Safety and Reliability: Methodology and Applications  book cover
1st Edition

Safety and Reliability: Methodology and Applications

ISBN 9781138026810
Published September 1, 2014 by CRC Press
408 Pages

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Book Description

Within the last fifty years the performance requirements for technical objects and systems were supplemented with: customer expectations (quality), abilities to prevent the loss of the object properties in operation time (reliability and maintainability), protection against the effects of undesirable events (safety and security) and the ability to restore performance (resilience). The need to adapt the operation of complex systems in such an uncertain and volatile environment has caused the necessity to formulate new and well established achievements associated with modeling, testing and evaluation of these properties. The concept of a complex system applies not only to the technical ones but also the infrastructure of major importance for social life such as transportation and logistics systems, buildings, power systems, water distribution systems or health services.

Safety and Reliability: Methodology and Applications contains the proceedings of the 24th European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 2014, Wroclaw, Poland, 14-18 September 2014), and discusses theories and methods and their applications in the areas of risk, safety and reliability. The abstracts book (408 pages) + full paper CD-ROM (2496 pages) will be of interest to researchers and practitioners, academics and engineers working in academic, industrial and governmental sectors.

Table of Contents

Conference organization


Accident and incident investigation and modelling

Aeronautics and aerospace

An incident reporting support system for airline cabin crew
K. Furuta, K. Okano, T. Kanno, T. Mori & S. Shimizu

Chemical process industry

The effect of the environment conditions on the prediction of flammable cloud dispersion
A.M. Schleder, M.R. Martins, E. Pastor & E. Planas

Scenario identification in oil and gas industry: A case in the Middle East
Z. Rezvani, P. Swuste & P. Hudson

Civil engineering

Analysis of roadside safety barrier using numerical model
P. Hradil, J. Kala & V. Salajka

Critical infrastructure

Developing a framework for characterising cascading failures in past events to inform emergency response decisions
H. Hassel, A. Cedergren, L. Svegrup & J. Johansson

A critical evaluation of risk assessment methodology for natural gas pipeline
J. Kraus

An ontology-based approach to vulnerability and interdependency modelling for Critical Infrastructure systems
P. Trucco & B. Petrenj

Electrical engineering

Renewable sources impact on power system reliability and nuclear safety
A. Volkanovski & B. Gjorgiev

Maritime transportation

Titanic viewed from different perspectives on major accidents
H. Kim & S. Haugen

Usability of accident and incident reports for evidence-based risk modeling of ship grounding
A. Mazaheri & J. Montewka

Winter navigation at the Baltic Sea: An analysis of accidents occurred during winters 2002–2003 & 2009–2013
O.A. Valdez Banda, F. Goerlandt, J. Montewka & P. Kujala

Rail transportation

Structuring contributors to successful operation
J. Vatn

Road transportation

Country Safety Performance Function and the factors affecting it
K. Jamroz

Method of dynamic identification of hazardous driver behaviour by traffic parameters detection
M. Sumiła & M. Siergiejczyk

Waterborne transportation

The method of risk management of accidental oil spills at sea
K. Łazuga & L. Gucma

Other reliability and safety areas

The impact of new technologies on the safety level of air traffic in Poland
K. Krzykowska & M. Siergiejczyk

Black swan accidents: Predicting and preventing the unpredictable
D.J. Winfield

Analytical methods in system safety and reliability

Aeronautics and aerospace

Studies of the jet engine control quality based on its response to the disturbance inflicted on the object, designated from its response to the set point inflicted to the controller
K. Golak, P. Lindstedt & R. Grądzki

The mathematical formula of safety of aircrafts
J. Lewitowicz, S. Rutkowski, R. Tomaska & A. Żyluk

The reliability analysis of the satellite’s driving system based on the IABCBLT method
W. Peng, J. Zhang & L.J. Kan

The effectiveness of the FMEA technology in the process of the aerospace product development
J. Shuyuan, L. Fuqiu, W. Jinjing & L. Meinan

Reliability modeling method of space mechanism considering dynamical cascading effects
C.L. Tan, J.G. Zhang, P. Wang & L.J. Kan

Chemical process industry

Comparative analysis of calculation methods of pressure drops for two-phase flow through pipelines
G. Boccardi, R. Trinchieri, R. Bubbico & B. Mazzarotta

Critical infrastructure

Empirical Bayes inference with nonlinear homogenizations and correlated intensity functions: Use in asset degradation modelling
G. Blair, J. Quigley & L. Walls

Dependence of the gas supply system criticality indicator(s) on the system elements’ reliability
B. Jokšas, I. Žutautaitė, J. Augutis & T. Rekašius

Comparing societal consequence measures of outages in electrical distribution systems
F. Landegren, J. Johansson & O. Samuelsson

On the resilience analysis of interconnected systems by a set-theoretic approach
X. Liu, I. Prodan & E. Zio

A brief note on the ratio of the rectilinear and shortest distance between two arbitrary points on the 3-sphere
M.A. Odijk & P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder

A game-theoretical model to allocate security resources in a multi-modal transportation system facing adaptive adversaries
L. Talarico, K. Sörensen & G. Reniers

Electronic industry

Assessment of the critical events sequences of systems by means of probabilistic languages
D. Ionescu, N. Brînzei & J.F. Pétin

Energy production and distribution

RAM analysis applied to decommissioning phase: Comparison and assessment of different methods to predict future failures
E. Calixto & Y. Bot

Reliability indices computation for a flow network with a series-parallel-reducible structure
J. Malinowski

