stakeholders in sea use licensing in China

S. Liu & Z. Wang

Lack of coordination in communications between scientific society and authorities during earthquakes: Case study of L’Aquila, Italy

P. Kerpelis & A. Karamanou

Swarm of UAVs as an emergency response technology

I. Gkotsis, A.-C. Kousouraki, G. Eftychidis, P. Kolios & M. Terzi

Development of agricultural risk management system in Japan and enlightenment to China

Y. Wang & S. Zhao

Stakeholders’ engagement in emergency management – an overview from the Danish offshore wind sector

D. Ahsan & S. Pedersen

An empirical study on risk perception of hazardous chemicals

T. Liu, J. Dong, Y. Chen & H. Zhang

Research on the evaluation of hotel operation risk in mountain scenic resorts based on AHP and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation

Y. He

Effects of major hurricanes in Atlantic Canada from 2003 to 2018

L.S. Almeida, F. Goerlandt & R. Pelot

Study on system testing approach-based risk evaluation of subsea tree

X. Yuan, B. Cai & G. Chen

Risk of photovoltaic systems on building fire safety in China

Y. Mu, J. Li, C. Ren, W. Zhang & X. Zhang

Analysis of the dangerous consequences of storing pentane in polyurethane foam enterprises

Y. Wang, J. Li, D. Lv, N. Jiang & Y. Zhang

A fuzzy extension to the risk situation awareness provision indicator (RiskSOAP)

A. Zeleskidis & I.M. Dokas

Risk-based fault assessment and priority analysis for safety management in industrial systems

G. Song, F. Khan & N. Paltrinieri

Pool fire of liquefied natural gas

M. Carboni, V. Cozzani, T. Iannaccone, G. Pio & E. Salzano

Failure analysis of gas pipelines under surface load

Y. Li & J. Shuai

The development trends in catastrophes across the world

X. Pan, C. Pu & S. Peng

Improvement of risk communication in the Internet of Intelligences

R. Wang & C. Huang

An approach to comply the geospatial information diffusion filling in gap units in Internet of intelligences for emergency rescue

Y. Yin & C. Huang

The toxic effect of two types of nanoparticles on Pseudourostyla cristata

X. Zhao, Z. Gong, Y. Lv, X. Gao, X. Fan & B. Ni

Risk analysis of large-scale gasoline spill fire based on experiment and numerical simulation

Y. Zhang, C. Ren, J. Li, J. Wang & T. Xue

Analysis of evolution law for aviation emergency rescue processes after earthquakes

X. Zhang, H. Chi & X. Hu

New approach of forming the confinement barrier by phenolic foam for “stopping” the liquid chemical spills and flowing fires

N. Jiang, C. Ren, Y. Sun, J. Li, D. Lv, Y. Zhang & Y. Mu

Research on the characteristics of road transportation of hazardous chemicals in China

R. Zhao, R. Yu, J. Zhao, X. Ji & C. Li

Review of risk assessment guidelines for LNG ship bunkering

O. Aneziris, I. Koromila & Z. Nivolianitou

Developing a risk-based method for predicting the severity of fire accidents in road tunnels

P. Ntzeremes, K. Kirytopoulos & V. Leopoulos

Analysis and prevention countermeasures of safety accidents in catering industry based on situational factors

Y. Han, X. Ji, F. Yu, Y. Zhou, Y. Liu, C. Zhang & T. Chen

Occupational safety status and countermeasures based on casualty accidents from 2012 to 2018 in Beijing

F. Yu, X. Ji, A. Wu, M. Wen & Y. Liu

Response of Paramecium caudatum to the stress of tetracycline and tetracycline hydrochloride

M. Du, Y. Zhao, X. Wang, W. Zheng, C. Ge, Y. Chen & N. Ren

Risk analysis of seismic hazard correlation between nuclear power plants

Q. Wu

Uncertainty research for a near-field ground motion numerical simulation of the Tonghai earthquake

Z. Li, S. Qiao, X. Chen, Q. Wu & C. Li

The experiences of Mexico City residents during two strong earthquakes in 2017

J. Santos-Reyes & T. Gouzeva

Rupture direction study of two Tonghai Ms 5.0 earthquakes on August 13 and 14, 2018

X. Chen, Q. Luo, M. Gao, S. Qiao, S. Li & J. Cui

Research on risk assessment methods of urban disaster chain during the Beijing Winter Olympics

M. Liu, W. Zhu, J. Zheng & Q. You

Analysis of factors affecting construction safety management of steel structures

A. Lu, Q. Wu, N. Li & X. Hu

Unsafe behavior causation analysis of hazardous chemicals accidents based on BN-HFACs method

X. Li & T. Liu

Comparative study on seismic risk of buildings in Chinese Tibet and Nepal

C. Li & H. Lu

Seismic safety analysis of the gas pipeline crossing through the Kezil thrust fault

L. Wang, A. Liu & Y. Cao

A new debris flow mitigation method based on small watershed functional map: A case study in the Shenshui watershed, China

J. Wang, Q. Gong & Y. Yu

Driving factors affecting investment risk in international infrastructure construction focusing on Southeastern Asia

T. Yuan, P. Xiang, Q. Zhang, Z. Ye & J. Zhang

Analysis of compliance risks in overseas infrastructure projects under the Belt and Road Initiative

