1st Edition

Safety and Reliability: Methodology and Applications

    Within the last fifty years the performance requirements for technical objects and systems were supplemented with: customer expectations (quality), abilities to prevent the loss of the object properties in operation time (reliability and maintainability), protection against the effects of undesirable events (safety and security) and the ability to restore performance (resilience). The need to adapt the operation of complex systems in such an uncertain and volatile environment has caused the necessity to formulate new and well established achievements associated with modeling, testing and evaluation of these properties. The concept of a complex system applies not only to the technical ones but also the infrastructure of major importance for social life such as transportation and logistics systems, buildings, power systems, water distribution systems or health services.

    Safety and Reliability: Methodology and Applications contains the proceedings of the 24th European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 2014, Wroclaw, Poland, 14-18 September 2014), and discusses theories and methods and their applications in the areas of risk, safety and reliability. The abstracts book (408 pages) + full paper CD-ROM (2496 pages) will be of interest to researchers and practitioners, academics and engineers working in academic, industrial and governmental sectors.

    Conference organization


    Accident and incident investigation and modelling

    Aeronautics and aerospace

    An incident reporting support system for airline cabin crew
    K. Furuta, K. Okano, T. Kanno, T. Mori & S. Shimizu

    Chemical process industry

    The effect of the environment conditions on the prediction of flammable cloud dispersion
    A.M. Schleder, M.R. Martins, E. Pastor & E. Planas

    Scenario identification in oil and gas industry: A case in the Middle East
    Z. Rezvani, P. Swuste & P. Hudson

    Civil engineering

    Analysis of roadside safety barrier using numerical model
    P. Hradil, J. Kala & V. Salajka

    Critical infrastructure

    Developing a framework for characterising cascading failures in past events to inform emergency response decisions
    H. Hassel, A. Cedergren, L. Svegrup & J. Johansson

    A critical evaluation of risk assessment methodology for natural gas pipeline
    J. Kraus

    An ontology-based approach to vulnerability and interdependency modelling for Critical Infrastructure systems
    P. Trucco & B. Petrenj

    Electrical engineering

    Renewable sources impact on power system reliability and nuclear safety
    A. Volkanovski & B. Gjorgiev

    Maritime transportation

    Titanic viewed from different perspectives on major accidents
    H. Kim & S. Haugen

    Usability of accident and incident reports for evidence-based risk modeling of ship grounding
    A. Mazaheri & J. Montewka

    Winter navigation at the Baltic Sea: An analysis of accidents occurred during winters 2002–2003 & 2009–2013
    O.A. Valdez Banda, F. Goerlandt, J. Montewka & P. Kujala

    Rail transportation

    Structuring contributors to successful operation
    J. Vatn

    Road transportation

    Country Safety Performance Function and the factors affecting it
    K. Jamroz

    Method of dynamic identification of hazardous driver behaviour by traffic parameters detection
    M. Sumiła & M. Siergiejczyk

    Waterborne transportation

    The method of risk management of accidental oil spills at sea
    K. Łazuga & L. Gucma

    Other reliability and safety areas

    The impact of new technologies on the safety level of air traffic in Poland
    K. Krzykowska & M. Siergiejczyk

    Black swan accidents: Predicting and preventing the unpredictable
    D.J. Winfield

    Analytical methods in system safety and reliability

    Aeronautics and aerospace

    Studies of the jet engine control quality based on its response to the disturbance inflicted on the object, designated from its response to the set point inflicted to the controller
    K. Golak, P. Lindstedt & R. Grądzki

    The mathematical formula of safety of aircrafts
    J. Lewitowicz, S. Rutkowski, R. Tomaska & A. Żyluk

    The reliability analysis of the satellite’s driving system based on the IABCBLT method
    W. Peng, J. Zhang & L.J. Kan

    The effectiveness of the FMEA technology in the process of the aerospace product development
    J. Shuyuan, L. Fuqiu, W. Jinjing & L. Meinan

    Reliability modeling method of space mechanism considering dynamical cascading effects
    C.L. Tan, J.G. Zhang, P. Wang & L.J. Kan

    Chemical process industry

    Comparative analysis of calculation methods of pressure drops for two-phase flow through pipelines
    G. Boccardi, R. Trinchieri, R. Bubbico & B. Mazzarotta

    Critical infrastructure

    Empirical Bayes inference with nonlinear homogenizations and correlated intensity functions: Use in asset degradation modelling
    G. Blair, J. Quigley & L. Walls

    Dependence of the gas supply system criticality indicator(s) on the system elements’ reliability
    B. Jokšas, I. Žutautaitė, J. Augutis & T. Rekašius

    Comparing societal consequence measures of outages in electrical distribution systems
    F. Landegren, J. Johansson & O. Samuelsson

    On the resilience analysis of interconnected systems by a set-theoretic approach
    X. Liu, I. Prodan & E. Zio

    A brief note on the ratio of the rectilinear and shortest distance between two arbitrary points on the 3-sphere
    M.A. Odijk & P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder

    A game-theoretical model to allocate security resources in a multi-modal transportation system facing adaptive adversaries
    L. Talarico, K. Sörensen & G. Reniers

    Electronic industry

    Assessment of the critical events sequences of systems by means of probabilistic languages
    D. Ionescu, N. Brînzei & J.F. Pétin

    Energy production and distribution

    RAM analysis applied to decommissioning phase: Comparison and assessment of different methods to predict future failures
    E. Calixto & Y. Bot

    Reliability indices computation for a flow network with a series-parallel-reducible structure
    J. Malinowski

    Information technology and telecommunication

    Minimal cut sets and direct partial logic derivatives in reliability analysis
    M. Kvassay, E. Zaitseva & V. Levashenko