Information technology and telecommunication

Minimal cut sets and direct partial logic derivatives in reliability analysis
M. Kvassay, E. Zaitseva & V. Levashenko

On the probability of escaping a cell—in wireless networks
C. Tanguy

Maritime transportation

Reliability analysis of ship-rope transporter with dependent components
A. Blokus-Roszkowska & K. Kołowrocki

Maritime traffic flow simulation in the Intelligent Transportation Systems theme
A. Blokus-Roszkowska & L. Smolarek

Modeling of event trees for the rapid scenario development
M.K. Gerigk

The influence of screw propellers manufacturing accuracy on conditions of the propulsion system operating
E. Skupień

Mechanical engineering

Contribution to oil data assessment for system condition determination
D. Vališ & L. Žák

Rail transportation

Dependability and safety analysis of ERTMS level 3 using analytic estimation
T. Babczyński & J. Magott

Streamlining architectures for integrated safety analysis using Design Structure Matrices (DSMs)
K. Höfig, J.Z. Guo & A. Kazeminia

The Markov reliability and safety model of the railway transportation system
F.J. Restel

Reliability analysis of rail teleinformation system
M. Siergiejczyk

Road transportation

Premises of evaluation of the technical object suitability with including the quality of its maintenance and operation, and their initial conditions
R. Grądzki, P. Lindstedt & K. Golak

Bivariate reliability analysis of driving profiles in automobile fleets
T. Köttermann, M. Grabert, S. Kempe & S. Bracke

Attempt to apply the theory of reliability to assessment of signalised lane operation
K. Ostrowski

Reliability-exploitation analysis of power supply in transport telematics system
A. Rosiński

Reliability-maintenance analysis of highway emergency communication systems
M. Siergiejczyk, J. Chmiel & A. Rosiński

Hierarchical random models in road transport safety
J. Wachnicka, K. Jamroz & L. Smolarek

Other reliability and safety areas

Overall regional risk analysis of four Norwegian municipalities
R. Flage, Ø. Amundrud & H.S. Wiencke

Modeling reliability of complex port transportation system
K. Kołowrocki & J. Soszyńska-Budny

Reliability optimization of complex port transportation system
K. Kołowrocki & J. Soszyńska-Budny

Involvement of expert judgement in dynamic model
R. Krikštolaitis, A.E. Lutynska, S. Pečiulytė & I. Žutautaitė

Anthropo-technical systems reliability
D. Laskowski, P. Łubkowski, E. Pawlak & P. Stańczyk

Cost-benefit analysis of surveillance technologies
P.-H. Lin & C. van Gulijk

Integrated estimation of pipeline failure probability
I. Žutautaitė, G. Dundulis, S. Rimkevičius & R. Janulionis

Reliability and safety management

Aeronautics and aerospace

Reliability engineering interactions in aerospace products
E.N. Çetin & A.Ş. Temiz

An influence of the lifetime assessment in aviation technology
K. Kustroń & J. Lewitowicz

Chemical process industry

How managers should think about risk—a case study from the oil and gas industry
T. Bjerga & T. Aven

Balancing safety and performance through QRA and RAM analyses
V. Borges & C. Hickey

Public risk perception towards chemical process industry: Comprehension and response planning
D. Botheju & K. Abeysinghe

Risk assessment system for verifying the safety guards system based on the HAZOP analysis information
A. Nakai, K. Isshiki & K. Suzuki

Development of the Safety Requirements Specification (SRS) in oil and gas industry
E.H. Park, K.P. Chang & S.T. Kim

Civil engineering

Development of functional safety standards for civil engineering
E. Nachtigall & V. Shcherbina

Mechanism design for risk allocation and benefit sharing in the development of a Geological Disposal Facility for nuclear radioactive waste
O. Nieto-Cerezo, E. Patelli, J. Wenzelburger & M. Beer

Optimization of the drinking water coagulation and filtration system as a result of reliability analysis and Life Cycle Costing
J. Szymik-Gralewska & I. Zimoch

Critical infrastructure

Methods of visualizing the risk of lack of water supply
I. Piegdoń & B. Tchórzewska-Cieślak

Electrical engineering

Concept for development of safety-related filters
O. Krini, J. Krini & J. Börcsök

Energy production and distribution

Heat Supply System reliability management
B. Babiarz

Uncertainty in the regulation systems of temporary organizations: A challenge for improving the organizational reliability
F. Mazzorana-Kremer, C. Martin & J.L. Wybo

Solutions and safety barriers: The holistic approach to risk-reducing measures
A. Sevcik & O.T. Gudmestad

A multi-criteria decision model to mitigate the operational risks of offshore wind infrastructures
M. Shafiee & A. Kolios

Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems

Evaluation of operational reliability of the supply chain in terms of the control and management of logistics processes
I. Jacyna-Gołda

Effectiveness of national transport system according to costs of emission of pollutants
M. Jacyna, K. Lewczuk, E. Szczepański, P. Gołębiowski, R. Jachimowski, M. Kłodawski, D. Pyza, O. Sivets, M. Wasiak, J. Żak & I. Jacyna-Gołda

Experiments for PHM: Needs, developments and challenges
X.-Y. Li, L. Liu, R. Kang, D. Xu, F. Sun & J. Lee

Maritime transportation

Effects of external audits on safety management systems: A case study of the Norwegian-managed maritime industry
J.F. Aae, A.K. Sydnes & C. Heggøy

Review of acceptable risk levels of bridge collapse in respect of ships collisions
L. Gucma

