1st Edition

Strategic Foresight An Introductory Guide to Practice

By Jan Oliver Schwarz Copyright 2023
180 Pages 34 B/W Illustrations
by Routledge

180 Pages 34 B/W Illustrations
by Routledge

180 Pages 34 B/W Illustrations
by Routledge

Organisations today are being challenged to make sense of changes in environments that, now more than ever, are described as VUCA (volatile, uncertain, complex, and ambiguous). They are also being driven to understand how the future will evolve and what impact it will have not only on the organisations themselves but also on industries and societies. In recent decades a field has emerged to... Read more

Part I: Background to strategic foresight  1. Historical development of strategic foresight (by Theresa Schropp)  2. Thinking about the future  Part II: Applications of strategic foresight  3. Conceptualising strategic foresight  4. Weak signals and trends  5. Trend Receiver (by Rupert Hofmann)  6. The Delphi method: How experts see the future (by Heiko von der Gracht)  7. Scenario planning  8. Futures literacy laboratories (by Stefan Bergheim)  9. Business wargaming  10. Design thinking  11. Transformation and open strategy  12. Strategic foresight and its antecedents  Part III: Strategic foresight in practice  13. Strategic foresight: An emerging field  14. Working with strategic foresight: Seven principles  15. Conclusion

Biography

Jan Oliver Schwarz is a professor of Strategic Foresight and Trend Analysis and head of the Bavarian Foresight-Institute at the Technische Hochschule Ingolstadt. His academic and consulting work focuses on various aspects of strategic foresight.