    On the probability of escaping a cell—in wireless networks
    C. Tanguy

    Maritime transportation

    Reliability analysis of ship-rope transporter with dependent components
    A. Blokus-Roszkowska & K. Kołowrocki

    Maritime traffic flow simulation in the Intelligent Transportation Systems theme
    A. Blokus-Roszkowska & L. Smolarek

    Modeling of event trees for the rapid scenario development
    M.K. Gerigk

    The influence of screw propellers manufacturing accuracy on conditions of the propulsion system operating
    E. Skupień

    Mechanical engineering

    Contribution to oil data assessment for system condition determination
    D. Vališ & L. Žák

    Rail transportation

    Dependability and safety analysis of ERTMS level 3 using analytic estimation
    T. Babczyński & J. Magott

    Streamlining architectures for integrated safety analysis using Design Structure Matrices (DSMs)
    K. Höfig, J.Z. Guo & A. Kazeminia

    The Markov reliability and safety model of the railway transportation system
    F.J. Restel

    Reliability analysis of rail teleinformation system
    M. Siergiejczyk

    Road transportation

    Premises of evaluation of the technical object suitability with including the quality of its maintenance and operation, and their initial conditions
    R. Grądzki, P. Lindstedt & K. Golak

    Bivariate reliability analysis of driving profiles in automobile fleets
    T. Köttermann, M. Grabert, S. Kempe & S. Bracke

    Attempt to apply the theory of reliability to assessment of signalised lane operation
    K. Ostrowski

    Reliability-exploitation analysis of power supply in transport telematics system
    A. Rosiński

    Reliability-maintenance analysis of highway emergency communication systems
    M. Siergiejczyk, J. Chmiel & A. Rosiński

    Hierarchical random models in road transport safety
    J. Wachnicka, K. Jamroz & L. Smolarek

    Other reliability and safety areas

    Overall regional risk analysis of four Norwegian municipalities
    R. Flage, Ø. Amundrud & H.S. Wiencke

    Modeling reliability of complex port transportation system
    K. Kołowrocki & J. Soszyńska-Budny

    Reliability optimization of complex port transportation system
    K. Kołowrocki & J. Soszyńska-Budny

    Involvement of expert judgement in dynamic model
    R. Krikštolaitis, A.E. Lutynska, S. Pečiulytė & I. Žutautaitė

    Anthropo-technical systems reliability
    D. Laskowski, P. Łubkowski, E. Pawlak & P. Stańczyk

    Cost-benefit analysis of surveillance technologies
    P.-H. Lin & C. van Gulijk

    Integrated estimation of pipeline failure probability
    I. Žutautaitė, G. Dundulis, S. Rimkevičius & R. Janulionis

    Reliability and safety management

    Aeronautics and aerospace

    Reliability engineering interactions in aerospace products
    E.N. Çetin & A.Ş. Temiz

    An influence of the lifetime assessment in aviation technology
    K. Kustroń & J. Lewitowicz

    Chemical process industry

    How managers should think about risk—a case study from the oil and gas industry
    T. Bjerga & T. Aven

    Balancing safety and performance through QRA and RAM analyses
    V. Borges & C. Hickey

    Public risk perception towards chemical process industry: Comprehension and response planning
    D. Botheju & K. Abeysinghe

    Risk assessment system for verifying the safety guards system based on the HAZOP analysis information
    A. Nakai, K. Isshiki & K. Suzuki

    Development of the Safety Requirements Specification (SRS) in oil and gas industry
    E.H. Park, K.P. Chang & S.T. Kim

    Civil engineering

    Development of functional safety standards for civil engineering
    E. Nachtigall & V. Shcherbina

    Mechanism design for risk allocation and benefit sharing in the development of a Geological Disposal Facility for nuclear radioactive waste
    O. Nieto-Cerezo, E. Patelli, J. Wenzelburger & M. Beer

    Optimization of the drinking water coagulation and filtration system as a result of reliability analysis and Life Cycle Costing
    J. Szymik-Gralewska & I. Zimoch

    Critical infrastructure

    Methods of visualizing the risk of lack of water supply
    I. Piegdoń & B. Tchórzewska-Cieślak

    Electrical engineering

    Concept for development of safety-related filters
    O. Krini, J. Krini & J. Börcsök

    Energy production and distribution

    Heat Supply System reliability management
    B. Babiarz

    Uncertainty in the regulation systems of temporary organizations: A challenge for improving the organizational reliability
    F. Mazzorana-Kremer, C. Martin & J.L. Wybo

    Solutions and safety barriers: The holistic approach to risk-reducing measures
    A. Sevcik & O.T. Gudmestad

    A multi-criteria decision model to mitigate the operational risks of offshore wind infrastructures
    M. Shafiee & A. Kolios

    Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems

    Evaluation of operational reliability of the supply chain in terms of the control and management of logistics processes
    I. Jacyna-Gołda

    Effectiveness of national transport system according to costs of emission of pollutants
    M. Jacyna, K. Lewczuk, E. Szczepański, P. Gołębiowski, R. Jachimowski, M. Kłodawski, D. Pyza, O. Sivets, M. Wasiak, J. Żak & I. Jacyna-Gołda

    Experiments for PHM: Needs, developments and challenges
    X.-Y. Li, L. Liu, R. Kang, D. Xu, F. Sun & J. Lee

    Maritime transportation

    Effects of external audits on safety management systems: A case study of the Norwegian-managed maritime industry
    J.F. Aae, A.K. Sydnes & C. Heggøy

    Review of acceptable risk levels of bridge collapse in respect of ships collisions
    L. Gucma

    A new approach for evaluating the disruption risks of a seaport system
    A. John, R. Riahi, D. Paraskevadakis, A. Bury, Z. Yang & J. Wang