A new approach for evaluating the disruption risks of a seaport system
A. John, R. Riahi, D. Paraskevadakis, A. Bury, Z. Yang & J. Wang

Methodology for evaluation of barriers for rig move operations
E. Okstad, S. Hauge, B.A. Mostue & H. Skår

Natural resources and environment

Performance of skimmers in the Arctic offshore oil spills
M. Naseri & J. Barabady

Nuclear engineering

Rethinking nuclear safety management: Injunction as a meta-concept
S. Agulhon, D. Pécaud & F. Guarnieri

Using IRIDM & VTA to support the risk management of the research reactor Maria
M. Borysiewicz, K. Kowal & S. Potempski

Evaluation of risk impact of equipment ageing and asset management for LWR Gen II and III NPPs in the horizon 2020
S. Martorell, I. Martón, S. Carlos & A.I. Sánchez

Rail transportation

Safety of the new control command European System
M. Siergiejczyk, M. Pawlik & S. Gago

Software systems

All swept up: An initial classification of NSA surveillance technology
M. Cayford, C. van Gulijk & P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder

Study of the security of processes running in computer operating systems
I.J. Jóźwiak & A. Szleszyński

Control-in-the-loop Model Based Safety Analysis
P.-Y. Piriou, J.-M. Faure & J.-J. Lesage

Developing a shared information surface for offshore work permits
S. Sarshar, G. Rindahl, C.S. Olsen, J.M. Røsok, M. Eskerud, O.G. Nedrebø, P.J. Berg & G. Misund

Other reliability and safety areas

Graphical technique for practical dependability management
L. Barberá, A. Crespo, K. Kobbacy & P. Viveros

A discussion of the risk-management and the rule-compliance regulation regimes in a security context
S.H. Jore & A. Moen

Risk management in anchor-handling operations: The balance between control and autonomy
J. Røyrvik, K. Skarholt, G.M. Lamvik & J.R. Jonassen

Safety and environmental control of industrial activities in France: A negotiated relationship
V. Sanseverino-Godfrin

Risk assessment methods for improving urban security
C. Schoppe, J. Zehetner, J. Finger, D. Baumann, U. Siebold & I. Häring

Abstract representation of power system networks as a function of regularity properties
A.B. Svendsen, T. Tollefsen, R.F. Pedersen, K.P. Petursson, D. Patel & O.D. Lampe

Drinking water quality aspect in ensuring the safety of water supply systems
I. Zimoch, E. Łobos & T. Żaba

Dynamic reliability

Aeronautics and aerospace

Using dynamic risk modelling in Single European Sky Air Traffic Management Research (SESAR)
N. Fota, M.H.C. Everdij, S.H. Stroeve, T. Kråkenes, I. Herrera, J. Quiñones, T. Contarino & A. Manzo

Civil engineering

Modification of response spectra by probabilistic approach
V. Salajka, J. Kala, Z. Cada & P. Hradil

Maritime transportation

Dynamic Positioning systems with emphasis on harsh climate conditions
T. Li, O.T. Gudmestad & A. Barabadi

Mechanical engineering

Wear time-dependent reliability analysis using Bayesian inference
J. Feng, J. Zhang, J. Si & P. Wang

Nuclear Engineering

RAVEN and dynamic probabilistic risk assessment: Software overview
A. Alfonsi, C. Rabiti, D. Mandelli, J. Cogliati, R. Kinoshita & A. Naviglio

Integrated Deterministic Probabilistic Safety Analysis (IDPSA) of a fire scenario
M. Kloos, J. Peschke & B. Forell

Dynamic reliability models for multiple dependent competing degradation processes
Y.H. Lin, Y.F. Li & E. Zio

Expert methods in system safety and reliability

Aeronautics and Aerospace

Development of a new algorithm for optimal multi-level redundancy allocation
M.A. Farsi

Aircraft crew escape system assistant
N. Grzesik & R. Czapla

A fuzzy system for evaluation of baggage screening devices at an airport
J. Skorupski & P. Uchroński

Energy production and distribution

Quantification and modelling of epistemic uncertainties for availability risk of future offshore wind farms using expert judgment
A. Zitrou, T. Bedford & L. Walls

Maritime transportation

Expert method and real time simulation in navigational safety analysis
T. Abramowicz-Gerigk

Mechanical engineering

Causal modeling in industrial Reliability and Maintenance Management
Y. Pang & G. Lodewijks

Other reliability and safety areas

The application of risk and reliability techniques to acquire knowledge in the development of expert system for fault diagnosis
E.M.P. Hidalgo & G.F.M. de Souza

Failure identification and degradation processes

Aeronautics and aerospace

Life and reliability evaluation of tuner by Constant-Stress Accelerated Degradation Testing method
F. Sun, X. Li & T. Jiang

Estimation of lifetimes of components that operate under ageing-attributable wearing conditions
H. Tomaszek, M. Zieja & M. Ważny

A Physics-of-Failure-based approach for failure behavior modeling: With a focus on failure collaborations
Z. Zeng, R. Kang & Y. Chen

Electrical engineering

Fault diagnosis method for circuit board based on BP neural networks
Y. Peng & J. Shi

Electronic industry

Physics of Failures (POF) version B for MTBF prediction
Y. Bot & J.B. Bernstein

An adaptive fault detection threshold hardware circuit design to reduce False Alarms
Y. Cui, J. Shi, L. Chen, K. Liu & W. An

