1st Edition

Defence Planning for Small and Middle Powers Rethinking Force Development in an Age of Disruption

Edited By Tim Sweijs, Saskia van Genugten, Frans Osinga Copyright 2025
    328 Pages 35 B/W Illustrations
    by Routledge

    This book examines the processes, practices and principles of defence planning in small and middle powers.

    Small and middle powers are recalibrating their force postures in this age of disruption. They are adapting their defence planning and military innovation processes to protect the security of their nations.  This book examines defence planning and military innovation in eleven contemporary case studies of small and middle powers in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Asia and Oceania.  Employing a structured focused comparison framework, it traces patterns in the choices of small and middle powers across the following themes: (1) alliances, dependencies and national ambitions; (2) approaches, processes, methods and techniques; and (3) military innovation strategies and outcomes. Breaking new theoretical ground, it offers a three-pronged typology distinguishing between the Strategic Defence Planner, the Transactional Defence Planners, and the Complacent Defence Planner. The book offers a rich array of insights into cases that fall across different geographies, strategic cultures, and governance systems. These insights can help guide discussions on how to structure decision-making structures, arrive at ambition levels, formulate priorities, select partners, and design defence planning and military innovation processes.

    This book will be of much interest to students of defence studies, security studies, public policy and International Relations, and will also be of interest to professionals in defence planning.

    1. Introduction

    Tim Sweijs, Saskia van Genugten and Frans Osinga

    2. Australia: The Limits of Pragmatism

    Andrew Carr and Stephan Frühling

    3. The Contours of Singapore's Defence Planning: Rethinking Deterrence, Defence Diplomacy, and Resilience

    Michael Raska

    4. Israel’s Innovation as a Main Pillar of Defence Planning

    Eitan Shamir

    5. Finland’s Defence Planning in Times of Geopolitical Disruption: ‘Never Again Alone’

    Olli Pekka Suorsa

    6. Retail Path-Dependence: Indonesia’s Post-Authoritarian Defence Planning

    Evan A. Laksmana

    7. Emirati defence planning: The Overriding Importance of the Political-Cultural System

    Ash Rossiter and Athol Yates

    8. Leveraging Dependencies: Defence Planning in the Sultanate of Oman

    Nikolas Gardner

    9. Turkey: A Rising Star with Structural Problems

    Murat Caliskan

    10. Defence Planning in the Netherlands: Trying to Keep all Options Open

    Lenny Hazelbag, Hans Klinkenberg and Saskia van Genugten

    11. Becoming a Good Ally: Slovak Defence Planning Since Independence

    Michal Onderco         

    12. Canada and Force Planning: From Making a Virtue of Necessity to the Necessity of Virtue

    Paul Dickson

    13. Conclusion

    Tim Sweijs, Saskia van Genugten and Frans Osinga

    Biography

    Tim Sweijs is the Director of Research at The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies and a research fellow at the Netherlands Defence Academy.

    Saskia van Genugten is Senior Director at MacroScope Strategies (M2S).

    Frans Osinga is Professor in War Studies, Leiden University.

    'This is a fascinating book—one built around a conceptual structure and implemented with well chosen, contrasting case studies.  It begins with recognition that small and medium size countries do defense planning, but go about it very differently than great powers because “their outlook, ambitions , global recognition, dependencies, and available resources tend to differ substantially from great powers.”  That said, how do they go about it?  They encounter dilemmas and contradictions, including some relating to self-image.  What happens varies across the cases (Australia, Canada, Finland, Indonesia, Israel, Netherlands, Oman, Singapore, Slovakia, and the United Arab Emirates).  As both scholars and practitioners will appreciate, the differences reflect objective matters such as geography, size, and resources, but also the nations’ history, culture, personalities, and politics,. Commonalities can be found, as can rules of thumb about what factors matter, but changes also occur in response to events and to trends in military technology, authoritarianism, shooting wars, and domestic politics.  The authors deserve credit for a very interesting book with much to teach those familiar only with major-power planning.'

    Paul K. Davis, Senior Principal Researcher (retired) (RAND) and Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School, US

    'Students of international security, strategic and military studies have long neglected what most military and civilian defence practitioners do most of the time: prepare and build the future force through various forms of defence planning. This book fills that important gap in the literature with a series of rich and well-structured national case studies that will be relevant for anyone trying to understand defence planning issues beyond the great powers. With powerful analytical categories for the comparative study of defence planning, the book's general framework and specific findings will be highly useful for both expert practitioners and future research.'     

    Henrik Breitenbauch, Dean, Royal Danish Defence College, Denmark

    'In a world that is increasingly dangerous, small and medium powers face unique challenges when it comes to defence planning and military innovation. This volume offers incisive and long overdue comparative analysis of how smaller states prepare to defend themselves. Essential reading for our times.'

    Theo Farrell, President, La Trobe University, Australia