    Methodology for evaluation of barriers for rig move operations
    E. Okstad, S. Hauge, B.A. Mostue & H. Skår

    Natural resources and environment

    Performance of skimmers in the Arctic offshore oil spills
    M. Naseri & J. Barabady

    Nuclear engineering

    Rethinking nuclear safety management: Injunction as a meta-concept
    S. Agulhon, D. Pécaud & F. Guarnieri

    Using IRIDM & VTA to support the risk management of the research reactor Maria
    M. Borysiewicz, K. Kowal & S. Potempski

    Evaluation of risk impact of equipment ageing and asset management for LWR Gen II and III NPPs in the horizon 2020
    S. Martorell, I. Martón, S. Carlos & A.I. Sánchez

    Rail transportation

    Safety of the new control command European System
    M. Siergiejczyk, M. Pawlik & S. Gago

    Software systems

    All swept up: An initial classification of NSA surveillance technology
    M. Cayford, C. van Gulijk & P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder

    Study of the security of processes running in computer operating systems
    I.J. Jóźwiak & A. Szleszyński

    Control-in-the-loop Model Based Safety Analysis
    P.-Y. Piriou, J.-M. Faure & J.-J. Lesage

    Developing a shared information surface for offshore work permits
    S. Sarshar, G. Rindahl, C.S. Olsen, J.M. Røsok, M. Eskerud, O.G. Nedrebø, P.J. Berg & G. Misund

    Other reliability and safety areas

    Graphical technique for practical dependability management
    L. Barberá, A. Crespo, K. Kobbacy & P. Viveros

    A discussion of the risk-management and the rule-compliance regulation regimes in a security context
    S.H. Jore & A. Moen

    Risk management in anchor-handling operations: The balance between control and autonomy
    J. Røyrvik, K. Skarholt, G.M. Lamvik & J.R. Jonassen

    Safety and environmental control of industrial activities in France: A negotiated relationship
    V. Sanseverino-Godfrin

    Risk assessment methods for improving urban security
    C. Schoppe, J. Zehetner, J. Finger, D. Baumann, U. Siebold & I. Häring

    Abstract representation of power system networks as a function of regularity properties
    A.B. Svendsen, T. Tollefsen, R.F. Pedersen, K.P. Petursson, D. Patel & O.D. Lampe

    Drinking water quality aspect in ensuring the safety of water supply systems
    I. Zimoch, E. Łobos & T. Żaba

    Dynamic reliability

    Aeronautics and aerospace

    Using dynamic risk modelling in Single European Sky Air Traffic Management Research (SESAR)
    N. Fota, M.H.C. Everdij, S.H. Stroeve, T. Kråkenes, I. Herrera, J. Quiñones, T. Contarino & A. Manzo

    Civil engineering

    Modification of response spectra by probabilistic approach
    V. Salajka, J. Kala, Z. Cada & P. Hradil

    Maritime transportation

    Dynamic Positioning systems with emphasis on harsh climate conditions
    T. Li, O.T. Gudmestad & A. Barabadi

    Mechanical engineering

    Wear time-dependent reliability analysis using Bayesian inference
    J. Feng, J. Zhang, J. Si & P. Wang

    Nuclear Engineering

    RAVEN and dynamic probabilistic risk assessment: Software overview
    A. Alfonsi, C. Rabiti, D. Mandelli, J. Cogliati, R. Kinoshita & A. Naviglio

    Integrated Deterministic Probabilistic Safety Analysis (IDPSA) of a fire scenario
    M. Kloos, J. Peschke & B. Forell

    Dynamic reliability models for multiple dependent competing degradation processes
    Y.H. Lin, Y.F. Li & E. Zio

    Expert methods in system safety and reliability

    Aeronautics and Aerospace

    Development of a new algorithm for optimal multi-level redundancy allocation
    M.A. Farsi

    Aircraft crew escape system assistant
    N. Grzesik & R. Czapla

    A fuzzy system for evaluation of baggage screening devices at an airport
    J. Skorupski & P. Uchroński

    Energy production and distribution

    Quantification and modelling of epistemic uncertainties for availability risk of future offshore wind farms using expert judgment
    A. Zitrou, T. Bedford & L. Walls

    Maritime transportation

    Expert method and real time simulation in navigational safety analysis
    T. Abramowicz-Gerigk

    Mechanical engineering

    Causal modeling in industrial Reliability and Maintenance Management
    Y. Pang & G. Lodewijks

    Other reliability and safety areas

    The application of risk and reliability techniques to acquire knowledge in the development of expert system for fault diagnosis
    E.M.P. Hidalgo & G.F.M. de Souza

    Failure identification and degradation processes

    Aeronautics and aerospace

    Life and reliability evaluation of tuner by Constant-Stress Accelerated Degradation Testing method
    F. Sun, X. Li & T. Jiang

    Estimation of lifetimes of components that operate under ageing-attributable wearing conditions
    H. Tomaszek, M. Zieja & M. Ważny

    A Physics-of-Failure-based approach for failure behavior modeling: With a focus on failure collaborations
    Z. Zeng, R. Kang & Y. Chen

    Electrical engineering

    Fault diagnosis method for circuit board based on BP neural networks
    Y. Peng & J. Shi

    Electronic industry

    Physics of Failures (POF) version B for MTBF prediction
    Y. Bot & J.B. Bernstein

    An adaptive fault detection threshold hardware circuit design to reduce False Alarms
    Y. Cui, J. Shi, L. Chen, K. Liu & W. An

    Energy production and distribution

    MUSTADEPT: A tool for the analysis of industrial equipment degradation
    M. Compare, L. Legnani & E. Zio

    Information technology and telecommunication

    Provision of the reliable video surveillance services in heterogeneous networks
    P. Łubkowski, D. Laskowski & E. Pawlak