Energy production and distribution

MUSTADEPT: A tool for the analysis of industrial equipment degradation
M. Compare, L. Legnani & E. Zio

Information technology and telecommunication

Provision of the reliable video surveillance services in heterogeneous networks
P. Łubkowski, D. Laskowski & E. Pawlak

Maritime transportation

Identification of degradation processes of seabed protection in ports
T. Abramowicz-Gerigk

Mechanical engineering

The use of Self-Organizing Maps for diagnosing faults in motor bearings
S. Al-Dahidi

Selected safety aspects of polymer composites with natural fibres
A. Krzyżak & D. Vališ

Application of selected diffusion processes on system state assessment
D. Vališ & O. Pokora

Nuclear engineering

A modified Auto Associative Kernel Regression method for robust signal reconstruction in Nuclear Power Plant components
P. Baraldi, F. Di Maio, P. Turati & E. Zio

Experimental design for the evaluation of Critical Heat Flux of small-scale pressurized nuclear reactors
J.P. Duarte, J.R.C. Piqueira & M.E. Taqueda

Road transportation

The stochastic approach in road network vulnerability analysis
M. Bíl & R. Vodák

Analysis of brake testing methods in vehicle safety
A. Bojko, A.I. Fedotov, W.P. Khalezov & M. Młyńczak

Hilbert-Huang Transforms for fault detection and degradation assessment in electrical motors
M. Rigamonti & S. Rantala

Other reliability and safety areas

Volatility regime switching and jump-diffusion process for prognosis: Case of equity price modeling
H. Ghamlouch, M. Fouladirad & A. Grall

Performance evaluation of Emergency Response Plans using a Multi-State System approach
C. Girard, E. Piatyszek, P. David & J.-M. Flaus

Human factors and human reliability

Aeronautics and aerospace

The model of a pilot competency as a factor influencing the safety of air traffic
J. Skorupski & M. Wiktorowski

Human Dependability Model for space application—the HuDeM project
T.M. Stene, S.O. Johnsen & S. Ophof

Towards safer air traffic: Optimizing ATC controller workload by simulation with reduced set of parameters
B. Számel & G. Szabó

Human reliability test and identification of HCR model basic parameters for multi-factor “Meta-Operation”
Y. Yang, X. Chen, J. Zhang & R. Kang

Chemical process industry

Statistical analysis of past accidents and a methodology (MEDIA) for Human and Organizational Factors assessment in process industries
M. Ahmad, M. Pontiggia & M. Demichela

Predictive Human Error Analysis in Permit To Work system in a petrochemical plant
M. Jahangiri, F. Zare Derisi & N. Hobobi

Critical infrastructure

Anticipating impacts of change on individual behaviors within a perspective of safety management
T. Côte, E. Rigaud & E. Garbolino

Modeling and assessment of Performance Shaping Factors in construction
Y. Xenidis & K. Giannaris

Energy production and distribution

The impact of the use of subcontracting on organizational reliability and safety
C. Guers, C. Martin & J.L. Wybo

Human error analysis: Review of past accidents and implications for improving robustness of system design
R. Moura, M. Beer, E. Patelli, J. Lewis & F. Knoll

Operational and organizational barriers as means of enhancing safety and learning
T.J. Steiro, E. Hansson Blix, J. Seljelid, T.S. Johansen, R.J. Bye,
H.N. Hansen & A. Doumit

Natural resources and environment

Presumptions of culture: Applications and safety implications
F. Størseth

Nuclear engineering

Coding scheme to measure the operator’s workload in advanced Main Control Room
S. Kim, Y. Kim & W. Jung

A survey of Bayesian Belief Network Applications in Human Reliability Analysis
L. Mkrtchyan, L. Podofillini & V.N. Dang

Aggregating expert-elicited error probabilities to build HRA models
L. Podofillini, L. Mkrtchyan & V.N. Dang

Other reliability and safety areas

Organizational factor inclusion in Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) tools
N. Balfe & S. Cromie

Design methods of reducing human error in practice
M. Butlewski, M. Jasiulewicz-Kaczmarek, A. Misztal & M. Sławińska

Maintenance modelling and optimisation

Chemical process industry

A hierarchical framework for the measurement of maintenance efficacy and efficiency using performance indicators
G.M. Galante, R. Inghilleri & C.M. La Fata

Civil engineering

State of the art in Operation and Maintenance planning of offshore wind farms
M. Asgarpour & J.D. Sørensen

Critical infrastructure

Maintenance of power systems considering time-dependent uncertainty
T. Iesmantas & R. Alzbutas

Energy production and distribution

Decision-making support for maintenance optimisation of natural gas compressor stations
J. Blondel, L. Marle, O. Mozar, A. Abdesselam & F. Brissaud

Optimization of maintenance and operational policies of an offshore wind farm subject to stochastic wind conditions
B. Castanier, C. Pehlivan & T.G. Yeung

An age-based preventive maintenance for offshore wind turbines
F.P. Santos, A.P. Teixeira & C. Guedes Soares

Availability modelling and analysis of an offshore wind turbine using Extended Coloured Stochastic Petri Nets
P. Zeiler & B. Bertsche

Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems

Maintenance in availability of weapon systems under combat operation—optimization possibilities
T. Smal

Maritime transportation

Optimum CTV fleet selection for offshore wind farm O&M activities
Y. Dalgic, I. Dinwoodie, I. Lazakis, D. McMillan & M. Revie

Mechanical engineering

Practical aspects of the application of RCM to select optimal maintenance policy of the production line
M. Jasiulewicz-Kaczmarek

