2nd Edition

Spatial Electric Load Forecasting

By H. Lee Willis Copyright 2002

    Containing 12 new chapters, this second edition offers increased coverage of weather correction and normalization of forecasts, anticipation of redevelopment, determining the validity of announced developments, and minimizing risk from over- or under-planning. It provides specific examples and detailed explanations of key points to consider for both standard and unusual utility forecasting situations, information on new algorithms and concepts in forecasting, a review of forecasting pitfalls and mistakes, case studies depicting challenging forecast environments, and load models illustrating various types of demand.

    Spatial Electric Load Forecasting
    Consumer Demand for Power and Reliability
    Coincidence and Load Behavior
    Load Curve and End-Use Modeling
    Weather and Electric Load
    Weather Design Criteria and Forecast Normalization
    Spatial Load Growth Behavior
    Spatial Forecast Accuracy and Error Measures
    Trending Methods
    Simulation Method: Basic Concepts
    A Detailed Look at the Simulation Method
    Basics of Computerized Simulation
    Analytical Building Blocks for Spatial Simulation
    Advanced Elements of Computerized Simulation
    Hybrid Trending-Simulation Methods
    Advanced Demand Methods: Multi-Fuel and Reliability Models
    Comparison and Selection of Spatial Forecast Methods
    Development Dimensionality: Urban, Rural and Agrarian Areas
    Metropolitan Growth and Urban Redevelopment
    Spatial Load Forecasting in Developing Economies
    Using Spatial Forecasting Methods Well
    Recommendations and Guidelines
    Index

    Biography

    H Lee Willis (Quanta Technology, Cary, North Carolina, USA) (Author)