    Maritime transportation

    Identification of degradation processes of seabed protection in ports
    T. Abramowicz-Gerigk

    Mechanical engineering

    The use of Self-Organizing Maps for diagnosing faults in motor bearings
    S. Al-Dahidi

    Selected safety aspects of polymer composites with natural fibres
    A. Krzyżak & D. Vališ

    Application of selected diffusion processes on system state assessment
    D. Vališ & O. Pokora

    Nuclear engineering

    A modified Auto Associative Kernel Regression method for robust signal reconstruction in Nuclear Power Plant components
    P. Baraldi, F. Di Maio, P. Turati & E. Zio

    Experimental design for the evaluation of Critical Heat Flux of small-scale pressurized nuclear reactors
    J.P. Duarte, J.R.C. Piqueira & M.E. Taqueda

    Road transportation

    The stochastic approach in road network vulnerability analysis
    M. Bíl & R. Vodák

    Analysis of brake testing methods in vehicle safety
    A. Bojko, A.I. Fedotov, W.P. Khalezov & M. Młyńczak

    Hilbert-Huang Transforms for fault detection and degradation assessment in electrical motors
    M. Rigamonti & S. Rantala

    Other reliability and safety areas

    Volatility regime switching and jump-diffusion process for prognosis: Case of equity price modeling
    H. Ghamlouch, M. Fouladirad & A. Grall

    Performance evaluation of Emergency Response Plans using a Multi-State System approach
    C. Girard, E. Piatyszek, P. David & J.-M. Flaus

    Human factors and human reliability

    Aeronautics and aerospace

    The model of a pilot competency as a factor influencing the safety of air traffic
    J. Skorupski & M. Wiktorowski

    Human Dependability Model for space application—the HuDeM project
    T.M. Stene, S.O. Johnsen & S. Ophof

    Towards safer air traffic: Optimizing ATC controller workload by simulation with reduced set of parameters
    B. Számel & G. Szabó

    Human reliability test and identification of HCR model basic parameters for multi-factor “Meta-Operation”
    Y. Yang, X. Chen, J. Zhang & R. Kang

    Chemical process industry

    Statistical analysis of past accidents and a methodology (MEDIA) for Human and Organizational Factors assessment in process industries
    M. Ahmad, M. Pontiggia & M. Demichela

    Predictive Human Error Analysis in Permit To Work system in a petrochemical plant
    M. Jahangiri, F. Zare Derisi & N. Hobobi

    Critical infrastructure

    Anticipating impacts of change on individual behaviors within a perspective of safety management
    T. Côte, E. Rigaud & E. Garbolino

    Modeling and assessment of Performance Shaping Factors in construction
    Y. Xenidis & K. Giannaris

    Energy production and distribution

    The impact of the use of subcontracting on organizational reliability and safety
    C. Guers, C. Martin & J.L. Wybo

    Human error analysis: Review of past accidents and implications for improving robustness of system design
    R. Moura, M. Beer, E. Patelli, J. Lewis & F. Knoll

    Operational and organizational barriers as means of enhancing safety and learning
    T.J. Steiro, E. Hansson Blix, J. Seljelid, T.S. Johansen, R.J. Bye,
    H.N. Hansen & A. Doumit

    Natural resources and environment

    Presumptions of culture: Applications and safety implications
    F. Størseth

    Nuclear engineering

    Coding scheme to measure the operator’s workload in advanced Main Control Room
    S. Kim, Y. Kim & W. Jung

    A survey of Bayesian Belief Network Applications in Human Reliability Analysis
    L. Mkrtchyan, L. Podofillini & V.N. Dang

    Aggregating expert-elicited error probabilities to build HRA models
    L. Podofillini, L. Mkrtchyan & V.N. Dang

    Other reliability and safety areas

    Organizational factor inclusion in Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) tools
    N. Balfe & S. Cromie

    Design methods of reducing human error in practice
    M. Butlewski, M. Jasiulewicz-Kaczmarek, A. Misztal & M. Sławińska

    Maintenance modelling and optimisation

    Chemical process industry

    A hierarchical framework for the measurement of maintenance efficacy and efficiency using performance indicators
    G.M. Galante, R. Inghilleri & C.M. La Fata

    Civil engineering

    State of the art in Operation and Maintenance planning of offshore wind farms
    M. Asgarpour & J.D. Sørensen

    Critical infrastructure

    Maintenance of power systems considering time-dependent uncertainty
    T. Iesmantas & R. Alzbutas

    Energy production and distribution

    Decision-making support for maintenance optimisation of natural gas compressor stations
    J. Blondel, L. Marle, O. Mozar, A. Abdesselam & F. Brissaud

    Optimization of maintenance and operational policies of an offshore wind farm subject to stochastic wind conditions
    B. Castanier, C. Pehlivan & T.G. Yeung

    An age-based preventive maintenance for offshore wind turbines
    F.P. Santos, A.P. Teixeira & C. Guedes Soares

    Availability modelling and analysis of an offshore wind turbine using Extended Coloured Stochastic Petri Nets
    P. Zeiler & B. Bertsche

    Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems

    Maintenance in availability of weapon systems under combat operation—optimization possibilities
    T. Smal

    Maritime transportation

    Optimum CTV fleet selection for offshore wind farm O&M activities
    Y. Dalgic, I. Dinwoodie, I. Lazakis, D. McMillan & M. Revie

    Mechanical engineering

    Practical aspects of the application of RCM to select optimal maintenance policy of the production line
    M. Jasiulewicz-Kaczmarek

    Hidden Markov Models for diagnostics and prognostics of systems under multiple deterioration modes
    T.T. Le, F. Chatelain & C. Bérenguer