Hidden Markov Models for diagnostics and prognostics of systems under multiple deterioration modes
T.T. Le, F. Chatelain & C. Bérenguer

Nuclear engineering

Application of the Maintenance Rule to Nuclear Power Plant systems through Bayesian Networks
D.P. Dionizio, P.L.C. Saldanha & P.F. Frutuoso e Melo

Experience on risk-informed approach to Allowed Outage Time changes due planned maintenance
P.L.C. Saldanha & P.F. Frutuoso e Melo

Rail transportation

Expert system for means of transport maintenance processes performance. A comparative analysis for various types of rail vehicles
T. Nowakowski & S. Werbińska-Wojciechowska

A Colored Petri Net model for railway track maintenance with two-level inspection
H. Shang & C. Bérenguer

Analysis of the process of unloading containers at the inland container terminal
M. Zając & J. Świeboda

Return logistics/waste management

Reliability based model of the cost effective product reusing policy
A. Jodejko-Pietruczuk & M. Plewa

Other reliability and safety areas

Asset maintenance optimization: The case-study of an offshore wind farm
Y. Bot & D. Azoulay

Maintenance planning for drum shearer machine based on its reliability characteristics and economical sensitivity analysis
S.H. Hoseinie, B. Ghodrati & U. Kumar

A guide for Block Inspection Policy implementation
A. Jodejko-Pietruczuk & S. Werbińska-Wojciechowska

Availability model of technical objects—block inspection policy implementation
A. Jodejko-Pietruczuk & S. Werbińska-Wojciechowska

Condition-based maintenance policies for multi-component systems with Lévy copulas dependence
H. Li, L. Dieulle & E. Deloux

Application of standards in reliability prognosis of braking system of moving walks
E. Rogova, G. Lodewijks & Y. Pang

Occupational safety

Electrical engineering

A Bayesian population variability analysis for estimation of the work time loss distributions due to occupational accidents
M.C. Moura, R. Azevedo, E.L. Droguett, L. Rego, W. Jorge & R. Vilela

Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems

Continuous monitoring of at-risk behaviours: A risk-based statistical control method
D. Masi & P. Trucco

Enhancing the implementation of Occupational Health and Safety interventions through a design of the socio-technical interaction
D. Masi, E. Cagno, P. Hasle & S. Farnè

Return logistics/waste management

A risk-based approach to manage the Occupational Hazards in the Arctic drilling waste handling practices
Y.Z. Ayele, A. Barabadi & J. Barabady

Other reliability and safety areas

Estimating individual occupational risk using registration data
P.H.G. Berkhout & M. Damen

Quantification of risk rates of occupational accidents
I.A. Papazoglou, O. Aneziris, L.J. Bellamy, M. Damen, B.J.M. Ale, H.J. Manuel & J.I.H. Oh

Quantitative risk assessment

Aeronautics and aerospace

Reliability assessment method for Ion thruster based on competing failure analysis and performance degradation data Z. Zheng, S. Dong, L. Zhang, D. Xu, H. Tian & T. Zhang

Chemical process industry

Comparison of risk profiles for chemical process plants using PLATYPUS
C. van Gulijk, B.J.M. Ale, D. Ababei & M. Steenhoek

The use of the combination of indexing and semi-quantitative methods in audits for individual risk assessment in the field of fire and explosion protection
A. Leksin, U. Barth, D. Adeulov & R. Mock

Estimation of the impact probability of fragments produced by explosions of vessels: A case study
M.F. Milazzo, R. Lisi, G. Consolo & G. Maschio

Dynamic risk assessment: Development of a basic structure
N. Paltrinieri & P. Hokstad

Joint applicability test of software for laboratory assessment and risk analysis
D.N. Pluess, Th. Meyer, J. Mašin, P. Mikulášek & M. Ferjenčik

Is a QRA-based method suitable to guide Land Use Planning decisions in India?
A. Sengupta, D. Bandyopadhyay, C.J. van Westen & A. van der Veen

Civil engineering

The effect of maintenance on inflation correction in Dutch PPP projects
D.S. Vervoort

Handling dependencies in Probabilistic Risk Assessments using Evidential Networks
D. Wang, Z.J. Cheng, P. Jiang & B. Guo

Critical infrastructure

The use of geoevents in the risk management of Wastewater Treatments
G. Ancione, M.F. Milazzo & G. Maschio

Utilizing knowledge-to-number-processes in smaller and less resource intensive
risk assessments
T. Askeland & R. Flage

Risk assessment of ground water sources for emergency supply
F. Bozek, L. Jesonkova, A. Pawelczyk, Z. Malek & J. Dvorak

Study of volcanic Na-Tech risks in primary Waste Water Treatments
M.F. Milazzo, G. Ancione, E. Salzano & G. Maschio

Optimum concept of management and trade-off with risks
D. Prochazkova

Possibilistic risk analysis of failure in water supply network
B. Tchórzewska-Cieślak, K. Boryczko & I. Piegdoń

Electrical engineering

Multidimensional risk to networks of distributed systems
T.V. Garcez & A.T. de Almeida

Mathematics of PRA applied to Distributed Generation curtailment in saturated grids
P.E. Labeau, F. Faghihi, J.C. Maun, V. De Wilde & A. Vergnol

Energy production and distribution

Priorities assignment for actions in a pipeline: A decision model to evaluate multiple objectives
M.H. Alencar, M.F. Marsaro & A.T. de Almeida

