As the 2016 election campaign attests, the Grand Old Party—once moderate and even magnanimous—has fallen into a prison of its own making when it comes to presidential politics. After the debacle of the George W. Bush presidency and the rout of the Romney candidacy, Republicans said they must broaden their base, become more inclusive, and return to the warmth of Reagan idealism. Instead, what we have is a bitter, backbiting, and race- and gender-baiting campaign with a candidate more exclusive than any before him. How did we get here and how do we get out? This book tracks the modern history of the Republican Party and shows its decline, even while shining a light on its high points and urging it back in a positive direction. Every reader interested in the US presidential election, the primary process, and the clash of politics and culture will find something enlightening in John White’s exposition. Above all, he puts the Age of Trump into perspective, looking back as well as forward in his analysis.
Who is this book for?
1. Current. Anticipates the current state of the Republican Party, at odds with itself as much as with the American public. Includes 2014 midterm election data with an eye toward the 2016 presidential contest.
2. A broad historical sweep. Covers a broad historical period from the 1950s (Eisenhower era) to the present, with a strong emphasis on the Reagan years which represent the GOP at its zenith.
3. Efficient use of polling and demographic data. Takes a broad swath of historical data (including polling data) and presents it in a condensed, readable format. At the same time, the reader is not inundated by polling and demographic data.
4. Bold. Any reader will come away from this book understanding that the GOP predicament is likely to last for some time to come. The problems Republicans face are both intellectual and political. They are not likely to be solved by any one candidate or election and will be compounded and confounded by the events of 2016.
"John White's What Happened to the Republican Party? is an enjoyable, must-read for every American who truly cares about the country's future. White teaches us the inescapable truth that American political parties are mostly either seeking and welcoming converts to their side or instead hunting down and banishing heretics from their ranks. Republicans in 1980 following the lead of Ronald Reagan threw open the doors and invited in disaffected Democrats and independents -- just as the Barack Obama-led Democrats would 28 years later -- but the contemporary GOP has been very much in a heretic-banishing mode and Republicans have paid the price by losing the popular vote in five of the last six presidential elections.
If, and only if, Republicans heed the wise counsel of John White in this book, then 2016 could be the first time in 12 years that the GOP wins the White House. Democrats can learn from John White just how tenuous their presidential advantage really is and what they better do about it.
Nobody analyzed and understood--and consistently as well as correctly predicted the outcome of--the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections better than John K. White. Reading What Happened to the Republican Party? will make you the smartest political pundit about 2016 in the room."
—Mark Shields, Syndicated Columnist, Political Commentator PBS Newshour
"John White, a well-established authority on American politics and political parties, has written a first-rate analysis of the Republican Party's current struggle to find a political ideology that is consistent with both its historic role as a party of limited national government and the need to offer solutions to pressing economic and social problems."
—James A. Reichley, Author of The Life of the Parties
"While Democrats can hardly afford to be complacent, John White lays out in detail the problems Republicans face as they try to put together a presidential majority in 2016. How the Republican Party solves its many problems will affect all of us for years to come."
—Michael Dukakis, former Governor of Massachusetts and 1988 Democratic Presidential Nominee
"John White writes a compelling narrative about a Republican Party that has lost its national majority because of a conservative straitjacket that blocks it from opening up to a very new America and a role for purposeful government. He is right that America needs a Republican Party that can balance individualism and community and become electable again."
—Stanley Greenberg, Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Democracy Corps
"John Kenneth White’s new book accurately indicates the challenges -- demographic, generational and ideological -- facing the Republican Party in presidential politics today. White also demonstrates how the GOP’s recent successes in recent midterm congressional and state elections can actually work to the Republicans’ disadvantage in securing the White House. This book is essential reading for all those interested in contemporary electoral alignments in the US and for all Republicans who are interested in winning the presidency in 2016."
—Nicol C. Rae, Montana State University
"John White was shrewd in understanding, early on, the interaction of the Reagan and Clinton coalitions. He was on top of the impact of the Obama coalition. So Republicans should take his analysis and his warnings in What Happened to the Republican Party? very seriously. An important book by a wise and prescient scholar."
—E. J. Dionne, Jr., Georgetown University and Brookings Institution
CONTENTS: Acknowledgments Preface: Why Republicans?Introduction: "I Can’t Sell My Kids on This Party" 1. Zenith: Reagan’s Triumph 2. Out-maneuvered and Angry: Bill Clinton and the Republicans 3. Out-manned: Barack Obama and a New Politics of Demography 4. A Conservative Imprisonment 5.Why the Republican Party Is Necessary Bibliography