    Nuclear engineering

    Application of the Maintenance Rule to Nuclear Power Plant systems through Bayesian Networks
    D.P. Dionizio, P.L.C. Saldanha & P.F. Frutuoso e Melo

    Experience on risk-informed approach to Allowed Outage Time changes due planned maintenance
    P.L.C. Saldanha & P.F. Frutuoso e Melo

    Rail transportation

    Expert system for means of transport maintenance processes performance. A comparative analysis for various types of rail vehicles
    T. Nowakowski & S. Werbińska-Wojciechowska

    A Colored Petri Net model for railway track maintenance with two-level inspection
    H. Shang & C. Bérenguer

    Analysis of the process of unloading containers at the inland container terminal
    M. Zając & J. Świeboda

    Return logistics/waste management

    Reliability based model of the cost effective product reusing policy
    A. Jodejko-Pietruczuk & M. Plewa

    Other reliability and safety areas

    Asset maintenance optimization: The case-study of an offshore wind farm
    Y. Bot & D. Azoulay

    Maintenance planning for drum shearer machine based on its reliability characteristics and economical sensitivity analysis
    S.H. Hoseinie, B. Ghodrati & U. Kumar

    A guide for Block Inspection Policy implementation
    A. Jodejko-Pietruczuk & S. Werbińska-Wojciechowska

    Availability model of technical objects—block inspection policy implementation
    A. Jodejko-Pietruczuk & S. Werbińska-Wojciechowska

    Condition-based maintenance policies for multi-component systems with Lévy copulas dependence
    H. Li, L. Dieulle & E. Deloux

    Application of standards in reliability prognosis of braking system of moving walks
    E. Rogova, G. Lodewijks & Y. Pang

    Occupational safety

    Electrical engineering

    A Bayesian population variability analysis for estimation of the work time loss distributions due to occupational accidents
    M.C. Moura, R. Azevedo, E.L. Droguett, L. Rego, W. Jorge & R. Vilela

    Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems

    Continuous monitoring of at-risk behaviours: A risk-based statistical control method
    D. Masi & P. Trucco

    Enhancing the implementation of Occupational Health and Safety interventions through a design of the socio-technical interaction
    D. Masi, E. Cagno, P. Hasle & S. Farnè

    Return logistics/waste management

    A risk-based approach to manage the Occupational Hazards in the Arctic drilling waste handling practices
    Y.Z. Ayele, A. Barabadi & J. Barabady

    Other reliability and safety areas

    Estimating individual occupational risk using registration data
    P.H.G. Berkhout & M. Damen

    Quantification of risk rates of occupational accidents
    I.A. Papazoglou, O. Aneziris, L.J. Bellamy, M. Damen, B.J.M. Ale, H.J. Manuel & J.I.H. Oh

    Quantitative risk assessment

    Aeronautics and aerospace

    Reliability assessment method for Ion thruster based on competing failure analysis and performance degradation data Z. Zheng, S. Dong, L. Zhang, D. Xu, H. Tian & T. Zhang

    Chemical process industry

    Comparison of risk profiles for chemical process plants using PLATYPUS
    C. van Gulijk, B.J.M. Ale, D. Ababei & M. Steenhoek

    The use of the combination of indexing and semi-quantitative methods in audits for individual risk assessment in the field of fire and explosion protection
    A. Leksin, U. Barth, D. Adeulov & R. Mock

    Estimation of the impact probability of fragments produced by explosions of vessels: A case study
    M.F. Milazzo, R. Lisi, G. Consolo & G. Maschio

    Dynamic risk assessment: Development of a basic structure
    N. Paltrinieri & P. Hokstad

    Joint applicability test of software for laboratory assessment and risk analysis
    D.N. Pluess, Th. Meyer, J. Mašin, P. Mikulášek & M. Ferjenčik

    Is a QRA-based method suitable to guide Land Use Planning decisions in India?
    A. Sengupta, D. Bandyopadhyay, C.J. van Westen & A. van der Veen

    Civil engineering

    The effect of maintenance on inflation correction in Dutch PPP projects
    D.S. Vervoort

    Handling dependencies in Probabilistic Risk Assessments using Evidential Networks
    D. Wang, Z.J. Cheng, P. Jiang & B. Guo

    Critical infrastructure

    The use of geoevents in the risk management of Wastewater Treatments
    G. Ancione, M.F. Milazzo & G. Maschio

    Utilizing knowledge-to-number-processes in smaller and less resource intensive
    risk assessments
    T. Askeland & R. Flage

    Risk assessment of ground water sources for emergency supply
    F. Bozek, L. Jesonkova, A. Pawelczyk, Z. Malek & J. Dvorak

    Study of volcanic Na-Tech risks in primary Waste Water Treatments
    M.F. Milazzo, G. Ancione, E. Salzano & G. Maschio

    Optimum concept of management and trade-off with risks
    D. Prochazkova

    Possibilistic risk analysis of failure in water supply network
    B. Tchórzewska-Cieślak, K. Boryczko & I. Piegdoń

    Electrical engineering

    Multidimensional risk to networks of distributed systems
    T.V. Garcez & A.T. de Almeida

    Mathematics of PRA applied to Distributed Generation curtailment in saturated grids
    P.E. Labeau, F. Faghihi, J.C. Maun, V. De Wilde & A. Vergnol

    Energy production and distribution

    Priorities assignment for actions in a pipeline: A decision model to evaluate multiple objectives
    M.H. Alencar, M.F. Marsaro & A.T. de Almeida

    Risk assessment in heat supply system
    B. Babiarz

    Vulnerability of Energy Infrastructure to intentional attacks—the interplay of resource, conflict and security
    P. Burgherr, J. Giroux & M. Spada