Risk assessment in heat supply system
B. Babiarz

Vulnerability of Energy Infrastructure to intentional attacks—the interplay of resource, conflict and security
P. Burgherr, J. Giroux & M. Spada

Solar storm impact on critical infrastructure
O. Sokolova, P. Burgherr & W. Collenberg

Accident risk assessment for deep geothermal energy systems
M. Spada, E. Sutra, S. Wolf & P. Burgherr

Information technology and telecommunication

Enhancement of IT Risk Assessments by UML
R. Mock, B. Truninger, P. Brunner & T. Hruz

Maritime transportation

Quantitative risk assessment of new ship designs in damage conditions
M.K. Gerigk

Review of risk concepts and perspectives in risk assessment of maritime transportation
F. Goerlandt & J. Montewka

Risk based assessment on increased gas safe machinery spaces of liquefied natural gas fuelled ship
X.J. Li & R.P. Zhou

Semi-qualitative method for ship collision risk assessment
W. Zhang, J. Montewka & F. Goerlandt

Mechanical engineering

RAPP method: Failure analysis and risk determination in automobile fleets within the case study electric actuator
S. Bracke & S. Sochacki

Natural resources and environment

Composite methodology for tsunami vulnerability assessment based on the numerical simulation of 1755 Lisbon tsunami—application on two Portuguese coastal areas
J.L. Barros, A. Emídio, A. Santos & A.O. Tavares

Monte Carlo simulation and Bayesian Evidence Synthesis
U. Sahlin & Y. Jiang

Nuclear engineering

Amendments of the existing guidance on PSA application to nuclear power plants in Germany
H.P. Berg, M. Krauß & M. Röwekamp

Focus areas for a Level 2 PSA that supports a site NPP risk analysis
D.M. Helton, M. Zavisca & M. Khatib-Rahbar

A PSA Level-1 method with repairable components: An application to ASTRID Decay Heat Removal systems
R. Kumar, S. Bechta, P. Kudinov, F. Curnier, M. Marquès & F. Bertrand

Effect of human factor in the analysis of changes to Limiting Conditions for Operation (LCO) applied to Residual Heat Removal System
S. Martorell, I. Martón, P. Martorell & M. Saiz

Application of PSA for design optimization of VVER 440/213
P. Picca, F. Pierro, M. Giovannini, J. Cech, P. Baumeister & J. Prochaska

Rail transportation

Deriving a distribution for accident severity from an F-N curve
J. Braband & H. Schäbe

Geospatial modelling of rail safety hazards
D.J.K. Griffin

Comparing the two methods for judging changes in European railways and in European nuclear safety
N. Petrek & H.P. Berg

Road transportation

Combination of technological and economical risk assessment using the Monte-Carlo-Simulation
F. Plinke, D. Althaus, A. Braasch & A. Meyna

The results of a systematic study of the risks associated with the transportation of hazardous substances
D. Prochazkova, J. Prochazka & H. Patakova

Preference risk assessment of hazardous substances road transportation
D. Rehak, A. Bernatik & P. Novotny

Other reliability and safety areas

Quantifying MSD risks through Job Hazard Analysis
L. Dement

Handling epistemic uncertainty in the Fault Tree Analysis using interval-valued expert information
M. Francese, G.M. Galante, C.M. La Fata & G. Passannanti

Expressing and communicating uncertainty and bias in relation to Quantitative Risk Analysis
F. Goerlandt & J. Montewka

Safety analysis and CFD dispersion simulation of cryogenic release in a deep underground large scale cryogenic installation
E.C. Marcoulaki, A.G. Venetsanos, M. Konstandinidou & I.A. Papazoglou

Reliability and safety based system design

Aeronautics and aerospace

European survey on safety methods application in aeronautic systems engineering
A. Berres, H. Schumann & H. Spangenberg

Semi-formal static and dynamic modeling and categorization of airport checkpoints
P. Renger, U. Siebold, R. Kaufmann & I. Häring

Chemical process industry

Achieving safe designs through evaluation of options at the conceptual level of safety system design
E. Alijagic & V.N. Dang

Civil engineering

Conventional correlation factors in the safety analysis of stochastic systems
O. Lukoševičienė & A. Kudzys

Safety-based approach in multifunctional building design
A. Taraszkiewicz & M.K. Gerigk

Electrical engineering

Management of controls of fire protection systems in Switzerland
E. Nachtigall & S. Metzger

Electronic components with time-dependent failure rates—reasons, values and consequences
P. Zeiler, O. Koller & B. Bertsche

Electronic industry

Availability and reliability evaluation of systems periodically maintained
N. Hu, J. Huang, Ch. Yang, Y. Zheng & O. Dong

Maritime transportation

Reliability and safety based design of lifesaving appliances systems
Z. Burciu

Nuclear engineering

Nuclear power plant safety improvement with new system for safety injection
B. Gjorgiev & A. Volkanovski

Rail transportation

A systematic approach for defense against transient failures
H. Schäbe & I. Shubinski

Reliability allocation for a system with complex redundancy
Z. Vintr & T. Vintr

Other reliability and safety areas

Effective searching process used in obtaining Pareto solutions of two-objective network design problem
N. Takahashi, H. Yamamoto, T. Akiba & K. Shingyochi

Reliability and safety data collection and analysis

Aeronautics and aerospace

SYMBAD—Artificial Neural Networks in furtherance of managing aircraft testing
W. Kosiński, J. Wójcik & M. Zieja