Z. Ye, P. Xiang, W. Xiang, F. Jin & S. Wei

Social network analysis of the relationship between risks of overseas high-speed rail projects

J. Zhang, P. Xiang, T. Yun & M. Hu

Contagion effect of associated credit risk in supply chains based on dual-channel financing

X. Xie, Y. Yang, J. Gu, Q. Qian & Z. Zhou

Evaluation on big data industry development level of prefecture- level cities in Guizhou based on the hesitant fuzzy linguistic TOPSIS method

P. Lujing & Z. Mu

Regional differences between climate change and development in China in historical and future periods

W. Gu & K. Bai

Research on the associated features between different countries and terrorist attacks

G. Li, L. Zhao, W. Han, G. Guo & Y. Wang

Using game theory for deployment of security forces in response to multiple coordinated attacks

C.-K. Wu

Modeling of scientific collaboration network of megaprojects based on risk analysis

J. Dong, T. Liu & Z. Li

About the Editors

Chongfu Huang, President of Society for Risk Analysis - China, is a full professor at Beijing Normal University. He received his Ph.D. in Applied Mathematics from Beijing Normal University in 1993. As an advisor, he served for the Beijing Municipal Emergency Management Office to assess risks during the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games. His significant contributions to science involve the discovery of the principle of information diffusion shown in "Towards Efficient Fuzzy Information Processing" published by Springer in 2002. His significant contribution to society are that he established the Risk Analysis Council of China Association for Disaster Prevention in 2004, which is the unique academic organization authorized by the Chinese government for studying all risk issues. His current research interests include internet of intelligences in risk analysis for online services, intelligent mathematics and natural disasters. As Mercator Professor, he worked at the University of Dortmund, Germany, during August 2000 - August 2001. In recognition of the major national and international contributions he has made to the discipline of risk analysis, the Society for Risk Analysis awarded him the 2014 Fellow Award.

Dr Zoe S. Nivolianitou works as a senior researcher in the National Centre for Scientific Research "DEMOKRITOS" (NCSRD) in Athens, Greece. She is a Greek chartered Chemical engineer (1983-87, PhD and Diploma in Chemical Engineering from the National Technical University in Athens, Greece) with further consolidated knowledge on the Risk and Safety Analysis of Chemical Plants with an over 30 year experience in the area of industrial safety. As a grantee of the European Commission, she spent four years at the JRC-ISPRA, Italy (1983-87). Her main research domains comprise Risk Analysis; Safety Auditing in the process Industry; Decision Making in Land Use Planning around chemical sites; Decision Support in Environmental Impact Analysis; and Human Factor analysis. Being among the principal investigators in several EC funded R&D projects (co-ordinator for DEMOKRITOS in five of them), she has also served in several international bodies (like the NATO and the EC) offering expertise in the above areas together with her consultancy to the Greek government in the evaluation of the ‘SEVESO" reports. She has published more than 70 scientific publications and technical reports and has co-authored four books. Dr Nivolianitou is a member (through her Institute) at SRA-Europe and ESRA.

About the Series

Communications in Cybernetics, Systems Science and Engineering – Proceedings

Communications in Cybernetics, Systems Science and Engineering - Proceedings (CCSSEP) is a cross-disciplinary series devoted to theoretical and applied research contributions to cybernetics, systems science and engineering. The series aims to publish the highest quality conference proceedings on the most recent advances and innovative applications in the relevant areas of investigation, catering to a rapidly growing worldwide interest in a cybernetic and systemic methodology with an ever-increasing capacity to deal with new challenges in a way that traditional science can not. The CCSSEP series will consolidate the worldwide findings in systems science and engineering and aims to become a comprehensive theoretical, practical, international, multi- and interdisciplinary database of, reference work on and guide to issues in these fields of research and the strategies required for better implementation in the context of environmental protection and sustainable social and economic development. Carefully edited conference proceedings, featuring contributions from leading scholars and engineers, will make valuable contributions to a deeper understanding of human, artificial and natural systems as well as of issues that confront the modern world. Communications in Cybernetics, Systems Science and Engineering - Proceedings is committed to nurturing worldwide conversations about cybernetic and systemic approaches for the betterment of human lives and aims to make a substantial contribution to rethinking science as well as engineering applications of cybernetic and systemic methods in all types of settings.

The series aims at professionals, academics and students in the theoretical and applied fields of cybernetics, systems science and engineering, researchers and consultants in cybernetics and systems, computer and information scientists, development and systems engineers, mathematicians, librarians, management cyberneticists and systemists, medical scientists, educators, advanced research workers, intelligent and manufacturing engineers in industry and researchers at universities with an interest in the application of modeling, simulation, optimization and control to specific systems. It will also prove useful to leading decision- and policy-makers, governmental policy-makers, business leaders, and international bodies like the United Nations family and the international and regional development banks, financial institutions and donors associated with technical and economic cooperation in developing countries.

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Subject Categories

BISAC Subject Codes/Headings:
SCI026000
SCIENCE / Environmental Science
TEC009020
TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING / Civil / General
TEC010000
TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING / Environmental / General
TEC017000
TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING / Industrial Health & Safety