    Solar storm impact on critical infrastructure
    O. Sokolova, P. Burgherr & W. Collenberg

    Accident risk assessment for deep geothermal energy systems
    M. Spada, E. Sutra, S. Wolf & P. Burgherr

    Information technology and telecommunication

    Enhancement of IT Risk Assessments by UML
    R. Mock, B. Truninger, P. Brunner & T. Hruz

    Maritime transportation

    Quantitative risk assessment of new ship designs in damage conditions
    M.K. Gerigk

    Review of risk concepts and perspectives in risk assessment of maritime transportation
    F. Goerlandt & J. Montewka

    Risk based assessment on increased gas safe machinery spaces of liquefied natural gas fuelled ship
    X.J. Li & R.P. Zhou

    Semi-qualitative method for ship collision risk assessment
    W. Zhang, J. Montewka & F. Goerlandt

    Mechanical engineering

    RAPP method: Failure analysis and risk determination in automobile fleets within the case study electric actuator
    S. Bracke & S. Sochacki

    Natural resources and environment

    Composite methodology for tsunami vulnerability assessment based on the numerical simulation of 1755 Lisbon tsunami—application on two Portuguese coastal areas
    J.L. Barros, A. Emídio, A. Santos & A.O. Tavares

    Monte Carlo simulation and Bayesian Evidence Synthesis
    U. Sahlin & Y. Jiang

    Nuclear engineering

    Amendments of the existing guidance on PSA application to nuclear power plants in Germany
    H.P. Berg, M. Krauß & M. Röwekamp

    Focus areas for a Level 2 PSA that supports a site NPP risk analysis
    D.M. Helton, M. Zavisca & M. Khatib-Rahbar

    A PSA Level-1 method with repairable components: An application to ASTRID Decay Heat Removal systems
    R. Kumar, S. Bechta, P. Kudinov, F. Curnier, M. Marquès & F. Bertrand

    Effect of human factor in the analysis of changes to Limiting Conditions for Operation (LCO) applied to Residual Heat Removal System
    S. Martorell, I. Martón, P. Martorell & M. Saiz

    Application of PSA for design optimization of VVER 440/213
    P. Picca, F. Pierro, M. Giovannini, J. Cech, P. Baumeister & J. Prochaska

    Rail transportation

    Deriving a distribution for accident severity from an F-N curve
    J. Braband & H. Schäbe

    Geospatial modelling of rail safety hazards
    D.J.K. Griffin

    Comparing the two methods for judging changes in European railways and in European nuclear safety
    N. Petrek & H.P. Berg

    Road transportation

    Combination of technological and economical risk assessment using the Monte-Carlo-Simulation
    F. Plinke, D. Althaus, A. Braasch & A. Meyna

    The results of a systematic study of the risks associated with the transportation of hazardous substances
    D. Prochazkova, J. Prochazka & H. Patakova

    Preference risk assessment of hazardous substances road transportation
    D. Rehak, A. Bernatik & P. Novotny

    Other reliability and safety areas

    Quantifying MSD risks through Job Hazard Analysis
    L. Dement

    Handling epistemic uncertainty in the Fault Tree Analysis using interval-valued expert information
    M. Francese, G.M. Galante, C.M. La Fata & G. Passannanti

    Expressing and communicating uncertainty and bias in relation to Quantitative Risk Analysis
    F. Goerlandt & J. Montewka

    Safety analysis and CFD dispersion simulation of cryogenic release in a deep underground large scale cryogenic installation
    E.C. Marcoulaki, A.G. Venetsanos, M. Konstandinidou & I.A. Papazoglou

    Reliability and safety based system design

    Aeronautics and aerospace

    European survey on safety methods application in aeronautic systems engineering
    A. Berres, H. Schumann & H. Spangenberg

    Semi-formal static and dynamic modeling and categorization of airport checkpoints
    P. Renger, U. Siebold, R. Kaufmann & I. Häring

    Chemical process industry

    Achieving safe designs through evaluation of options at the conceptual level of safety system design
    E. Alijagic & V.N. Dang

    Civil engineering

    Conventional correlation factors in the safety analysis of stochastic systems
    O. Lukoševičienė & A. Kudzys

    Safety-based approach in multifunctional building design
    A. Taraszkiewicz & M.K. Gerigk

    Electrical engineering

    Management of controls of fire protection systems in Switzerland
    E. Nachtigall & S. Metzger

    Electronic components with time-dependent failure rates—reasons, values and consequences
    P. Zeiler, O. Koller & B. Bertsche

    Electronic industry

    Availability and reliability evaluation of systems periodically maintained
    N. Hu, J. Huang, Ch. Yang, Y. Zheng & O. Dong

    Maritime transportation

    Reliability and safety based design of lifesaving appliances systems
    Z. Burciu

    Nuclear engineering

    Nuclear power plant safety improvement with new system for safety injection
    B. Gjorgiev & A. Volkanovski

    Rail transportation

    A systematic approach for defense against transient failures
    H. Schäbe & I. Shubinski

    Reliability allocation for a system with complex redundancy
    Z. Vintr & T. Vintr

    Other reliability and safety areas

    Effective searching process used in obtaining Pareto solutions of two-objective network design problem
    N. Takahashi, H. Yamamoto, T. Akiba & K. Shingyochi

    Reliability and safety data collection and analysis

    Aeronautics and aerospace

    SYMBAD—Artificial Neural Networks in furtherance of managing aircraft testing
    W. Kosiński, J. Wójcik & M. Zieja

    Accelerated Life Test method for satellite electronic instrument
    D. Shu, Z. Liang, Z. Zhiteng & M. Haibo