Accelerated Life Test method for satellite electronic instrument
D. Shu, Z. Liang, Z. Zhiteng & M. Haibo

Reliability of the airlines operations system
A. Słodownik & J. Żurek

Quantitative evaluation on storage reliability of pyrotechnics based on thermodynamic characteristic of dynamite and performance degradation data
Z. Wan, W. Hang & C. Hai Long

Agriculture and food industry

Telematics used in the campaigns machinery safety management systems
J. Napiórkowski, P. Szczyglak & K. Kołakowski

Chemical process industry

Collection and analysis of failure data for pressure equipment
P.A. Bragatto, S. Ansaldi, C. Delle Site & P. Agnello

Reliability analysis of prototypes based on small and heterogeneous test data volumes. Case study: Organic fibre prototype analysis
A. Lücker, M. Hinz, S. Bracke & G. Knübel

How to present and understand uncertainty of production assurance analyses
with respect to data quality
C. Persskog-Lundtofte, S. Isaksen & L.M. Pedersen

Critical infrastructure

Universal method of battery life prediction
Y. Hanyu, T. Yamamoto, T. Ezawa & A. Itakura

Electronic industry

Reliability prediction of electronic boards by analyzing field return data
S.V. Comert, H. Yadavari, M. Altun & E.N. Erturk

Energy production and distribution

A double-loop Monte Carlo approach for Part Life Data Base reconstruction and scheduled maintenance improvement
F. Di Maio, M. Compare, S. Mattafirri & E. Zio

Using field experience in the treatment of Common Cause Failures in reliability assessment
S. Hauge, S. Håbrekke & M.A. Lundteigen

A geometric test for the analysis of contingency tables
J. Quigley & K.J. Wilson

Assessment of a remaining working life of energetic devices using service data
M. Sykora, M. Holicky, J. Marková & K. Presl

Information technology and telecommunication

Model for Information Quality determination of teleinformation systems of transport
M. Stawowy

Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems

A framework proposal to analyse the performance of assets under complex system
T. Grubessich, E. Johns, P. Viveros, R. Stegmaier & F. Kristjanpoller

Proven in use in the machine tool industry for demonstrating the quantitative functional safety according to EN ISO 13849-1
B. Günnel, A. Meyna, M. Schlummer, H. Mödden & A. Broos

Mechanical engineering

Probabilities in safety of machinery—Part 1: Risk profiling and farmer matrix
A. Bornemann, Y. Froese, L. Landi & H. Mödden

Probabilities in safety of machinery—Part 2: Theoretical and practical design
A. Bornemann, Y. Froese, L. Landi & H. Mödden

Research on reliability qualification test design by considering inheritance factor
Y. Wang, D. Xu & L. Liu

Optimal design on Accelerated Degradation Testing with Gamma process for reliability demonstration
C. Zhang, X. Lu, X. Chen & Y. Wang

Road transportation

One producer, two brands: A comparison of car operating conditions
M. Jadwinska, T. Siekierka & M. Zając

Waterborne transportation

Ship voyage characteristics in Wuhan Yangtze River Bridge waterway
Y.-P. Zhou, L.-Z. Sang, Z. Mao & Q. Wu

Other reliability and safety areas

Fleet-level reliability estimation of repairable units
A.H.S. Garmabaki, A. Ahmadi & J. Block

Reliability and safety education and training

Nuclear engineering

Learning from failures: The case of Deepwater Horizon disaster
A.W. Labib

The representation of nuclear power in cinema: The contribution of a filmic analysis to understanding the public debate
A. Portelli, C. Martin & F. Guarnieri

Road transportation

On designing educational aids for users’ safety in road tunnels
K. Chatzoglou, E. Rokou, I.P. Tatsiopoulos & K. Kirytopoulos

Other reliability and safety areas

Public buildings safety: Addressing a pilot evacuation exercise
A. Santos & M. Queirós

Simulation methods in system safety and reliability

Aeronautics and aerospace

A safety analysis via minimal path sets detection for object-oriented models
C. Schallert

The use of on-board flight recorder in the modeling process of aircraft landing operations
P. Stańczyk & A. Stelmach

Reliability analysis for Runway Overrun using subset simulation
K. Zwirglmaier, L. Drees, F. Holzapfel & D. Straub

Chemical process industry

A meta model framework for risk analysis, diagnosis and simulation
H. Kanj & J.-M. Flaus

Critical infrastructure

Proposing a multi-layer modeling framework for complex infrastructure systems
C. Nan & G. Sansavini

Hybrid modeling and simulation approach selection to the reliability and vulnerability analysis of Critical Infrastructures
G. Sansavini, C. Nan & W. Kröger

Energy production and distribution

Time dependent gas transmission network probabilistic simulator: Focus on storage discharge modeling
V. Kopustinskas & P. Praks

Information technology and telecommunication

Weekly availability changes of web applications implemented in virtualized environment
T. Walkowiak

Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems

Dynamic approach to modeling MTBF/MTTR in industrial and logistics systems
P. Hoffa & P. Pawlewski

Maritime transportation

A new Monte Carlo method for environmental contour estimation
A.B. Huseby, E. Vanem & B. Natvig

On multistate technical system operation process influence on its reliability
K. Kołowrocki, E. Kuligowska & J. Soszyńska-Budny

Mechanical engineering

Uncertainty improving in importance sampling: An integrated approach with fuzzy-cluster sampling
M. Nadjafi, M.A. Farsi & A. Najafi

Medicine and health service

Conversion of a based risk model into a simulation model for simulation and analysis
K. Negrichi, J.-M. Flaus & M. Di Mascolo

Nuclear engineering

Common cause failures modelling by means of Coloured Petri Nets for dependability assessment of a control system of nuclear power plant
N. Brînzei, G. Deleuze, N. Villaume & J.F. Pétin

Propagation of aleatory and epistemic uncertainties in quantification of systems failure probabilities or safety margins
M. Marquès

Road transportation

Safe level of redundancy in Discrete Transportation Systems
D. Caban & T. Walkowiak

Using Petri-Net analysis for advanced reliability analysis of polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cells
M. Whiteley, J. Leigh, A. Fly, L.M. Jackson & S.J. Dunnett

Waterborne transportation

Analysis of ship navigation behaviors in the Wuhan Yangtze River Bridge waterway
X. Chen, L.-Z. Sang, Z. Mao & Q. Wu

Other reliability and safety areas

A novel methodology for availability assessment of complex load sharing systems
F. Kristjanpoller, P. Viveros, A. Crespo, R. Mena & R. Stegmaier

Structural reliability and safety

Aeronautics and aerospace

Life distribution and P-S-N curve analysis of TC21 titanium alloy joint with Electron Beam Welding in ultra-high cycle fatigue regime
Z. Zhiteng, D. Shu, Z. Liang & X. Danjun

Civil engineering

Optimal design of ground-mounted solar systems
R. Boccara, D. Diamantidis & M. Sykora

Approximate quantification of the robustness index of concrete beams subjected to deterioration
W. Botte, R. Caspeele & L. Taerwe

A condition-based deterioration model for the crack propagation in a submerged concrete structure
B. El Hajj, F. Schoefs, B. Castanier & T. Yeung

Reliability assessment of cast-iron heritage structures
J. Marková, M. Holicky, K. Jung, A. Podstawka & V. Bures

Reliability of structures in national codes to Eurocodes
J. Marková & M. Holicky

On climatic actions combinations for probabilistic calibrations
Z. Sadovský

In-plane buckling behaviors of shear-deformable columns with variable cross sections
L. Su & M.M. Attard

Lateral buckling of varying arbitrary cross-section beams with shear effects
L. Su & M.M. Attard

Methodology for the quantitative risk assessment of road bridges exposed to accidental events
M. Sykora, M. Holicky & P. Maňas

Point estimate of dynamic reliability considering parameter uncertainties
Y.G. Zhao & Z.H. Lu

Critical infrastructure

The reliability analysis of welded tanks for oil storage
Z. Kala

Mechanical engineering

Determination of design load for a pile-guide system for large floating installations considering Life-Cycle Cost and probabilistic load distribution
S.-Y. Lee, C. Jo, P. Bergan, D. Chang & B. Pettersen

Road transportation

Analysis of reliability and retaining levels of safety barriers
K. Jung & J. Marková

Other reliability and safety areas

Safe reliability assessment through probabilistic constraint reasoning
E. Carvalho, J. Cruz & P. Barahona

Structural reliability for containment of VVER 440/213 type
J. Králik, P. Picca, F. Pierro, M. Giovannini, N. Zaccari & P. Baumeister

Reliability updating based on monitoring of structural response parameters
B.J. Leira

Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis

Chemical process industry

Comparative analysis of rapid calculation methods for physical explosions of pressure vessels
R. Bubbico & B. Mazzarotta

A study of determination of the design accidental fire load based on the quantitative
Fire Risk Assessment with the treatment of uncertainty
B. Chu & D. Chang

Civil engineering

Sobol’s sensitivity analysis of stability problems of steel beams
Z. Kala & J. Kala

Energy production and distribution

Quantitative vs. qualitative treatment of uncertain assumptions in risk assessment
C. Berner & R. Flage

Information technology and telecommunication

Comparison of uncertainty models of impact of teleinformation devices reliability on information quality
M. Stawowy

Nuclear engineering

Sensitivity analysis of geological parameters having impact on nuclear waste deep geological repository safety
J. Chudoba

Processes reliability and safety modelling

Aeronautics and Aerospace

An impact of the operators and passengers behavior on the airport’s security screening reliability
A. Kierzkowski & T. Kisiel

Risk analysis of the point on aging aircraft structure
M. Woch

Chemical process industry

Risk assessment of a bulk cryogenic tank: Beyond the Leak-Before-Break criterion
M. Compare, L. Legnani, M. Buldrini, G. Sansavini, E. Zio & L. Beretta

Civil engineering

Modeling of a degradation path set with a Gamma process mixture—application to a maintenance decision rule
E. Grall-Maës, A. Grall & P. Beauseroy

Reliability of the delivery in the last 100 meters
K. Lewandowski

Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems

Risk analytics within high-precision dental tool manufacturing: Multidimensional failure probabilities and validation
S. Bracke & M. Pospiech

A unified model of systems dependability and process continuity for complex supply chains
L.A. Bukowski & J. Feliks

Using quantitative stochastic model checking tool to increase safety and improve efficiency in production processes
L. Herbert, Z.N.L. Hansen & P. Jacobsen

Research on information system and its impact on distribution process of supply chain
E. Pawlak

Availability and reliability of resources in an agile manufacturing systems
A. Stachowiak

Rail transportation

Initial FMEA analysis of the container transport chain
M. Zając & J. Świeboda

Other reliability and safety areas

On prudent activities in a complex system
I. Årstad & T. Aven

Parallel computing for system availability and applications
R. Briš & S. Domesová

Author index

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