    Reliability of the airlines operations system
    A. Słodownik & J. Żurek

    Quantitative evaluation on storage reliability of pyrotechnics based on thermodynamic characteristic of dynamite and performance degradation data
    Z. Wan, W. Hang & C. Hai Long

    Agriculture and food industry

    Telematics used in the campaigns machinery safety management systems
    J. Napiórkowski, P. Szczyglak & K. Kołakowski

    Chemical process industry

    Collection and analysis of failure data for pressure equipment
    P.A. Bragatto, S. Ansaldi, C. Delle Site & P. Agnello

    Reliability analysis of prototypes based on small and heterogeneous test data volumes. Case study: Organic fibre prototype analysis
    A. Lücker, M. Hinz, S. Bracke & G. Knübel

    How to present and understand uncertainty of production assurance analyses
    with respect to data quality
    C. Persskog-Lundtofte, S. Isaksen & L.M. Pedersen

    Critical infrastructure

    Universal method of battery life prediction
    Y. Hanyu, T. Yamamoto, T. Ezawa & A. Itakura

    Electronic industry

    Reliability prediction of electronic boards by analyzing field return data
    S.V. Comert, H. Yadavari, M. Altun & E.N. Erturk

    Energy production and distribution

    A double-loop Monte Carlo approach for Part Life Data Base reconstruction and scheduled maintenance improvement
    F. Di Maio, M. Compare, S. Mattafirri & E. Zio

    Using field experience in the treatment of Common Cause Failures in reliability assessment
    S. Hauge, S. Håbrekke & M.A. Lundteigen

    A geometric test for the analysis of contingency tables
    J. Quigley & K.J. Wilson

    Assessment of a remaining working life of energetic devices using service data
    M. Sykora, M. Holicky, J. Marková & K. Presl

    Information technology and telecommunication

    Model for Information Quality determination of teleinformation systems of transport
    M. Stawowy

    Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems

    A framework proposal to analyse the performance of assets under complex system
    T. Grubessich, E. Johns, P. Viveros, R. Stegmaier & F. Kristjanpoller

    Proven in use in the machine tool industry for demonstrating the quantitative functional safety according to EN ISO 13849-1
    B. Günnel, A. Meyna, M. Schlummer, H. Mödden & A. Broos

    Mechanical engineering

    Probabilities in safety of machinery—Part 1: Risk profiling and farmer matrix
    A. Bornemann, Y. Froese, L. Landi & H. Mödden

    Probabilities in safety of machinery—Part 2: Theoretical and practical design
    A. Bornemann, Y. Froese, L. Landi & H. Mödden

    Research on reliability qualification test design by considering inheritance factor
    Y. Wang, D. Xu & L. Liu

    Optimal design on Accelerated Degradation Testing with Gamma process for reliability demonstration
    C. Zhang, X. Lu, X. Chen & Y. Wang

    Road transportation

    One producer, two brands: A comparison of car operating conditions
    M. Jadwinska, T. Siekierka & M. Zając

    Waterborne transportation

    Ship voyage characteristics in Wuhan Yangtze River Bridge waterway
    Y.-P. Zhou, L.-Z. Sang, Z. Mao & Q. Wu

    Other reliability and safety areas

    Fleet-level reliability estimation of repairable units
    A.H.S. Garmabaki, A. Ahmadi & J. Block

    Reliability and safety education and training

    Nuclear engineering

    Learning from failures: The case of Deepwater Horizon disaster
    A.W. Labib

    The representation of nuclear power in cinema: The contribution of a filmic analysis to understanding the public debate
    A. Portelli, C. Martin & F. Guarnieri

    Road transportation

    On designing educational aids for users’ safety in road tunnels
    K. Chatzoglou, E. Rokou, I.P. Tatsiopoulos & K. Kirytopoulos

    Other reliability and safety areas

    Public buildings safety: Addressing a pilot evacuation exercise
    A. Santos & M. Queirós

    Simulation methods in system safety and reliability

    Aeronautics and aerospace

    A safety analysis via minimal path sets detection for object-oriented models
    C. Schallert

    The use of on-board flight recorder in the modeling process of aircraft landing operations
    P. Stańczyk & A. Stelmach

    Reliability analysis for Runway Overrun using subset simulation
    K. Zwirglmaier, L. Drees, F. Holzapfel & D. Straub

    Chemical process industry

    A meta model framework for risk analysis, diagnosis and simulation
    H. Kanj & J.-M. Flaus

    Critical infrastructure

    Proposing a multi-layer modeling framework for complex infrastructure systems
    C. Nan & G. Sansavini

    Hybrid modeling and simulation approach selection to the reliability and vulnerability analysis of Critical Infrastructures
    G. Sansavini, C. Nan & W. Kröger

    Energy production and distribution

    Time dependent gas transmission network probabilistic simulator: Focus on storage discharge modeling
    V. Kopustinskas & P. Praks

    Information technology and telecommunication

    Weekly availability changes of web applications implemented in virtualized environment
    T. Walkowiak

    Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems

    Dynamic approach to modeling MTBF/MTTR in industrial and logistics systems
    P. Hoffa & P. Pawlewski

    Maritime transportation

    A new Monte Carlo method for environmental contour estimation
    A.B. Huseby, E. Vanem & B. Natvig

    On multistate technical system operation process influence on its reliability
    K. Kołowrocki, E. Kuligowska & J. Soszyńska-Budny

    Mechanical engineering

    Uncertainty improving in importance sampling: An integrated approach with fuzzy-cluster sampling
    M. Nadjafi, M.A. Farsi & A. Najafi

    Medicine and health service

    Conversion of a based risk model into a simulation model for simulation and analysis
    K. Negrichi, J.-M. Flaus & M. Di Mascolo

    Nuclear engineering

    Common cause failures modelling by means of Coloured Petri Nets for dependability assessment of a control system of nuclear power plant
    N. Brînzei, G. Deleuze, N. Villaume & J.F. Pétin

    Propagation of aleatory and epistemic uncertainties in quantification of systems failure probabilities or safety margins
    M. Marquès

    Road transportation

    Safe level of redundancy in Discrete Transportation Systems
    D. Caban & T. Walkowiak

    Using Petri-Net analysis for advanced reliability analysis of polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cells
    M. Whiteley, J. Leigh, A. Fly, L.M. Jackson & S.J. Dunnett

    Waterborne transportation

    Analysis of ship navigation behaviors in the Wuhan Yangtze River Bridge waterway
    X. Chen, L.-Z. Sang, Z. Mao & Q. Wu

    Other reliability and safety areas

    A novel methodology for availability assessment of complex load sharing systems
    F. Kristjanpoller, P. Viveros, A. Crespo, R. Mena & R. Stegmaier

    Structural reliability and safety

    Aeronautics and aerospace

    Life distribution and P-S-N curve analysis of TC21 titanium alloy joint with Electron Beam Welding in ultra-high cycle fatigue regime
    Z. Zhiteng, D. Shu, Z. Liang & X. Danjun

    Civil engineering

    Optimal design of ground-mounted solar systems
    R. Boccara, D. Diamantidis & M. Sykora

    Approximate quantification of the robustness index of concrete beams subjected to deterioration
    W. Botte, R. Caspeele & L. Taerwe

    A condition-based deterioration model for the crack propagation in a submerged concrete structure
    B. El Hajj, F. Schoefs, B. Castanier & T. Yeung

    Reliability assessment of cast-iron heritage structures
    J. Marková, M. Holicky, K. Jung, A. Podstawka & V. Bures

    Reliability of structures in national codes to Eurocodes
    J. Marková & M. Holicky

    On climatic actions combinations for probabilistic calibrations
    Z. Sadovský

    In-plane buckling behaviors of shear-deformable columns with variable cross sections
    L. Su & M.M. Attard

    Lateral buckling of varying arbitrary cross-section beams with shear effects
    L. Su & M.M. Attard

    Methodology for the quantitative risk assessment of road bridges exposed to accidental events
    M. Sykora, M. Holicky & P. Maňas

    Point estimate of dynamic reliability considering parameter uncertainties
    Y.G. Zhao & Z.H. Lu

    Critical infrastructure

    The reliability analysis of welded tanks for oil storage
    Z. Kala

    Mechanical engineering

    Determination of design load for a pile-guide system for large floating installations considering Life-Cycle Cost and probabilistic load distribution
    S.-Y. Lee, C. Jo, P. Bergan, D. Chang & B. Pettersen

    Road transportation

    Analysis of reliability and retaining levels of safety barriers
    K. Jung & J. Marková

    Other reliability and safety areas

    Safe reliability assessment through probabilistic constraint reasoning
    E. Carvalho, J. Cruz & P. Barahona

    Structural reliability for containment of VVER 440/213 type
    J. Králik, P. Picca, F. Pierro, M. Giovannini, N. Zaccari & P. Baumeister

    Reliability updating based on monitoring of structural response parameters
    B.J. Leira

    Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis

    Chemical process industry

    Comparative analysis of rapid calculation methods for physical explosions of pressure vessels
    R. Bubbico & B. Mazzarotta

    A study of determination of the design accidental fire load based on the quantitative
    Fire Risk Assessment with the treatment of uncertainty
    B. Chu & D. Chang

    Civil engineering

    Sobol’s sensitivity analysis of stability problems of steel beams
    Z. Kala & J. Kala

    Energy production and distribution

    Quantitative vs. qualitative treatment of uncertain assumptions in risk assessment
    C. Berner & R. Flage

    Information technology and telecommunication

    Comparison of uncertainty models of impact of teleinformation devices reliability on information quality
    M. Stawowy

    Nuclear engineering

    Sensitivity analysis of geological parameters having impact on nuclear waste deep geological repository safety
    J. Chudoba

    Processes reliability and safety modelling

    Aeronautics and Aerospace

    An impact of the operators and passengers behavior on the airport’s security screening reliability
    A. Kierzkowski & T. Kisiel

    Risk analysis of the point on aging aircraft structure
    M. Woch

    Chemical process industry

    Risk assessment of a bulk cryogenic tank: Beyond the Leak-Before-Break criterion
    M. Compare, L. Legnani, M. Buldrini, G. Sansavini, E. Zio & L. Beretta

    Civil engineering

    Modeling of a degradation path set with a Gamma process mixture—application to a maintenance decision rule
    E. Grall-Maës, A. Grall & P. Beauseroy

    Reliability of the delivery in the last 100 meters
    K. Lewandowski

    Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems

    Risk analytics within high-precision dental tool manufacturing: Multidimensional failure probabilities and validation
    S. Bracke & M. Pospiech

    A unified model of systems dependability and process continuity for complex supply chains
    L.A. Bukowski & J. Feliks

    Using quantitative stochastic model checking tool to increase safety and improve efficiency in production processes
    L. Herbert, Z.N.L. Hansen & P. Jacobsen

    Research on information system and its impact on distribution process of supply chain
    E. Pawlak

    Availability and reliability of resources in an agile manufacturing systems
    A. Stachowiak

    Rail transportation

    Initial FMEA analysis of the container transport chain
    M. Zając & J. Świeboda

    Other reliability and safety areas

    On prudent activities in a complex system
    I. Årstad & T. Aven

    Parallel computing for system availability and applications
    R. Briš & S. Domesová

    Author index


    Nowakowski, Tomasz ; Mlynczak, Marek ; Jodejko-Pietruczuk, Anna ; Werbinska-Wojciechowska, Sylwia